Draft:Next Saxony state election

• Comment: WP:TOOSOON. Commandant Quacks-a-lot (talk) 02:18, 15 May 2026 (UTC)

• Comment: Especially if we can only find two different sources discussing the subject, it is too soon for an article on this topic. 🌀Hurricane Wind and Fire (talk) (contribs)🔥 04:07, 29 December 2025 (UTC)

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2029 Saxony state election

2029
All 120 seats in the Landtag of Saxony 61 seats needed for a majority
Party CDU AfD BSW Last election 41 seats, 31.9%% 40 seats, 30.6% 15 seats, 11.8%   Party SPD Greens Left Last election 10 seats, 7.3% 7 seats, 5.1% 6 seats, 4.5%
Incumbent Government Third Kretschmer cabinet CDU–SPD

The next election to the Landtag of Saxony is scheduled for 2029, subject to any possible early dissolution of the legislature elected in 2024.

Electoral system

Election date

Coat of arms of the Saxon State Parliament

According to Article 44, paragraph 1, sentence 1 of the Constitution of the Free State of Saxony, the Landtag (state parliament) is elected for a five-year term. Section 16, paragraph 2, sentence 1 of the Saxon Electoral Law stipulates that election day must be no earlier than 58 months and no later than 60 months after the start of the legislative term. In the event of premature dissolution, the election must take place within 60 days. Unlike the Basic Law (Germany's constitution), the Saxon Constitution does not provide for a vote of confidence. Instead, the Saxon Landtag has the right to dissolve itself if two-thirds of the Landtag so decide. The last election took place on 1 September 2024 .

Voters

See also: List of state constituencies in Saxony

The Landtag normally has 120 members. This number can increase due to overhang and leveling seats, as last occurred in 2014. Each voter has two votes: a direct vote and a party-list vote, corresponding to the first and second votes in the federal election system. In each of the 60 constituencies, one representative is elected to the state parliament by a relative majority of the direct votes. This includes candidates whose party receives less than 5% of the vote. Since 2024, the 120 seats have been allocated proportionally according to the Sainte-Laguë method, based on party-list votes, among the parties that either win at least 5% of the party-list votes statewide or at least two direct mandates (the so-called basic mandate clause). If a party wins fewer seats in constituencies than it is entitled to in total seats, the remaining seats are allocated to it via the state-wide party list in the order determined there. Its candidates elected in the constituencies are not considered in this allocation.

Background

 

Main articles: 2024 Saxony state election and Third Kretschmer cabinet

Plenary hall in a previous legislative period.

The CDU won the 2024 state election by a narrow margin over the AfD. However, only the CDU secured a plurality of seats. Both parties received just over 30% of the vote. The BSW followed at a considerable distance, achieving 11.8% of the vote in its first state election. All parties participating in the state government until 2024—the CDU, SPD, and Greens—suffered losses. The SPD achieved its worst election result in Saxony to date, with 7.3%. The Greens narrowly cleared the 5% threshold with 5.1%. The Left Party lost more than half its votes and only entered the state parliament via the basic mandate clause, thanks to two direct mandates in Leipzig. The Free Voters and Free Saxons were roughly tied with 2.3% and 2.2%, respectively. Although the Free Voters also clearly missed the 5% threshold, they entered the 8th Landtag with one representative, having won a direct mandate. The FDP, with 0.9%, finished even behind the Action Party for Animal Welfare (1.0%) and recorded its worst result ever in a state election in Germany up to that point.  In addition to the aforementioned parties, nine other lists ran in 2024.

Since the election of the Minister-President on 18 December 2024, Saxony has been governed by the Kretschmer III cabinet, a minority coalition of the CDU and SPD.

Standing of the parties

Party	Abbreviation	Seats 2024
CDU Saxony	CDU	41
Alternative for Deutschland	AfD	40
BSW Saxony	BSW	15
SPD Saxony	SPD	10
Alliance 90/The Greens Saxony	Bündnisgrüne	7
Die Linke Saxony	Die Linke	6
Free Voters	FW	1
FDP Saxony	FDP	0

In December 2025, Michael Kretschmer announced he would seek re-election in 2029. He said his grand coalition looked stable for a full term.

Polls

 

Opinion polls

Institute	Date	CDU	AfD	BSW	SPD	Green	Linke	Free Voters	FDP	Others
PolitPro	15.03.2026	29%	35%	8%	6%	6%	10%	2%	1%	3%
PolitPro	04.01.2026	29%	35%	8%	6%	6%	10%	2%	1%	3%
PolitPro	03.11.2025	28%	34%	9%	6%	5%	10%	—	—	8%
PolitPro	05.10.2025	27%	37%	8%	5%	6%	10%	—	—	7%
PolitPro	04.08.2025	27%	35%	9%	6%	6%	10%	2%	1%	4%
PolitPro	06.07.2025	29%	34%	9%	5%	5%	10%	2%	1%	5%
INSA	07.06.2025	26 %	35 %	11 %	6 %	5 %	9 %	—	—	8 %
2025 German federal election	23.02.2025	19.7 %	37.3 %	9.0 %	8.5 %	6.5 %	11.3 %	1.6 %	—	6.1 %
2024 Saxony state election	01.09.2024	31.9 %	30.6 %	11.8 %	7.3 %	5.1 %	4.5 %	2.3 %	—	6.5 %

See also

• 2029 European Parliament election
• 2029 Brandenburg state election
• 2029 Thuringian state election
• 2031 Baden-Württemberg state election

References

This page will be placed in the following categories if it is moved to the article namespace.

Categories:

• 2029 in Germany
• Future elections in Germany
• Elections in Saxony
• 2020s in Saxony