Next Saxony state election

The next election to the Landtag of Saxony is scheduled for 2029.

Next Saxony state election

All 120 seats in the Landtag of Saxony 61 seats needed for a majority
First party Second party Third party   Party CDU AfD BSW Last election 41 seats, 31.9% 40 seats, 30.6% 15 seats, 11.8%   Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party   Party SPD Greens Left Last election 10 seats, 7.3% 7 seats, 5.1% 6 seats, 4.5%   Seventh party   Party FW Last election 1 seat, 2.3%
Government before election Kretschmer III CDU–SPD Government after election TBD

Background

The 2024 Saxony state election was won by the CDU with a narrow lead over the AfD. Only the CDU secured a blocking minority. Both parties received just over 30% of the votes (CDU 31.9%, AfD 30.6%). The BSW followed at a considerable distance, achieving 11.8% of the vote in its first-ever participation in a state election. All parties previously involved in the state government until 2024 — CDU, SPD, and Greens — recorded losses. The SPD achieved its worst result in Saxony with 7.3%. The Greens barely cleared the 5% threshold with 5.1%. The Left lost more than half of its voters and entered the state parliament only through two direct mandates in Leipzig via the basic mandate clause. The Free Voters and Free Saxons performed similarly with 2.3% and 2.2%, respectively. Although the Free Voters clearly missed the 5% hurdle, they entered the 8th Saxon State Parliament with one candidate thanks to a direct mandate. The FDP landed at 0.9%, behind even the Animal Protection Party (1.0%), marking its worst result in any German state election to date. In addition to the parties mentioned, nine other lists competed in 2024.

Since the Minister-President election on 18 December 2024, Saxony has been governed by the Kretschmer III cabinet, a minority coalition of the CDU and SPD (51 out of 120 seats) without a fixed tolerance partner. The government relies on case-by-case negotiations and a consultation mechanism with opposition parties (especially the BSW, Greens, and Left) to secure majorities.

Opinion Polls

Party Polling

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	CDU	AfD	BSW	SPD	Grüne	Linke	FW	FDP	Others	Lead
INSA	13–20 May 2026	1,000	21	42	7	6	6	9	–	–	9	21
Civey	21 Dec – 4 Jan 2026	2,500	29	35	8	6	6	10	2	1	3	6
Civey	3 Nov 2025	?	28	34	9	6	5	10	–	–	8	6
Civey	21 Sep – 5 Oct 2025	?	27	37	8	5	6	10	–	–	7	10
Civey	20 Jul – 4 Aug 2025	2,500	27	35	9	6	6	10	2	1	4	8
Civey	22 Jun – 6 Jul 2025	2,502	29	34	9	5	5	10	2	1	5	5
INSA	28 May – 4 Jun 2025	1,000	26	35	11	5	5	9	–	–	8	9
2025 federal election	23 Feb 2025	–	19.7	37.3	9.0	8.5	6.5	11.3	–	3.2	4.4	14.6
2024 state election	1 Sep 2024	–	31.9	30.6	11.8	7.3	5.1	4.5	2.3	0.9	11.8	1.3