The 2016 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota was held on November 8, 2016, to elect the U.S. representative from South Dakota's at-large congressional district, who would represent the state of South Dakota in the 115th United States Congress. The election coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on June 7.
November 8, 2016
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Noem: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Hawks: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Kristi Noem won re-election.
Republican primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Kristi Noem, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Paula Hawks, South Dakota State Representative[1]
General election
editPredictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[2] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Daily Kos Elections[3] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg[4] | Safe R | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| RCP[6] | Safe R | October 31, 2016 |
Polling
edit| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kristi Noem (R) |
Paula Hawks (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nielson Brothers Polling[7] | October 24–26, 2016 | 600 | ± 4% | 51% | 41% | — | 8% |
| Mason-Dixon[8] | October 18–20, 2016 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 59% | 35% | — | 6% |
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kristi Noem (incumbent) | 237,163 | 64.10% | −2.43% | |
| Democratic | Paula Hawks | 132,810 | 35.90% | +2.43% | |
| Total votes | 369,973 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
By county
edit| County[9] | Kristi Noem Republican |
Paula Hawks Democratic |
Margin | Total | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Aurora | 929 | 65.38% | 492 | 34.62% | 437 | 30.75% | 1,421 |
| Beadle | 4,491 | 65.74% | 2,340 | 34.26% | 2,151 | 31.49% | 6,831 |
| Bennett | 721 | 63.25% | 419 | 36.75% | 302 | 26.49% | 1,140 |
| Bon Homme | 1,942 | 64.99% | 1,046 | 35.01% | 896 | 29.99% | 2,988 |
| Brookings | 7,418 | 58.09% | 5,352 | 41.91% | 2,066 | 16.18% | 12,770 |
| Brown | 9,676 | 59.85% | 6,492 | 40.15% | 3,184 | 19.69% | 16,168 |
| Brule | 1,585 | 68.97% | 713 | 31.03% | 872 | 37.95% | 2,298 |
| Buffalo | 200 | 40.82% | 290 | 59.18% | -90 | -18.37% | 490 |
| Butte | 3,407 | 79.20% | 895 | 20.80% | 2,512 | 58.39% | 4,302 |
| Campbell | 699 | 84.62% | 127 | 15.38% | 572 | 69.25% | 826 |
| Charles Mix | 2,288 | 66.47% | 1,154 | 33.53% | 1,134 | 32.95% | 3,442 |
| Clark | 1,099 | 65.30% | 584 | 34.70% | 515 | 30.60% | 1,683 |
| Clay | 2,427 | 47.86% | 2,644 | 52.14% | -217 | -4.28% | 5,071 |
| Codington | 7,866 | 66.69% | 3,928 | 33.31% | 3,938 | 33.39% | 11,794 |
| Corson | 631 | 55.21% | 512 | 44.79% | 119 | 10.41% | 1,143 |
| Custer | 3,445 | 72.79% | 1,288 | 27.21% | 2,157 | 45.57% | 4,733 |
| Davison | 5,253 | 65.56% | 2,759 | 34.44% | 2,494 | 31.13% | 8,012 |
| Day | 1,580 | 57.00% | 1,192 | 43.00% | 388 | 14.00% | 2,772 |
| Deuel | 1,401 | 66.71% | 699 | 33.29% | 702 | 33.43% | 2,100 |
| Dewey | 734 | 43.35% | 959 | 56.65% | -225 | -13.29% | 1,693 |
| Douglas | 1,334 | 82.81% | 277 | 17.19% | 1,057 | 65.61% | 1,611 |
| Edmunds | 1,394 | 72.83% | 520 | 27.17% | 874 | 45.66% | 1,914 |
| Fall River | 2,595 | 73.51% | 935 | 26.49% | 1,660 | 47.03% | 3,530 |
| Faulk | 838 | 73.57% | 301 | 26.43% | 537 | 47.15% | 1,139 |
| Grant | 2,467 | 68.53% | 1,133 | 31.47% | 1,334 | 37.06% | 3,600 |
| Gregory | 1,519 | 72.64% | 572 | 27.36% | 947 | 45.29% | 2,091 |
| Haakon | 926 | 89.47% | 109 | 10.53% | 817 | 78.94% | 1,035 |
| Hamlin | 2,062 | 73.85% | 730 | 26.15% | 1,332 | 47.71% | 2,792 |
| Hand | 1,381 | 75.10% | 458 | 24.90% | 923 | 50.19% | 1,839 |
| Hanson | 1,444 | 73.34% | 525 | 26.66% | 919 | 46.67% | 1,969 |
| Harding | 679 | 89.81% | 77 | 10.19% | 602 | 79.63% | 756 |
| Hughes | 5,596 | 67.70% | 2,670 | 32.30% | 2,926 | 35.40% | 8,266 |
| Hutchinson | 2,551 | 75.47% | 829 | 24.53% | 1,722 | 50.95% | 3,380 |
| Hyde | 518 | 74.64% | 176 | 25.36% | 342 | 49.28% | 694 |
| Jackson | 745 | 68.54% | 342 | 31.46% | 403 | 37.07% | 1,087 |
| Jerauld | 638 | 64.90% | 345 | 35.10% | 293 | 29.81% | 983 |
| Jones | 460 | 82.00% | 101 | 18.00% | 359 | 63.99% | 561 |
| Kingsbury | 1,673 | 65.30% | 889 | 34.70% | 784 | 30.60% | 2,562 |
| Lake | 4,095 | 60.68% | 2,654 | 39.32% | 1,441 | 21.35% | 6,749 |
| Lawrence | 8,041 | 68.06% | 3,774 | 31.94% | 4,267 | 36.12% | 11,815 |
| Lincoln | 16,739 | 66.11% | 8,581 | 33.89% | 8,158 | 32.22% | 25,320 |
| Lyman | 948 | 66.06% | 487 | 33.94% | 461 | 32.13% | 1,435 |
| Marshall | 1,120 | 56.82% | 851 | 43.18% | 269 | 13.65% | 1,971 |
| McCook | 1,786 | 67.91% | 844 | 32.09% | 942 | 35.82% | 2,630 |
| McPherson | 940 | 79.59% | 241 | 20.41% | 699 | 59.19% | 1,181 |
| Meade | 8,756 | 75.78% | 2,799 | 24.22% | 5,957 | 51.55% | 11,555 |
| Mellette | 419 | 60.46% | 274 | 39.54% | 145 | 20.92% | 693 |
| Miner | 694 | 63.55% | 398 | 36.45% | 296 | 27.11% | 1,092 |
| Minnehaha | 44,809 | 57.45% | 33,184 | 42.55% | 11,625 | 14.91% | 77,993 |
| Moody | 1,545 | 52.30% | 1,409 | 47.70% | 136 | 4.60% | 2,954 |
| Oglala Lakota | 514 | 17.87% | 2,362 | 82.13% | -1,848 | -64.26% | 2,876 |
| Pennington | 31,746 | 67.19% | 15,502 | 32.81% | 16,244 | 34.38% | 47,248 |
| Perkins | 1,353 | 83.99% | 258 | 16.01% | 1,095 | 67.97% | 1,611 |
| Potter | 1,076 | 80.06% | 268 | 19.94% | 808 | 60.12% | 1,344 |
| Roberts | 2,200 | 56.02% | 1,727 | 43.98% | 473 | 12.04% | 3,927 |
| Sanborn | 804 | 71.21% | 325 | 28.79% | 479 | 42.43% | 1,129 |
| Spink | 1,875 | 62.98% | 1,102 | 37.02% | 773 | 25.97% | 2,977 |
| Stanley | 1,132 | 72.33% | 433 | 27.67% | 699 | 44.66% | 1,565 |
| Sully | 668 | 77.76% | 191 | 22.24% | 477 | 55.53% | 859 |
| Todd | 580 | 27.51% | 1,528 | 72.49% | -948 | -44.97% | 2,108 |
| Tripp | 1,976 | 75.33% | 647 | 24.67% | 1,329 | 50.67% | 2,623 |
| Turner | 2,959 | 70.82% | 1,219 | 29.18% | 1,740 | 41.65% | 4,178 |
| Union | 5,758 | 73.49% | 2,077 | 26.51% | 3,681 | 46.98% | 7,835 |
| Walworth | 1,891 | 76.93% | 567 | 23.07% | 1,324 | 53.86% | 2,458 |
| Yankton | 5,763 | 60.08% | 3,830 | 39.92% | 1,933 | 20.15% | 9,593 |
| Ziebach | 364 | 47.40% | 404 | 52.60% | -40 | -5.21% | 768 |
| Totals | 237,163 | 64.10% | 132,810 | 35.90% | 104,353 | 28.21% | 369,973 |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
editSee also
editReferences
edit- ↑ "Dem Paula Hawks starts House run against Kristi Noem". Capital Journal. Associated Press. August 3, 2015. Retrieved October 11, 2015.
- ↑ "2016 House Race Ratings for November 7, 2016". House: Race Ratings. Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 12, 2016.
- ↑ "Daily Kos Elections House race ratings: Initial ratings for 2016". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved November 7, 2016.
- ↑ "2016 House Ratings (November 3, 2016)". House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
- ↑ "2016 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 7, 2016.
- ↑ "Battle for the House 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 31, 2016.
- ↑ Nielson Brothers Polling Archived 2016-11-02 at the Wayback Machine
- ↑ Mason-Dixon
- 1 2 Krebs, Shantel (November 15, 2016). "2016 General Election Official Results State Canvass" (PDF). Secretary of State of South Dakota. Archived (PDF) from the original on June 3, 2025. Retrieved April 5, 2026.
External links
editOfficial campaign websites (Archived)