The 2026 United States Senate election in Kentucky will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Kentucky. Republican congressman Andy Barr and Democratic former state representative Charles Booker are the nominees for their respective parties. Republican incumbent Mitch McConnell is not seeking an eighth term.[1] This will be the first open Senate election in Kentucky since 2010.
November 3, 2026
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Primary elections were held on May 19, 2026. Endorsed by President Donald Trump, Barr won the Republican nomination with 60.5% of the vote over former state attorney general Daniel Cameron. Booker, the Democratic nominee in the 2022 Senate race, was nominated a second time with 47% of the vote over Marine officer Amy McGrath and state House minority leader Pamela Stevenson.
Democrats have not won a Senate race in Kentucky since 1992.
Background
editKentucky, a Southern state in the Bible Belt, is generally considered to be a Republican stronghold, having not elected a Democrat to the U.S. Senate since 1992. Republicans control both U.S. Senate seats, all but two statewide executive offices, supermajorities in both houses of the Kentucky General Assembly, and all but one seat in Kentucky's U.S. House delegation.[2] Democrats control both the governorship and lieutenant-governorship, which flipped from Republican control in 2019.[3]
McConnell was first elected in 1984, defeating then-incumbent Walter Dee Huddleston, and was re-elected in six subsequent elections.[4]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Andy Barr, U.S. representative from Kentucky's 6th congressional district (2013–present)[5]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Daniel Cameron, former Kentucky attorney general (2019–2024) and nominee for governor in 2023[6]
- Anissa Catlett, sourcing supply chain manager[7]
- James D. Duncan, professional farrier[7][8]
- Michael Faris, helicopter maintenance business owner[9]
- Valerie Fredrick, medical doctor, farmer and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022[7]
- Jonathan M. Holliday, veteran and former Lexington police officer[7]
- Jimmy I. Leon, veteran and educator[7]
- Andrew "Nick" Shelley, volunteer firefighter[10]
- George Washington, filmmaker (no relation to President George Washington)[7]
- Donald Wenzel, businessman[7]
Withdrawn
edit- Nate Morris, business conglomerate owner (endorsed Barr)[11][12]
Declined
edit- James Comer, U.S. representative for Kentucky's 1st congressional district (2016–present) (running for re-election)[13]
- Mitch McConnell, incumbent U.S. senator (1985–present)[14]
- David Osborne, speaker of the Kentucky House of Representatives (2018–present) from the 59th district (2005–present)[15]
- Damon Thayer, former state senator from the 17th district (2003–2025)[16]
- Thomas Massie, U.S. representative for Kentucky's 4th congressional district (2012–present) (ran for re-election)[17]
Endorsements
edit- Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)[18]
- Markwayne Mullin, U.S. secretary of homeland security (2026–present)[19]
- Kelly Craft, former U.S. ambassador to the United Nations (2019–2021)[20]
- U.S. senators
- John Thune, Senate majority leader (2025–present) from South Dakota (2005–present)[21]
- Ted Budd, North Carolina (2023–present)[22]
- Tom Cotton, Arkansas (2015–present)[20]
- Tim Scott, South Carolina (2013–present)[21]
- U.S. representatives
- Steve Scalise, House majority leader (2023–present) from LA-01 (2008–present)[23]
- 120 other U.S. representatives[a]
- State legislators
- Mike Wilson, majority whip of the Kentucky Senate from SD-32 (2011–present)[27]
- Max Wise, majority leader of the Kentucky Senate (2025–present) from SD-16 (2015–present)[28]
- David Meade, speaker pro tempore of the Kentucky House of Representatives (2019–present) from HD-80 (2013–present)[29]
- Amanda Mays Bledsoe, SD-12 (2023–present)[30]
- Greg Elkins, SD-28 (2023–present)[31]
- Scott Madon, SD-29 (2025–present)[30]
- Phillip Wheeler, SD-31 (2019–present)[30]
- Kim King, HD-55 (2011–present)[30]
- Damon Thayer, former majority leader of the Kentucky Senate from SD-17 (2013–2025)[32]
- Killian Timoney, former HD-45 (2021–2025)[33]
- Individuals
- Joe Craft, businessman[20]
- Riley Gaines, conservative activist and former swimmer[34]
- Nate Morris, businessman[12]
- Organizations
- State legislators
- Savannah Maddox, HD-61 (2019–present)[36]
- T. J. Roberts, HD-66 (2025–present)[37]
- Gex Williams, HD-24 (1993–1999) and HD-20 (2023–present)[37]
- Organizations
- Organizations
- Executive branch officials
- Steve Bannon, former senior counselor to the President (2017)[41]
- Elon Musk, former senior advisor to the President (2025) (Independent)[42]
- U.S. senators
- State legislators
- John Hodgson, HD-36 (2022–present)[45]
- Individuals
- Benny Johnson, conservative commentator[46]
- Charlie Kirk, founder of Turning Point Action (deceased)[47]
- Vivek Ramaswamy, former CEO of Roivant Sciences[48]
- Organizations
Fundraising
editItalics indicate a withdrawn candidate.
| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Andy Barr (R) | $8,403,849 | $9,649,131 | $2,447,795 |
| Daniel Cameron (R) | $2,154,476 | $2,072,058 | $82,418 |
| Michael Faris (R) | $61,529 | $78,371 | $0 |
| Nate Morris (R) | $8,592,132[b] | $7,883,807 | $708,324 |
| Donald Wenzel (R) | $2,431 | $2,431 | $0 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[53] | |||
Polling
editAggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Andy Barr |
Daniel Cameron |
Nate Morris |
Other/ Undecided[c] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Decision Desk HQ[54] | through May 11, 2026 | May 17, 2026 | 37.1% | 27.3% | 10.1% | 25.5% | Barr +9.8% |
| Race to the WH[55] | through May 11, 2026 | May 17, 2026 | 38.1% | 24.2% | 10.4% | 27.3%[d] | Barr +13.9% |
| FiftyPlusOne[56] | through May 11, 2026 | May 17, 2026 | 44.1% | 25.4% | 8.6% | 21.9% | Barr +18.7% |
| Aggregate | 39.8% | 25.6% | 9.7% | 24.9% | Barr +14.2% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[e] |
Margin of error |
Andy Barr |
Daniel Cameron |
Nate Morris |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UpONE Insights (R)[57][A] | May 9–11, 2026 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 27% | 8% | 3%[f] | 16% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[58][B] | May 3–5, 2026 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 24% | 9% | 5%[g] | 19% |
| Trump endorses Barr, Morris withdraws from the race and endorses Barr | ||||||||
| UpONE Insights (R)[57][A] | April 2026 | – (LV) | – | 33% | 32% | 13% | 5%[f] | 17% |
| Emerson College[59][C] | March 29–31, 2026 | 549 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 28% | 21% | 15% | 6%[h] | 29% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[60][B] | March 10–12, 2026 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 29% | 31% | 13% | – | 27% |
| UpONE Insights (R)[57][A] | March 2026 | – (LV) | – | 26% | 42% | 12% | – | 20% |
| Quantus Insights (R)[61] | February 4, 2026 | 870 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 28% | 27% | 17% | 9%[i] | 19% |
| Emerson College[62][D] | January 31 – February 2, 2026 | 523 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 24% | 21% | 14% | 4%[j] | 37% |
| UpONE Insights (R)[57][A] | February 2026 | – (LV) | – | 29% | 33% | 12% | – | 26% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[63][E] | January 27–29, 2026 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 21% | 29% | 18% | – | 32% |
| OnMessage Inc. (R)[64][F] | January 5–8, 2026 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 25% | 40% | 13% | – | 22% |
| UpONE Insights (R)[57][A] | January 2026 | – (LV) | – | 27% | 42% | 11% | – | 20% |
| UpOne Insights (R)[65][A] | October 13–14, 2025 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 25% | 42% | 10% | – | 23% |
| co/efficient (R)[66][G] | October 8–10, 2025 | 911 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 22% | 39% | 8% | 4%[k] | 27% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[67][A] | September 2–4, 2025 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 29% | 37% | 8% | – | 26% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[63] | August 2025 | – (V) | – | 17% | 40% | 5% | – | 38% |
| UpOne Insights (R)[65][A] | August 2025 | – (V) | – | 19% | 39% | 10% | – | 32% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[68][G] | April 13–15, 2025 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 18% | 44% | 2% | – | 36% |
| UpONE Insights (R)[57][A] | March 2025 | – (LV) | – | 21% | 51% | 3% | – | 25% |
| co/efficient (R)[69] | February 25–26, 2025 | 1,134 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 18% | 39% | 3% | 11%[l] | 31% |
| UpOne Insights (R)[65][A] | Mid–February 2025 | – (V) | – | 19% | 47% | 3% | – | 31% |
| co/efficient (R)[70] | December 2–3, 2024 | 1,298 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 12% | 37% | 1% | 14%[m] | 36% |
Results
edit
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Andy Barr | 283,833 | 60.5 | |
| Republican | Daniel Cameron | 144,592 | 30.8 | |
| Republican | Michael James Faris | 11,219 | 2.4 | |
| Republican | George Washington | 7,190 | 1.5 | |
| Republican | Valerie "Dr Val" Fredrick | 5,267 | 1.1 | |
| Republican | Anissa Catlett | 4,892 | 1.0 | |
| Republican | James D. Duncan | 3,773 | 0.8 | |
| Republican | Jonathan M. Holliday | 3,757 | 0.8 | |
| Republican | A. Nick Shelley | 2,771 | 0.6 | |
| Republican | Other Donald Wenzel | 1,014 | 0.2 | |
| Republican | Jimmy I. Leon | 864 | 0.2 | |
| Total votes | 469,172 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Charles Booker, former state representative (2019–2021), nominee for U.S. Senate in 2022 and candidate in 2020[72][73]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Joshua Blanton Sr., U.S. Army veteran[74][73]
- Logan Forsythe, attorney[75]
- Amy McGrath, member of the U.S. Naval Academy Board of Visitors (2022–present), nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020, and nominee for Kentucky's 6th congressional district in 2018[76]
- Dale Romans, horse trainer[77]
- Pamela Stevenson, minority leader of the Kentucky House of Representatives (2025–present) from the 43rd district (2021–present) and nominee for Attorney General in 2023[78]
- Vincent Thompson, farmer[79]
Withdrawn
editDeclined
edit- Andy Beshear, governor of Kentucky (2019–present)[82]
- Jacqueline Coleman, lieutenant governor of Kentucky (2019–present) (running for governor in 2027)[83]
Endorsements
edit- Executive branch officials
- Deval Patrick, former governor of Massachusetts (2007–2015) and U.S. assistant attorney general for civil rights (1994–1997)[84]
- U.S. representatives
- John Yarmuth, former KY-3 (2007–2023)[85]
- Statewide officials
- Andy Beshear, governor of Kentucky (2019–present)[86]
- Labor unions
- AFL-CIO Kentucky[87]
- Communications Workers of America Kentucky[87]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers[87]
- Organizations
- Political parties
- Newspapers
- Individuals
- James Carville, political consultant[92]
Fundraising
edit| Campaign finance reports as of March 30, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Charles Booker (D) | $368,365 | $170,265 | $198,100 |
| Logan Forsythe (D)[note 1] | $46,938 | $43,805 | $3,133 |
| Amy McGrath (D) | $1,942,704 | $1,631,150 | $311,554 |
| Dale Romans (D) | $821,111 | $380,233 | $440,878 |
| Pamela Stevenson (D)[note 2] | $266,963 | $242,099 | $24,864 |
| Joel Willett (D)[note 1] | $350,036 | $321,249 | $28,787 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[53] | |||
Polling
editAggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Charles Booker |
Logan Forsythe |
Amy McGrath |
Dale Romans |
Pamela Stevenson |
Vincent Thompson |
Other/ Undecided[n] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race to the WH[55] | through February 5, 2026 | February 5, 2026 | 35.7% | 2.0% | 18.1% | 0.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 38.6% | Booker +17.6% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[e] |
Margin of error |
Charles Booker |
Logan Forsythe |
Amy McGrath |
Pamela Stevenson |
Joel Willett |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[59][C] | March 29–31, 2026 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 36% | – | 18% | 3% | – | – | 38% |
| Emerson College[62][D] | January 31 – February 2, 2026 | 523 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 30% | 1% | 19% | 4% | – | 3%[o] | 43% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[93] | October 17–18, 2025 | 590 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 33% | 2% | 30% | 3% | 1% | – | 31% |
Results
edit
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Charles Booker | 155,577 | 46.8 | |
| Democratic | Amy McGrath | 119,296 | 35.9 | |
| Democratic | Pamela Stevenson | 20,610 | 6.2 | |
| Democratic | Dale Lewis Romans | 13,696 | 4.1 | |
| Democratic | Logan Forsythe | 9,648 | 2.9 | |
| Democratic | Vincent Anthony Thompson | 6,962 | 2.1 | |
| Democratic | Joshua Blanton Sr. | 6,948 | 2.1 | |
| Total votes | 332,737 | 100.0 | ||
Independents
editGeneral election
editPredictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Inside Elections[96] | Solid R | April 23, 2026 |
| Race To The WH[97] | Safe R | May 22, 2026 |
| RealClearPolitics[98] | Solid R | May 19, 2026 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[99] | Safe R | March 4, 2026 |
| The Cook Political Report[100] | Solid R | April 13, 2026 |
| The Economist[101][p] | Likely R | May 22, 2026 |
Fundraising
edit| Campaign finance reports as of May 25, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Andy Barr (R) | $8,348,202 | $9,643,722 | $2,397,558 |
| Charles Booker (D) | $508,684 | $368,375 | $140,309 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[102] | |||
Polling
edit| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[e] |
Margin of error |
Andy Barr (R) |
Charles Booker (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[103][H] | December 18–19, 2025 | 650 (V) | – | 49% | 38% | 13% |
Daniel Cameron vs. Charles Booker
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[e] |
Margin of error |
Daniel Cameron (R) |
Charles Booker (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[103][H] | December 18–19, 2025 | 650 (V) | – | 46% | 39% | 15% |
Nate Morris vs. Charles Booker
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[e] |
Margin of error |
Nate Morris (R) |
Charles Booker (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[103][H] | December 18–19, 2025 | 650 (V) | – | 41% | 40% | 19% |
Generic Republican vs. Charles Booker
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[e] |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Charles Booker (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[103][H] | December 18–19, 2025 | 650 (V) | – | 50% | 36% | 14% |
Generic Republican vs. Amy McGrath
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[e] |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Amy McGrath (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[103][H] | December 18–19, 2025 | 650 (V) | – | 51% | 35% | 14% |
Notes
edit- ↑
- Robert Aderholt, AL-04 (1997–present)[24]
- Mark Alford, MO-04 (2023–present)[24]
- Rick Allen, GA-12 (2015–present)[24]
- Jodey Arrington, TX-19 (2017–present)[24]
- Brian Babin, TX-36 (2015–present)[24]
- Jim Baird, IN-04 (2019–present)[24]
- Troy Balderson, OH-12 (2018–present)[24]
- Aaron Bean, FL-04 (2023–present)[24]
- Jack Bergman, MI-01 (2017–present)[24]
- Gus Bilirakis, FL-12 (2015–present)[24]
- Vern Buchanan, FL-16 (2007–present)[24]
- Tim Burchett, TN-02 (2019–present)[24]
- Ken Calvert, CA-41 (1993–present)[24]
- Mike Carey, OH-15 (2021–present)[24]
- John Carter, TX-31 (2003–present)[24]
- Juan Ciscomani, AZ-06 (2023–present)[25]
- Ben Cline, VA-06 (2019–present)[24]
- Mario Díaz-Balart, FL-26 (2003–present)[24]
- Troy Downing, MT-02 (2025–present)[24]
- Neal Dunn, FL-02 (2017–present)[24]
- Jake Ellzey, TX-06 (2021–present)[24]
- Ron Estes, KS-04 (2017–present)[24]
- Pat Fallon, TX-04 (2021–present)[24]
- Randy Fine, FL-06 (2025–present)[24]
- Michelle Fischbach, MN-07 (2021–present)[24]
- Scott Fitzgerald, WI-05 (2021–present)[24]
- Chuck Fleischmann, TN-03 (2011–present)[24]
- Mike Flood, NE-01 (2022–present)[24]
- Vince Fong, CA-20 (2024–present)[25]
- Russell Fry, SC-07 (2023–present)[24]
- Russ Fulcher, ID-01 (2019–present)[25]
- Andrew Garbarino, NY-02 (2021–present)[24]
- Carlos A. Giménez, FL-23 (2021–present)[24]
- Craig Goldman, TX-12 (2025–present)[25]
- Sam Graves, MO-06 (2001–present)[24]
- Glenn Grothman, WI-06 (2015–present)[24]
- Michael Guest, MS-03 (2019–present)[24]
- Brett Guthrie, KY-02 (2009–present)[20]
- Mike Haridopolos, FL-08 (2025–present)[24]
- Pat Harrigan, NC-10 (2025–present)[24]
- Diana Harshbarger, TN-01 (2021–present)[24]
- Kevin Hern, OK-01 (2018–present)[24]
- French Hill, AR-02 (2015–present)[24]
- Ashley Hinson, IA-02 (2021–present)[24]
- Bill Huizenga, MI-04 (2011–present)[24]
- Jeff Hurd, CO-03 (2025–present)[24]
- Darrell Issa, CA-48 (2021–present)[24]
- Ronny Jackson, TX-13 (2021–present)[26]
- David Joyce, OH-14 (2013–present)[24]
- Thomas Kean Jr., NJ-07 (2023–present)[24]
- Mike Kelly, PA-16 (2011–present)[24]
- Trent Kelly, MS-01 (2015–present)[24]
- Brad Knott, NC-13 (2025–present)[24]
- Darin LaHood, IL-16 (2015–present)[24]
- Nick Langworthy, NY-23 (2023–present)[24]
- Bob Latta, OH-05 (2007–present)[24]
- Mike Lawler, NY-17 (2023–present)[24]
- Laurel Lee, FL-15 (2023–present)[25]
- Julia Letlow, LA-05 (2021–present)[24]
- Morgan Luttrell, TX-08 (2023–present)[24]
- Ryan Mackenzie, PA-07 (2025–present)[25]
- Nicole Malliotakis, NY-11 (2021–present)[24]
- Brian Mast, FL-21 (2017–present)[24]
- Michael McCaul, TX-10 (2005–present)[26]
- Rich McCormick, GA-06 (2023–present)[24]
- John McGuire, VA-05 (2025–present)[24]
- Mark Messmer, IN-08 (2025–present)[24]
- Dan Meuser, PA-09 (2019–present)[24]
- Carol Miller, WV-01 (2019–present)[24]
- Mary Miller, IL-15 (2021–present)[24]
- Max Miller, OH-07 (2023–present)[24]
- Blake Moore, UT-01 (2021–present)[24]
- Tim Moore, NC-14 (2025–present)[24]
- Nathaniel Moran, TX-01 (2023–present)[24]
- Greg Murphy, NC-03 (2019–present)[24]
- Troy Nehls, TX-22 (2021–present)[24]
- Ralph Norman, SC-05 (2017–present)[24]
- Zach Nunn, IA-03 (2023–present)[24]
- Jay Obernolte, CA-23 (2021–present)[24]
- Burgess Owens, UT-04 (2021–present)[24]
- Gary Palmer, AL-06 (2015–present)[24]
- Jimmy Patronis, FL-01 (2025–present)[24]
- August Pfluger, TX-11 (2021–present)[24]
- Hal Rogers, KY-05 (1981–present)[5]
- Mike Rogers, AL-03 (2003–present)[26]
- David Rouzer, NC-07 (2015–present)[24]
- John Rutherford, FL-05 (2017–present)[24]
- María Elvira Salazar, FL-27 (2021–present)[24]
- David Schweikert, AZ-01 (2011–present)[24]
- Austin Scott, GA-08 (2011–present)[24]
- Pete Sessions, TX-21 (2021–present)[24]
- Jefferson Shreve, IN-06 (2025–present)[24]
- Adrian Smith, NE-03 (2007–present)[24]
- Lloyd Smucker, PA-11 (2017–present)[25]
- Pete Stauber, MN-08 (2019–present)[24]
- Bryan Steil, WI-01 (2019–present)[24]
- Elise Stefanik, NY-21 (2015–present)[23]
- Greg Steube, FL-17 (2019–present)[24]
- Dale Strong, AL-05 (2023–present)[24]
- Marlin Stutzman, IN-03 (2010–2017, 2025–present)[24]
- Claudia Tenney, NY-24 (2023–present)[24]
- Glenn Thompson, PA-15 (2009–present)[24]
- William Timmons, SC-04 (2019–present)[24]
- Matt Van Epps, TN-07 (2025–present)[24]
- Jeff Van Drew, NJ-02 (2019–present)[24]
- Derrick Van Orden, WI-03 (2023–present)[24]
- Tim Walberg, MI-05 (2023–present)[25]
- Ann Wagner, MO-02 (2013–present)[24]
- Randy Weber, TX-14 (2013–present)[24]
- Bruce Westerman, AR-04 (2015–present)[24]
- Roger Williams, TX-25 (2013–present)[24]
- Joe Wilson, SC-02 (2001–present)[24]
- Rob Wittman, VA-01 (2007–present)[24]
- Steve Womack, AR-03 (2011–present)[24]
- Ryan Zinke, MT-01 (2023–present)[26]
- ↑ $6,301,500 of this total was self-funded by Morris.
- ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ↑ Michael Faris at 4.3%; Andrew Shelley at 1.4%; Wende Kennedy at 0.9%
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - 1 2 Michael Farris with 3%
- ↑ Michael Farris with 5%
- ↑ Michael Farris with 3%; "Someone else" & Wendy Kennedy with 1%; Andrew Shelley with <1%
- ↑ "Another candidate" with 9%
- ↑ Michael Faris with 2%; Andrew Shelley and Wende Kennedy with 1%
- ↑ "Someone else" with 4%
- ↑ "Someone else" with 11%
- ↑ Kelly Craft with 6%; "Other" with 8%
- ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ↑ Vincent Thompson with 2%; Dale Romans with 1%
- ↑ The Economist's prediction model uses unconventional terminology. For the purpose of equivalency, their "Very Likely" ratings are formatted as a "Likely" rating while "Likely" ratings are formatted as a "Lean" rating.
Partisan clients
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Poll sponsored by Barr's campaign
- 1 2 Poll sponsored by Keep America Great, a Barr-aligned super PAC
- 1 2 Poll sponsored by WDKY-TV and Nexstar Media
- 1 2 Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media
- ↑ Poll sponsored by Morris's campaign
- ↑ Poll commissioned by Kentucky First Action, a Cameron-aligned super PAC
- 1 2 Poll commissioned by Cameron's campaign
- 1 2 3 4 5 Poll sponsored by Booker's campaign
References
edit- ↑ Schreiner, Bruce; Freking, Kevin (February 20, 2025). "Sen. Mitch McConnell won't seek reelection in 2026, ending long tenure as Republican power broker". The Associated Press. Retrieved February 20, 2025.
- ↑ "Kentucky House and Senate Republicans maintain supermajority". KACO. Retrieved December 5, 2024.
- ↑ Golshan, Tara (November 6, 2019). "Democrat Andy Beshear just unseated Kentucky's Trump-loving governor". Vox. Retrieved December 5, 2024.
- ↑ McCausland, Phil (November 4, 2020). "Sen. Mitch McConnell wins another term in Kentucky, NBC News projects". NBC News. Retrieved December 5, 2024.
- 1 2 Horn, Austin (April 22, 2025). "Kentucky Rep. Andy Barr launches bid for U.S. Senate, gets Rogers' support". Lexington Herald-Leader. Retrieved April 22, 2025.
- ↑ Horn, Austin (February 20, 2025). "Daniel Cameron launches 2026 U.S. Senate bid on heels of Mitch McConnell announcement". Lexington Herald-Leader. Retrieved February 20, 2025.
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Horn, Austin (January 13, 2026). "Who is running for US Senate and House in Kentucky? Meet the 2026 candidates". Lexington Herald-Leader. Retrieved March 31, 2026.
- ↑ "James D. Duncan - Republican for U.S. Senate" (Press release). February 3, 2026. Retrieved March 31, 2026 – via LINK nky.
- ↑ Sheroan, Ben (March 15, 2025). "Outsider thinks voters are looking for different voice". The News-Enterprise. Retrieved May 11, 2025.
- ↑ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1895468". docquery.fec.gov.
- ↑ Horn, Austin (June 26, 2025). "KY entrepreneur Nate Morris launches 'referendum' on McConnell bid for U.S. Senate". Lexington Herald-Leader.
- 1 2 Robertson, Quenton (May 1, 2026). "Nate Morris withdraws from Senate race, endorses Andy Barr". WAVE.
- ↑ Catanese, David (March 21, 2024). "Who would be the front-runner for McConnell's Senate seat in 2026?". McClatchy. Retrieved March 21, 2024.
A spokesperson for Comer...relayed that Comer has no interest in running for senate even if McConnell does not seek reelection.
- ↑ Schreiner, Bruce (February 20, 2025). "Sen. Mitch McConnell won't seek reelection in 2026, ending long tenure as Republican power broker". Associated Press. Retrieved February 20, 2025.
- ↑ Horn, Austin; Catanese, David (February 12, 2025). "Andy Barr for Senate? KY Congressman indicates he's ready to run upon McConnell retirement". Lexington Herald-Leader. Retrieved February 12, 2025.
- ↑ Horsley, McKenna (February 20, 2025). "Kentucky's McConnell not seeking reelection to U.S. Senate in 2026". Kentucky Lantern. Retrieved February 24, 2025.
Former Kentucky Senate Republican Floor Leader Damon Thayer told the Kentucky Lantern that...he does not see himself pursuing a run for the open seat.
- ↑ Horn, Austin (September 22, 2025). "Thomas Massie not ruling out US Senate bid, but bullish on Cameron's odds". Lexington Herald-Leader.
- ↑ "Rep. Andy Barr gets coveted Trump endorsement in Kentucky Senate race to replace McConnell". Associated Press. May 1, 2026. Retrieved May 1, 2026.
- ↑ "Op-Ed: Rep. Andy Barr: Why the Senate must confirm Markwayne Mullin as DHS Secretary". Washington Reporter. March 20, 2026. Retrieved April 30, 2026.
- 1 2 3 4 "SCOOP: Path clears for Rep. Andy Barr to win Senate primary". Retrieved May 5, 2026.
- 1 2 3 "Thune and Scott follow Trump's lead with endorsement of Andy Barr". Retrieved May 4, 2026.
- ↑ "EXCLUSIVE: Ted Budd Endorses Andy Barr In Kentucky Senate Race To Replace Mitch McConnell". Retrieved April 30, 2026.
- 1 2 Kelly, Erin (April 23, 2025). "Rep. Andy Barr touts GOP endorsements, looking to secure Trump's support". Spectrum News. Archived from the original on August 28, 2025. Retrieved April 24, 2025.
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 "Barr endorsed by more over 100 House conservatives for US Senate" (PDF). Punchbowl News. Archived from the original (PDF) on May 12, 2026. Retrieved April 30, 2026.
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Gomez, Henry J. (December 19, 2025). "A few House members dispute a colleague's endorsement claim in a tough Senate race". NBC News. Archived from the original on March 5, 2026.
- 1 2 3 4 Horn, Austin (December 16, 2025). "More than 100 GOP House members endorse Andy Barr's Senate campaign". Lexington Herald-Leader. Retrieved December 16, 2025.
- ↑ "Sen. Wilson endorses Rep. Barr for U.S. Senate". WNKY. June 26, 2025. Archived from the original on June 26, 2025. Retrieved May 7, 2026.
- ↑ Horn, Austin (June 26, 2025). "Andy Barr: I'm Trump-endorsed, effective and a safe bet for U.S. Senate". Lexington Herald-Leader.
- ↑ "KY Gov. Beshear speaks across country, appears with Biden". Lexington Herald-Leader. Retrieved January 3, 2026.
- 1 2 3 4 Horsley, McKenna; Lucke, Jamie (April 25, 2025). "Race is on in KY for U.S. Senate — and Trump's nod — as second Republican announces". Kentucky Lantern. Retrieved April 24, 2025.
- ↑ "Barr and Konstantopoulos annouce joint endorsement". WNKY. April 12, 2026.
- ↑ Schreiner, Bruce (October 17, 2025). "Daniel Cameron banking on his name ID to overcome lackluster fundraising in Kentucky Senate race". WPSD-TV. Retrieved November 20, 2025.
- ↑ "Kentucky Politics Insider: A Grimes comeback? Vibes at Barr launch". Lexington Herald-Leader. Retrieved November 20, 2025.
- ↑ Pinski, Hannah (April 22, 2025). "Andy Barr starts Senate campaign, announces he will run for Mitch McConnell's seat in 2026". Courier Journal. Retrieved April 24, 2025.
- ↑ "AIPAC Political Portal". candidates.aipacpac.org. Retrieved April 28, 2025.
- ↑ Horsley, McKenna (February 6, 2026). "Endorsement war brews among Kentucky Republicans ahead of primary election". Kentucky Lantern. Retrieved February 7, 2026.
- 1 2 Kelly, Erin (May 6, 2026). "Barr picks up support from Capitol Hill after Trump endorsement". Spectrum News 1. Retrieved May 7, 2026.
- ↑ "KENTUCKY RIGHT TO LIFE VOTER GUIDE - 2026 PRIMARY ELECTION PAC ALERT". Kentucky Right to Life. Retrieved May 18, 2026.
- ↑ D'Angelo, Olivia (May 12, 2026). "PRO-LIFE CHAMPION: Students for Life Action Endorses Former Kentucky Attorney General Daniel Cameron for U.S. Senate". Students for Life. Retrieved May 12, 2026.
- ↑ "AZA - Our Candidates". Retrieved May 13, 2026.
- ↑ Isenstadt, Alex (January 19, 2026). "Scoop: Musk shocks with $10 million donation in Ky. Senate race". Axios. Retrieved January 19, 2026.
- ↑ Brooks, Bode (January 20, 2026). "Elon Musk shakes up Kentucky Senate race with multimillion dollar endorsement". Yahoo News. Retrieved March 13, 2026.
Miller explained that Musk's endorsement could lay the path for pushing President Trump's involvement in the race
- ↑ Samuels, Brett (July 24, 2025). "Trump ally Banks endorses Nate Morris in Kentucky Senate race". The Hill. Retrieved July 24, 2025.
- ↑ Wren, Adam (July 30, 2025). "Bernie Moreno endorses Nate Morris in Kentucky Senate race to replace Mitch McConnell". Politico. Retrieved July 30, 2025.
- ↑ Aulbach, Lucas. "Race to replace Mitch McConnell heats up on stage: 3 takeaways from Fancy Farm 2025". Courier-Journal. Retrieved August 4, 2025.
- ↑ "Louisville Courier-Journal". Nate Morris gains ground. Can he reach front-runners in KY Senate race?. Retrieved February 24, 2026.
- ↑ Stone, Matt (June 30, 2025). "MAGA supporter Charlie Kirk explains why he's backing Nate Morris for US Senate". Courier Journal. Retrieved June 30, 2025.
- ↑ Horn, Austin (September 25, 2025). "Conservative billionaire PAC backs Nate Morris for Senate in TV ad campaign". Lexington Herald-Leader. Retrieved September 26, 2025.
- ↑ "Major conservative group makes endorsement in Kentucky's GOP Senate race". Lexington Herald-Leader. Retrieved March 31, 2026.
- ↑ Renewal, Republicans for National (August 8, 2025). "Republicans for National Renewal Endorses Nate Morris for U.S. Senate in Kentucky". Republicans for National Renewal. Retrieved August 9, 2025.
- ↑ "Senate Conservatives Fund". Retrieved August 23, 2025.
- ↑ Bolt, Dmitri (July 30, 2025). "Sen. Bernie Moreno Joins Growing List of GOP Figures Supporting Nate Morris for Senate". townhall.com.
- 1 2 "2026 Election United States Senate – Kentucky". Federal Election Commission. Retrieved July 3, 2026.
- ↑ "Kentucky Senate Republican Primary Ballot Test". Decision Desk HQ. Retrieved May 17, 2026.
- 1 2 "2026 Senate Polling Average". Race to the WH. Retrieved February 6, 2026.
- ↑ "Kentucky Republican Senate Primary". FiftyPlusOne. Retrieved May 17, 2026.
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 Foldi, Matthew [@MatthewFoldi] (May 13, 2026). "#KYSEN NEWS: @barrforsenate poised for a blowout, per new poll from @robertblizzard. Key finding here — only 68% of voters know that @realDonaldTrump just endorsed Barr — but once voters find it out, he jumps to an 80-4 lead" (Tweet). Retrieved May 13, 2026 – via X (formerly Twitter).
- ↑ Everett, Burgess [@burgessev] (May 6, 2026). "Barr starting to break away in Kentucky Senate after Trump endorsement -- Barr 43, Cameron 24, Morris 9 per Keep American Great PAC poll (Pro-Barr super PAC)" (Tweet). Retrieved May 6, 2026 – via X (formerly Twitter).
- 1 2 Brooks, Bode (April 2, 2026). "Emerson College/FOX 56 Poll shows increasing support for Barr, Booker in Senate race". WDKY-TV. Retrieved April 2, 2026.
- ↑ Blanchard, Jack; Burns, Dasha (March 18, 2026). "Pritzker power play". Politico. Retrieved March 18, 2026.
- ↑ "Kentucky US Senate Primary". Quantus Insights. February 5, 2026. Retrieved February 5, 2026.
- 1 2 "Kentucky 2026 Poll: GOP Voters Split in Three-Way Primary to Succeed McConnell". Emerson College Polling. February 5, 2026. Retrieved February 5, 2026.
- 1 2 Christenson, Josh (February 4, 2026). "Charlie Kirk-backed Senate candidate Nate Morris surging in race to replace Mitch McConnell". New York Post. Retrieved February 4, 2026.
- ↑ "Statewide Polling Shows Daniel Cameron with a Strong Lead in Both Ballot and Name ID in the Republican Primary Election for Senate". OnMessage Inc. January 13, 2026. Retrieved January 15, 2026.
- 1 2 3 Horn, Austin (October 15, 2025). "KY Politics Insider: Cameron's poll shows lead & Beshear on the road". Lexington Herald-Leader. Retrieved November 7, 2025.
- ↑ "Kentucky Senate 2026 Republican Primary". co/efficient. October 10, 2025. Retrieved October 14, 2025.
- ↑ Mueller, Eleanor (September 6, 2025). "New poll reveals Kentucky's shifting Senate race". Semafor. Retrieved September 9, 2025.
- ↑ McLaughlin, John (April 21, 2025). "Kentucky Statewide – Republican Primary for U.S. Senate" (PDF). Cameron for Kentucky. Retrieved April 24, 2025.
- ↑ Weigel, David (March 3, 2025). "McConnell protégé Cameron leads in early Kentucky Senate primary poll". Semafor. Retrieved March 3, 2025.
- 1 2 Horn, Austin (February 11, 2025). "Is Daniel Cameron running for Senate? Former KY AG says he 'would be honored to serve'". Lexington Herald Leader. Retrieved April 24, 2025.
- 1 2 "Official 2026 Primary Election Results" (PDF). Kentucky Secretary of State. Retrieved June 15, 2026.
- ↑ Horn, Austin (December 3, 2025). "Charles Booker launches third run for US Senate in Kentucky". Lexington Herald-Leader. Retrieved December 3, 2025.
- 1 2 "Former Kentucky representative officially enters US Senate race". WDKY-TV. January 9, 2026. Archived from the original on January 16, 2026. Retrieved March 31, 2026.
- ↑ "Candidate Filings with the Office of the Secretary of State". Kentucky Secretary of State.
- ↑ Kim-Martinez, Isaiah (September 16, 2025). "Former Secret Service agent announces run for McConnell's U.S. Senate seat". WHAS-TV. Retrieved September 16, 2025.
- ↑ Harbsmeier, Deborah; Anderson, Marlo (October 6, 2025). "Amy McGrath takes another shot at the U.S. Senate". Spectrum News. Retrieved October 6, 2025.
- ↑ Epstein, Reid J. (November 12, 2025). "Dale Romans Enters Kentucky Senate Race as Democrats' Latest Long Shot". The New York Times. Retrieved November 12, 2025.
- ↑ Anderson, Mario (February 10, 2025). "In Focus: House Minority Leader Pamela Stevenson talks 2025 legislative priorities in Kentucky General Assembly". Spectrum News. Retrieved February 12, 2025.
Stevenson also confirmed during this interview that she is running in the Democratic primary for Republican Sen. Mitch McConnell's seat in 2026.
- ↑ NEWS-ENTERPRISE, GREG THOMPSON THE (March 15, 2025). "Rineyville man wants to expand his public service". The News-Enterprise.
- ↑ Gedeon, Joseph (September 17, 2025). "Ex-CIA officer stripped of clearance 'determined to run' for Mitch McConnell's seat". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved September 17, 2025.
- ↑ Osting, Jennifer (January 13, 2026). "Joel Willett, veteran and former CIA officer, drops out of Kentucky Senate race". WLKY. Retrieved January 19, 2026.
- ↑ Horn, Austin (September 4, 2025). "Sen. Andy Beshear? Thanks, but no thanks, he says to prominent Dem supporters". Lexington Herald-Leader. Retrieved September 4, 2025.
- ↑ Barrett, Alexis (February 20, 2025). "Daniel Cameron, Pam Stevenson announce 2026 Senate bids". Marshall County Tribune-Courier. Retrieved February 20, 2025.
JT Henderson, a representative for Lt. Governor Jacqueline Coleman, said that Coleman is 'not interested' in running.
- ↑ "Local political trailblazers endorse Charles Booker for U.S. Senate". WHAS11. January 16, 2026. Retrieved January 18, 2026.
- ↑ Horn, Austin (March 27, 2026). "KY Politics Insider: Gallrein's Trump ad, Massie in NYT & Dembo, Alvarado on TV". Lexington Herald-Leader. Retrieved April 18, 2026.
- ↑ Staff, WKYT News (June 2, 2026). "Beshear endorses Booker for Senate". WKYT. Retrieved June 2, 2026.
- 1 2 3 "Charles Booker endorsed by labor unions in Kentucky Senate race, pledges AI job protections". WHAS11. March 16, 2026. Retrieved March 17, 2026.
- ↑ "Charles Booker for U.S. Senate in Kentucky". Our Revolution. Retrieved May 15, 2026.
- ↑ "Candidates Endorsed By Citizens Against AIPAC Corruption". Track AIPAC. Retrieved March 11, 2026.
- ↑ "Our 2026 Candidates". Working Families Party. Retrieved April 7, 2026.
- ↑ "In the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, one candidate fits the bill". May 11, 2026. Retrieved May 11, 2026.
- ↑ "Trevor McCarthy Joins the TDN Writersʼ Room Podcast Presented by Keeneland". Thoroughbred Daily News. November 25, 2025.
- ↑ "Kentucky Survey Results" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. October 24, 2025. Retrieved October 24, 2025.
- ↑ "Duncan, Scott Micheal – Candidate overview". Federal Election Commission. January 1, 2019. Retrieved May 11, 2025.
- ↑ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1925742". Federal Election Commission. Retrieved November 20, 2025.
- ↑ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 14, 2025.
- ↑ "2026 Senate Forecast". Race to the WH. Retrieved March 19, 2025.
- ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2026". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved May 24, 2026.
- ↑ "2026 Senate ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved February 13, 2025.
- ↑ "2026 CPR Senate Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 13, 2025.
- ↑ "2026 Senate Forecast". The Economist. Retrieved May 24, 2026.
- ↑ "2026 Election United States Senate - Kentucky". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved May 25, 2026.
- 1 2 3 4 5 Horn, Austin (December 31, 2025). "Booker poll claims US Senate race within striking distance". Lexington Herald-Leader. Retrieved January 3, 2026.
External links
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