| Australian Labor Party (57 Seats) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seat | Member | Margin | Classification | |
| Hastings1 | Neale Burgess | 0.01% | Marginal | |
| Caulfield1 | David Southwick | 0.2% | Marginal | |
| Hawthorn | John Kennedy | 0.6% | Marginal | |
| Nepean | Chris Brayne | 0.7% | Marginal | |
| Northcote | Kat Theophanous | 1.7% v GRN | Marginal | |
| Ashwood2 | Will Fowles | 2.0% | Marginal | |
| Pakenham | New seat | 2.2% | Marginal | |
| Ripon1 | Louise Staley | 2.8% | Marginal | |
| South Barwon | Darren Cheeseman | 3.0% | Marginal | |
| Box Hill | Paul Hamer | 3.1% | Marginal | |
| Ringwood | Dustin Halse | 3.2% | Marginal | |
| Morwell1 | Russell Northe | 4.0% | Marginal | |
| Melton | Steve McGhie | 5.0% | Marginal | |
| Richmond | Richard Wynne | 5.8% | Marginal | |
| Monbulk | James Merlino | 7.1% | Fairly safe | |
| Eltham | Vicki Ward | 8.8% | Fairly safe | |
| Werribee | Tim Pallas | 9.1% v IND | Fairly safe | |
| Cranbourne | Pauline Richards | 9.3% | Fairly safe | |
| Eureka2 | Michaela Settle | 9.6% | Fairly safe | |
| Frankston | Paul Edbrooke | 10.2% | Safe | |
| Geelong | Christine Couzens | 10.3% | Safe | |
| Narre Warren North | Luke Donnellan | 10.4% | Safe | |
| Narre Warren South | Gary Maas | 10.4% | Safe | |
| Wendouree | Juliana Addison | 11.0% | Safe | |
| Bellarine | Lisa Neville | 11.4% | Safe | |
| Bentleigh | Nick Staikos | 11.4% | Safe | |
| Carrum | Sonya Kilkenny | 12.0% | Safe | |
| Bendigo East | Jacinta Allan | 12.1% | Safe | |
| Ivanhoe | Anthony Carbines | 12.3% | Safe | |
| Niddrie | Ben Carroll | 12.5% | Safe | |
| Point Cook2 | Jill Hennessy | 12.8% | Safe | |
| Macedon | Mary-Anne Thomas | 13.4% | Safe | |
| Mordialloc | Tim Richardson | 13.4% | Safe | |
| Albert Park | Martin Foley | 13.9% | Safe | |
| Sunbury | Josh Bull | 14.5% | Safe | |
| Clarinda | Meng Heang Tak | 14.9% | Safe | |
| Essendon | Danny Pearson | 15.8% | Safe | |
| Mulgrave | Daniel Andrews | 15.8% | Safe | |
| Oakleigh | Steve Dimopoulos | 16.0% | Safe | |
| Bundoora | Colin Brooks | 16.2% | Safe | |
| Yan Yean | Danielle Green | 16.9% | Safe | |
| Tarneit | Sarah Connolly | 17.9% | Safe | |
| Sydenham | Natalie Hutchins | 18.3% | Safe | |
| Ivanhoe | John Eren | 19.1% | Safe | |
| Williamstown | Melissa Horne | 19.9% | Safe | |
| Kalkallo2 | New seat | 20.9% | Very safe | |
| Preston | Robin Scott | 21.3% v GRN | Very safe | |
| Kororoit | Marlene Kairouz | 20.9% | Very safe | |
| Greenvale | New seat | 22.0% | Very safe | |
| St Albans | Natalie Suleyman | 22.0% | Very safe | |
| Greenvale | Lizzie Blandthorn | 22.3% | Very safe | |
| Dandenong | Gabrielle Williams | 23.1% | Very safe | |
| Laverton | New seat | 23.4% | Very safe | |
| Mill Park | Lily D'Ambrosio | 24.9% | Very safe | |
| Broadmeadows | Frank McGuire | 25.2% | Very safe | |
| Thomastown | Bronwyn Halfpenny | 27.4% | Very safe | |
| Footscray | Katie Hall | 27.6% | Very safe | |
| 1The following electorate margins have notionally changed following a redistribution conducted by the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) 2The following electorates were renamed or redistributed from an abolished electorate by the VEC. Italics indicate a sitting member is retiring at the election. | ||||
| Liberal/National Coalition (26 Seats) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seat | Member | Party | Margin | Classification |
| Mildura1 | Ali Cupper | IND | 0.4% | Marginal |
| Sandringham | Brad Rowswell | LIB | 0.4% | Marginal |
| Brighton | James Newbury | LIB | 0.5% | Marginal |
| Bayswater1 | Jackson Taylor | ALP | 0.6% | Marginal |
| Bass1 | Jordan Crugnale | ALP | 0.7% | Marginal |
| Glen Waverley2 | New seat | LIB | 0.9% | Marginal |
| Croydon | David Hodgett | LIB | 1.0% | Marginal |
| Eildon | Cindy McLeish | LIB | 1.0% | Marginal |
| Berwick2 | Brad Battin | LIB | 1.3% | Marginal |
| Evelyn | Bridget Vallence | LIB | 1.3% | Marginal |
| Polwarth | Richard Riordan | LIB | 2.0% | Marginal |
| Benambra | Bill Tilley | LIB | 2.6% v IND | Marginal |
| South-West Coast | Roma Britnell | LIB | 3.2% | Marginal |
| Warrandyte | Ryan Smith | LIB | 3.8% | Marginal |
| Kew | Tim Smith | LIB | 4.7% | Marginal |
| Mornington | David Morris | LIB | 5.0% | Marginal |
| Bulleen | Matthew Guy | LIB | 5.5% | Marginal |
| Rowville | Kim Wells | LIB | 5.5% | Marginal |
| Malvern | Michael O'Brien | LIB | 6.0% | Fairly safe |
| Narracan | Gary Blackwood | LIB | 10.0% | Safe |
| Ovens Valley | Tim McCurdy | NAT | 12.1% | Safe |
| Gippsland South | Danny O'Brien | NAT | 14.2% | Safe |
| Euroa | Steph Ryan | NAT | 15.8% | Safe |
| Gippsland East | Tim Bull | NAT | 17.6% | Safe |
| Lowan | Emma Kealy | NAT | 21.1% | Very safe |
| Murray Plains | Peter Walsh | NAT | 24.0% | Very safe |
| 1The following electorate margins have notionally changed following a redistribution conducted by the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) 2The following electorates were renamed or redistribued from an abolished electorate by the VEC. Italics indicate a sitting member is retiring at the election. | ||||
| Crossbench Seats (4 seats) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seat | Member | Party | Margin | Classification |
| Melbourne | Ellen Sandell | GRN | 1.7% | Marginal |
| Brunswick | Tim Read | GRN | 2.0% | Marginal |
| Prahran | Sam Hibbins | GRN | 8.2% | Fairly safe |
| Shepparton | Suzanna Sheed | IND | 5.3% v LIB | Marginal |
- 1 2 Treasury (Australia) (29 March 2022). Table 1.1: Department of the Treasury resource statement – Budget estimates for 2022-23 as at Budget March 2022 (PDF) (Report). Commonwealth of Australia. p. 11. Retrieved 2022-05-28.
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Two-party-preferred vote results in Higgins
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Seat projections in the Australian House of Representatives based on a uniform swing from the pre-election pendulum
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Graph of opinion polls conducted on the performance of Malcolm Turnbull as Prime Minister
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Graph of opinion polls conducted on the performance of Malcolm Turnbull as Prime Minister
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Graph of opinion polls conducted on the performance of Tony Abbott as Prime Minister
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Graph of opinion polls conducted on the performance of Julia Gillard as Prime Minister
