Opinion polling for the 2017 United Kingdom general election was carried out by various organisations to gauge voting intention. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. The opinion polls listed range from the previous election on 7 May 2015 to the election on 8 June 2017.
Under the Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011, the next general election after 2015 was not scheduled to be held until 7 May 2020. However, on 18 April 2017, Prime Minister Theresa May announced she would seek a snap election on 8 June 2017, and this was officially triggered by a successful House of Commons motion the following day.
Graphical summaries
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National poll results
editMost opinion polls do not cover Northern Ireland, which has different major political parties from the rest of the United Kingdom. The Scottish National Party (SNP) only stands candidates in Scotland. Due to rounding, total figures may not add up to 100%. The lead is calculated by subtracting the polling percentage of the first party (shaded in the party's colour, and in bold) by that of the second party.
2017
edit| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size |
Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | SNP | Grn | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Jun 2017 | 2017 general election[a] | – | 43.5% | 41.0% | 1.9% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.5 |
| 6–7 Jun | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 1,291 | 44% | 36% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 8 |
| 6–7 Jun | BMG/The Herald | 1,199 | 46% | 33% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 13 |
| 6–7 Jun | Survation | 2,798 | 41% | 40% | 2% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1 |
| 6–7 Jun | ICM/The Guardian | 1,532 | 46% | 34% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 12 |
| 5–7 Jun | YouGov/The Times[b] | 2,130 | 42%[b] | 35%[b] | 5% | 10% | 5%[c] | 2% | 1% | 7[b] |
| 5–7 Jun | ComRes/Independent Archived 8 June 2017 at the Wayback Machine | 2,051 | 44% | 34% | 5% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 10 |
| 4–7 Jun | Qriously/Wired | 2,213 | 39% | 41% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 7% | 2 | |
| 2–7 Jun | Panelbase Archived 8 June 2017 at the Wayback Machine | 3,018 | 44% | 36% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 8 |
| 1–7 Jun | Kantar Public Archived 11 June 2017 at the Wayback Machine | 2,159 | 43% | 38% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 5 |
| 4–6 Jun | Opinium | 3,002 | 43% | 36% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 7 |
| 2–4 Jun | ICM/The Guardian | 2,000 | 45% | 34% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 11 |
| 3 Jun | London Bridge terror attack, national campaigning partially suspended on 4 June[3] | |||||||||
| 3 Jun | Survation/Mail on Sunday | 1,049 | 40% | 39% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 1 | |
| 2–3 Jun | Survation/Good Morning Britain[d] | 1,103 | 41% | 40% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 1 |
| 1–2 Jun | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,989 | 42% | 38% | 4% | 9% | 4%[c] | 2% | 0% | 4 |
| 31 May – 2 Jun | ICM/The Sun on Sunday | 2,051 | 45% | 34% | 5% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 11 |
| 31 May – 2 Jun | ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday | 2,038 | 47% | 35% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 12 |
| 31 May – 1 Jun | Norstat | 1,013 | 39% | 35% | 6% | 8% | * | 3% | 9% | 4 |
| 31 May – 1 Jun | ORB/Telegraph | 1,656 | 45% | 36% | 4% | 8% | 7% | 9 | ||
| 30 May – 1 Jun | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard[d] | 1,046 | 45% | 40% | 2% | 7% | 3%[c] | 2% | 1% | 5 |
| 26 May – 1 Jun | Panelbase Archived 14 August 2017 at the Wayback Machine | 1,224 | 44% | 36% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 8 |
| 30–31 May | Opinium/Observer | 2,006 | 43% | 37% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 6 |
| 30–31 May | YouGov/The Times | 1,875 | 42% | 39% | 4% | 7% | 4%[c] | 2% | 1% | 3 |
| 25–30 May | Kantar Public Archived 14 August 2017 at the Wayback Machine | 1,199 | 43% | 33% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 10 |
| 26–29 May | ICM/The Guardian | 2,002 | 45% | 33% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 12 |
| 26–29 May | Qriously | 1,153 | 43% | 39% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4 |
| 26–27 May | Survation/Good Morning Britain[d] | 1,009 | 43% | 37% | 4% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 6 |
| 25–26 May | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,003 | 43% | 36% | 4% | 9% | 4%[c] | 2% | 1% | 7 |
| 24–26 May | ICM/The Sun on Sunday | 2,044 | 46% | 32% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 14 |
| 24–26 May | ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday Archived 29 May 2017 at the Wayback Machine | 2,024 | 46% | 34% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 12 |
| 24–25 May | ORB/Sunday Telegraph | 1,556 | 44% | 38% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 6 | |
| 24–25 May | YouGov/The Times | 2,052 | 43% | 38% | 4% | 10% | 5%[c] | 1% | 0% | 5 |
| 23–24 May | Opinium/Observer | 2,002 | 45% | 35% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 10 |
| 19–23 May | Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 1,019 | 48% | 33% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 15 |
| 22 May | Manchester Arena bombing, national campaigning suspended 23–24 May | |||||||||
| 18–22 May | Kantar Public Archived 6 June 2017 at the Wayback Machine | 1,200 | 42% | 34% | 4% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 8 |
| 19–21 May | ICM/The Guardian | 2,004 | 47% | 33% | 4% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 14 |
| 19–20 May | Survation/Good Morning Britain[d] | 1,034 | 43% | 34% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 9 |
| 19–20 May | Survation/Mail on Sunday | 1,017 | 46% | 34% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 12 |
| 18–19 May | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,925 | 44% | 35% | 3% | 9% | 5%[c] | 2% | 1% | 9 |
| 17–18 May | ORB/Sunday Telegraph | 1,551 | 46% | 34% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 12 | |
| 16–17 May | Opinium/Observer | 2,003 | 46% | 33% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 13 |
| 16–17 May | YouGov/The Times | 1,861 | 45% | 32% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 13 |
| 15–17 May | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 1,053 | 49% | 34% | 2% | 7% | 6% | 3% | * | 15 |
| 12–15 May | Panelbase Archived 14 August 2017 at the Wayback Machine | 1,026 | 47% | 33% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 3% | * | 14 |
| 11–15 May | Kantar Public Archived 22 June 2017 at the Wayback Machine | 1,201 | 47% | 29% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 18 |
| 12–14 May | ICM/The Guardian | 2,030 | 48% | 28% | 6% | 10% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 20 |
| 3–14 May | GfK/Business Insider | 1,952 | 48% | 28% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 20 |
| 12–13 May | Survation/Good Morning Britain | 1,016 | 48% | 30% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 18 |
| 11–12 May | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,630 | 49% | 31% | 3% | 9% | 5%[c] | 2% | 1% | 18 |
| 10–12 May | ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday | 2,007 | 48% | 30% | 5% | 10% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 18 |
| 9–12 May | Opinium/Observer | 2,003 | 47% | 32% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 15 |
| 10–11 May | ORB/Sunday Telegraph | 1,508 | 46% | 32% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 14 | |
| 9–10 May | YouGov/The Times | 1,651 | 46% | 30% | 5% | 11% | 6%[c] | 2% | 1% | 16 |
| 5–9 May | Panelbase Archived 14 August 2017 at the Wayback Machine | 1,027 | 48% | 31% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 17 |
| 4–8 May | Kantar Public Archived 14 August 2017 at the Wayback Machine | 1,201 | 44% | 28% | 8% | 11% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 16 |
| 5–7 May | ICM/The Guardian | 2,038 | 49% | 27% | 6% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 22 |
| 5–6 May | Survation/Good Morning Britain | 1,005 | 47% | 30% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 17 |
| 4–5 May | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,644 | 47% | 28% | 6% | 11% | 5%[c] | 2% | 1% | 19 |
| 3–5 May | ICM/Sun on Sunday | 2,020 | 46% | 28% | 8% | 10% | 4% | 4% | * | 18 |
| 4 May | Local elections in England, Scotland and Wales; Mayoral elections in England | |||||||||
| 3–4 May | ORB/Sunday Telegraph | 1,550 | 46% | 31% | 8% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 15 | |
| 2–3 May | Opinium/Observer | 2,005 | 46% | 30% | 7% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 16 |
| 2–3 May | YouGov/The Times | 2,066 | 48% | 29% | 5% | 10% | 5%[c] | 2% | 1% | 19 |
| 28 Apr – 2 May | Panelbase Archived 10 June 2017 at the Wayback Machine | 1,034 | 47% | 30% | 5% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 17 |
| 28 Apr – 2 May | ICM/The Guardian | 1,970 | 47% | 28% | 8% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 19 |
| 28 Apr – 1 May | Qriously | 1,240 | 44% | 28% | 8% | 9% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 15 |
| 27 Apr – 2 May | Kantar Public Archived 8 July 2017 at the Wayback Machine | 1,205 | 48% | 24% | 7% | 11% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 24 |
| 27–28 Apr | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,612 | 44% | 31% | 6% | 11% | 4%[c] | 2% | 2% | 13 |
| 26–28 Apr | ICM/Sun on Sunday | 2,012 | 47% | 28% | 8% | 9% | 4% | 4% | * | 19 |
| 25–28 Apr | Opinium/Observer | 2,007 | 47% | 30% | 7% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 17 |
| 26–27 Apr | ORB/Sunday Telegraph | 2,093 | 42% | 31% | 8% | 10% | 4% | 4% | 11 | |
| 25–26 Apr | YouGov/The Times | 1,590 | 45% | 29% | 7% | 10% | 5%[c] | 3% | 1% | 16 |
| 21–25 Apr | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard[permanent dead link] | 1,004 | 49% | 26% | 4% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 23 |
| 21–24 Apr | ICM/The Guardian | 2,024 | 48% | 27% | 7% | 10% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 21 |
| 20–24 Apr | Panelbase Archived 17 May 2017 at the Wayback Machine | 1,026 | 49% | 27% | 5% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 22 |
| 20–24 Apr | Kantar Public Archived 26 April 2017 at the Wayback Machine | 1,196 | 46% | 24% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 22 |
| Pre-23 Apr | Norstat/Sunday Express | 1,036 | 42% | 26% | 8% | 10% | * | 6% | 8% | 16 |
| 21–22 Apr | Survation/Mail on Sunday | 2,072 | 40% | 29% | 11% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 11 |
| 20–21 Apr | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,590 | 48% | 25% | 5% | 12% | 6%[c] | 3% | 1% | 23 |
| 19–21 Apr | ICM/ITV | 2,027 | 48% | 26% | 8% | 10% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 22 |
| 19–20 Apr | ORB/Daily Telegraph | 1,860 | 44% | 29% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 15 | |
| 19–20 Apr | ComRes/Sunday Mirror Archived 22 April 2017 at the Wayback Machine | 2,074 | 50% | 25% | 7% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 25 |
| 19–20 Apr | Opinium/Observer | 2,003 | 45% | 26% | 9% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 19 |
| 2–20 Apr | YouGov | 12,746 | 44% | 25% | 9% | 12% | 6%[c] | 3% | 1% | 19 |
| 18–19 Apr | YouGov/The Times | 1,727 | 48% | 24% | 7% | 12% | 6%[c] | 2% | 1% | 24 |
| 18 Apr | ICM/The Guardian | 1,000 | 46% | 25% | 8% | 11% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 21 |
| 18 Apr | Prime Minister Theresa May announces her intention to seek a snap general election to be held on 8 June 2017 | |||||||||
| 14–17 Apr | ICM/The Guardian | 2,052 | 44% | 26% | 11% | 10% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 18 |
| 12–13 Apr | YouGov/The Times | 2,069 | 44% | 23% | 10% | 12% | 6%[c] | 4% | 1% | 21 |
| 11–13 Apr | ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday Archived 15 April 2017 at the Wayback Machine | 2,026 | 46% | 25% | 9% | 11% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 21 |
| 11–13 Apr | Opinium/Observer | 2,002 | 38% | 29% | 14% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 1% | 9 |
| 5–6 Apr | YouGov/The Times | 1,651 | 42% | 25% | 11% | 11% | 8%[c] | 3% | 1% | 17 |
| 31 Mar – 2 Apr | ICM/The Guardian | 2,005 | 43% | 25% | 11% | 11% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 18 |
| 26–27 Mar | YouGov/The Times | 1,957 | 43% | 25% | 10% | 11% | 6%[c] | 3% | 1% | 18 |
| 20–21 Mar | YouGov/The Times | 1,627 | 41% | 25% | 12% | 11% | 6%[c] | 3% | 2% | 16 |
| 17–19 Mar | ICM/The Guardian | 2,012 | 45% | 26% | 10% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 19 |
| 15–17 Mar | ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday Archived 18 March 2017 at the Wayback Machine | 2,026 | 42% | 25% | 10% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 17 |
| 14–17 Mar | Opinium/Observer | 2,007 | 41% | 28% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 13 |
| 1–15 Mar | GfK | 1,938 | 41% | 28% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 1% | 13% |
| 13–14 Mar | YouGov/The Times | 1,631 | 44% | 27% | 9% | 10% | 5%[c] | 4% | 0% | 17 |
| 10–14 Mar | Ipsos MORI[permanent dead link] | 1,032 | 43% | 30% | 6% | 13% | 4% | 4% | – | 13 |
| 8–9 Mar | YouGov/The Times | 1,598 | 44% | 25% | 11% | 10% | 6%[c] | 3% | 1% | 19 |
| 3–5 Mar | ICM/The Guardian | 1,787 | 44% | 28% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 16 |
| 2 Mar | Northern Ireland Assembly election | |||||||||
| 27–28 Feb | YouGov/The Times | 1,666 | 42% | 25% | 12% | 11% | 6%[c] | 4% | 1% | 17 |
| 23 Feb | Stoke-on-Trent Central by-election (Lab hold) and Copeland by-election (Con gain from Lab) | |||||||||
| 21–22 Feb | YouGov/The Times | 2,060 | 41% | 25% | 13% | 11% | 6%[c] | 3% | 1% | 16 |
| 17–19 Feb | ICM/The Guardian | 2,028 | 44% | 26% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 18 |
| 14–16 Feb | Opinium/Observer | 2,004 | 40% | 27% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 13 |
| 10–14 Feb | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 1,014 | 40% | 29% | 9% | 13% | 5% | 4% | 0% | 11 |
| 12–13 Feb | YouGov/The Times | 2,052 | 40% | 24% | 15% | 11% | 6%[c] | 4% | 2% | 16 |
| 8–10 Feb | ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday Archived 13 February 2017 at the Wayback Machine | 1,218 | 41% | 26% | 11% | 11% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 15 |
| 5–6 Feb | YouGov/The Times | 1,984 | 40% | 24% | 14% | 11% | 6%[c] | 4% | 1% | 16 |
| 3–5 Feb | ICM/The Guardian | 1,984 | 42% | 27% | 12% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 15 |
| 31 Jan – 1 Feb | Opinium/Observer | 2,005 | 37% | 30% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 7 |
| 30–31 Jan | YouGov/The Times | 1,705 | 40% | 26% | 12% | 11% | 6%[c] | 4% | 1% | 14 |
| 23–24 Jan | YouGov/The Times | 1,643 | 40% | 24% | 14% | 10% | 6%[c] | 3% | 0% | 16 |
| 20–22 Jan | ICM/The Guardian | 2,052 | 42% | 26% | 13% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 16 |
| 17–18 Jan | YouGov/The Times | 1,654 | 42% | 25% | 12% | 11% | 6%[c] | 3% | 0% | 17 |
| 13–16 Jan | Ipsos MORI | 1,132 | 43% | 31% | 6% | 11% | 4% | 4% | * | 12 |
| 13 Jan | Survation/Mail on Sunday | 1,177 | 38% | 29% | 13% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 9 |
| 10–12 Jan | Opinium/Observer | 2,007 | 38% | 30% | 14% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 8 |
| 9–10 Jan | YouGov/The Times | 1,660 | 39% | 28% | 13% | 11% | 6%[c] | 3% | 1% | 11 |
| 6–8 Jan | ICM/The Guardian | 2,000 | 42% | 28% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 4% | * | 14 |
| 3–4 Jan | YouGov/The Times | 1,740 | 39% | 26% | 14% | 10% | 6%[c] | 4% | 1% | 13 |
2016
edit| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size |
Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | SNP | Grn | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18–19 Dec | YouGov/The Times | 1,595 | 39% | 24% | 14% | 12% | 6%[c] | 4% | 1% | 15 |
| 13–16 Dec | Opinium/Observer | 2,000 | 38% | 31% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 7 |
| 9–12 Dec | Ipsos MORI[permanent dead link] | 1,003 | 40% | 29% | 9% | 14% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 11 |
| 9–11 Dec | ICM/The Guardian | 2,049 | 41% | 27% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 14 |
| 8 Dec | Sleaford and North Hykeham by-election (Con hold) | |||||||||
| 4–5 Dec | YouGov/The Times | 1,667 | 42% | 25% | 12% | 11% | 6%[c] | 4% | 1% | 17 |
| 1 Dec | Richmond Park by-election (LD gain from Con) | |||||||||
| 28–29 Nov | YouGov/The Times | 1,624 | 39% | 27% | 14% | 9% | 6%[c] | 4% | 1% | 12 |
| 28 Nov | Paul Nuttall is elected leader of UKIP | |||||||||
| 25–27 Nov | ICM/The Guardian | 2,009 | 44% | 28% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 16 |
| 21–22 Nov | YouGov/The Times | 1,693 | 41% | 28% | 12% | 9% | 6%[c] | 4% | 0% | 13 |
| 18–20 Nov | ICM/The Guardian | 2,031 | 42% | 28% | 11% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 14 |
| 15–18 Nov | Opinium | 2,005 | 41% | 29% | 12% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 12 |
| 14–15 Nov | YouGov/The Times | 1,717 | 42% | 28% | 11% | 8% | 7%[c] | 4% | 1% | 14 |
| 11–14 Nov | Ipsos MORI[permanent dead link] | 1,013 | 42% | 33% | 7% | 10% | 5%[c] | 3% | 1% | 9 |
| 1–4 Nov | Opinium | 2,001 | 40% | 32% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 4% | – | 8 |
| 31 Oct – 1 Nov | YouGov/The Times | 1,608 | 41% | 27% | 11% | 10% | 6%[c] | 4% | 1% | 14 |
| 28–30 Oct | ICM/The Guardian | 2,040 | 43% | 27% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 16 |
| 24–25 Oct | YouGov/The Times | 1,655 | 40% | 27% | 11% | 11% | 7%[c] | 3% | 1% | 13 |
| 19–24 Oct | BMG | 1,546 | 42% | 28% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 14 |
| 20 Oct | Witney by-election (Con hold) and Batley & Spen by-election (Lab hold, unopposed by other major parties) | |||||||||
| 19–20 Oct | YouGov/Election Data | 1,608 | 42% | 26% | 12% | 8% | 6%[c] | 5% | 1% | 16 |
| 14–17 Oct | Ipsos MORI[permanent dead link] | 1,016 | 47% | 29% | 6% | 7% | 6%[c] | 4% | 1% | 18 |
| 11–12 Oct | YouGov/The Times | 1,669 | 42% | 28% | 11% | 9% | 6%[c] | 3% | 0% | 14 |
| 7–9 Oct | ICM/The Guardian | 2,017 | 43% | 26% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 17 |
| 28–29 Sep | YouGov/The Times | 1,658 | 39% | 30% | 13% | 8% | 6%[c] | 3% | 0% | 9 |
| 24 Sep | Jeremy Corbyn is re-elected leader of the Labour Party in a leadership challenge | |||||||||
| 21–23 Sep | ICM/Sun on Sunday | 2,015 | 41% | 26% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 15 |
| 20–23 Sep | BMG | 2,026 | 39% | 28% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 11 |
| 19–21 Sep | YouGov/The Times | 3,285 | 39% | 30% | 13% | 8% | 6%[c] | 3% | 1% | 9 |
| 16 Sep | Diane James is elected leader of UKIP | |||||||||
| 13–14 Sep | YouGov/The Times | 1,732 | 38% | 31% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 4% | – | 7 |
| 10–14 Sep | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard[permanent dead link] | 1,000 | 40% | 34% | 9% | 6% | 4%[c] | 5% | 1% | 6 |
| 9–11 Sep | ICM/The Guardian | 2,013 | 41% | 27% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 14 |
| 4–5 Sep | YouGov/The Times | 1,616 | 40% | 29% | 13% | 7% | 7%[c] | 3% | – | 11 |
| 2 Sep | Caroline Lucas and Jonathan Bartley are elected joint leaders of the Green Party | |||||||||
| 30–31 Aug | YouGov/The Times | 1,687 | 38% | 30% | 14% | 7% | 6%[c] | 4% | – | 8 |
| 26–28 Aug | ICM/The Guardian | 2,040 | 41% | 27% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 14 |
| 22–23 Aug | YouGov/The Times | 1,660 | 40% | 29% | 13% | 8% | 6%[c] | 3% | 1% | 11 |
| 11–22 Aug | Lord Ashcroft Polls | 8,011 | 40% | 31% | 13% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 9 |
| 16–17 Aug | YouGov/The Times | 1,677 | 38% | 30% | 13% | 9% | 7%[c] | 4% | – | 8 |
| 13–15 Aug | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard[permanent dead link] | 1,017 | 45% | 34% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 11 |
| 12–15 Aug | ICM | 2,010 | 40% | 28% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 12 |
| 8–9 Aug | YouGov/The Times | 1,692 | 38% | 31% | 13% | 8% | 7%[c] | 4% | – | 7 |
| 5–8 Aug | TNS[permanent dead link] | 1,199 | 39% | 26% | 11% | 10% | 4% | 7% | 2% | 13 |
| 1–2 Aug | YouGov/The Times | 1,722 | 42% | 28% | 12% | 8% | 6%[c] | 3% | 1% | 14 |
| 25–26 Jul | YouGov/The Times | 1,680 | 40% | 28% | 13% | 8% | 7%[c] | 4% | 1% | 12 |
| 22–24 Jul | ICM | 2,012 | 43% | 27% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 16 |
| 19–22 Jul | Opinium/Observer | 2,231 | 37% | 31% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 6 |
| 17–18 Jul | YouGov | 1,891 | 40% | 29% | 12% | 9% | 7%[c] | 3% | 1% | 11 |
| 13–15 Jul | ICM | 2,027 | 39% | 29% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 10 |
| 11–13 Jul | Theresa May is elected leader of the Conservative Party and subsequently becomes Prime Minister | |||||||||
| 9–11 Jul | Ipsos MORI | 1,021 | 36% | 35% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 1 |
| 8–10 Jul | ICM | 2,025 | 38% | 30% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 8 |
| 4–5 Jul | Survation/Constitutional Research Council | 1,008 | 36% | 32% | 12% | 9% | 6% | – | 7% | 4 |
| 1–3 Jul | ICM | 1,979 | 37% | 30% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 7 |
| 28–30 Jun | Opinium | 2,006 | 34% | 29% | 17% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 5 |
| 24–26 Jun | ICM/The Guardian | 2,001 | 36% | 32% | 15% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 1% | 4 |
| 24–25 Jun | Survation/Mail on Sunday | 1,033 | 32% | 32% | 16% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 2% | Tie |
| 24 Jun | David Cameron announces his resignation as leader of the Conservative Party and Prime Minister, triggering a leadership election | |||||||||
| 23 Jun | UK European Union membership referendum: the UK votes to leave the EU by 52% to 48% | |||||||||
| 20–22 Jun | Opinium | 3,011 | 34% | 30% | 19% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 4 |
| 14–17 Jun | Opinium/Observer | 2,006 | 34% | 30% | 18% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4 |
| 16 Jun | Murder of Jo Cox MP; referendum campaigning suspended 16–19 June | |||||||||
| 16 Jun | Tooting by-election (Lab hold) | |||||||||
| 15–16 Jun | ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday | 2,046 | 34% | 29% | 19% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 5 |
| 11–14 Jun | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 1,257 | 35% | 34% | 10% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1 |
| 10–13 Jun | ICM/The Guardian | 2,001 | 34% | 30% | 19% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 4 |
| 10–13 Jun | ICM/The Guardian | 1,000 | 34% | 33% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 1 |
| 7–10 Jun | Opinium/Observer | 2,009 | 35% | 32% | 18% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 3 |
| 31 May – 3 Jun | Opinium/Observer | 2,007 | 34% | 30% | 18% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 4 |
| 27–29 May | ICM/The Guardian | 2,052 | 36% | 31% | 17% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 5 |
| 27–29 May | ICM/The Guardian | 1,004 | 36% | 32% | 15% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 4 |
| 17–19 May | Opinium/Observer | 2,008 | 35% | 30% | 18% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 5 |
| 14–16 May | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 1,002 | 36% | 34% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 2 |
| 13–15 May | ICM/The Guardian | 1,002 | 36% | 34% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2 |
| 13–15 May | ICM/The Guardian | 2,048 | 34% | 32% | 17% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 2 |
| 11–12 May | ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday | 2,043 | 36% | 30% | 17% | 8% | 5% | 4% | – | 6 |
| 5 May | Local elections in England; Scottish Parliament election; National Assembly for Wales election; Northern Ireland Assembly election; Ogmore by-election and Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough by-election (both Lab holds) | |||||||||
| 26–29 Apr | Opinium/Observer | 2,005 | 38% | 30% | 15% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 8 |
| 25–26 Apr | YouGov/The Times | 1,650 | 30% | 33% | 20% | 6% | 8%[c] | 3% | – | 3 |
| 22–26 Apr | BMG Research | 1,375 | 33% | 32% | 18% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1 |
| 16–18 Apr | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 1,026 | 38% | 35% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 3 |
| 15–17 Apr | ICM/The Guardian | 1,003 | 38% | 33% | 13% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 5 |
| 15–17 Apr | ICM/The Guardian | 2,008 | 36% | 31% | 16% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 5 |
| 13–14 Apr | ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday | 2,036 | 35% | 30% | 16% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 5 |
| 11–12 Apr | YouGov/The Times | 1,639 | 31% | 34% | 17% | 8% | 7%[c] | 3% | – | 3 |
| 29 Mar – 1 Apr | Opinium/Observer | 1,966 | 33% | 32% | 17% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1 |
| 24–29 Mar | BMG Research | 1,298 | 36% | 31% | 16% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 5 |
| 19–22 Mar | Ipsos MORI | 1,023 | 36% | 34% | 11% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2 |
| 18–20 Mar | ComRes/Daily Mail | 1,002 | 37% | 35% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2 |
| 16–17 Mar | YouGov/The Times | 1,691 | 33% | 34% | 16% | 6% | 6%[c] | 3% | 2% | 1 |
| 11–13 Mar | ICM/The Guardian | 1,001 | 36% | 36% | 11% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 1% | Tie |
| 9–10 Mar | ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday | 2,059 | 38% | 29% | 16% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 9 |
| 21–23 Feb | YouGov/The Times | 3,482 | 37% | 30% | 16% | 8% | 6%[c] | 3% | – | 7 |
| 17–23 Feb | BMG Research | 1,268 | 38% | 30% | 16% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 8 |
| 19–22 Feb | ComRes/Daily Mail | 1,000 | 38% | 31% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 7 |
| 13–16 Feb | Ipsos MORI | 1,001 | 39% | 33% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 6 |
| 12–14 Feb | ICM/The Guardian | 1,004 | 39% | 32% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 7 |
| 10–12 Feb | ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday | 2,018 | 41% | 27% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 14 |
| 3–4 Feb | YouGov/The Times | 1,675 | 39% | 29% | 18% | 6% | 4%[c] | 3% | 1% | 10 |
| 27–28 Jan | YouGov | 1,735 | 39% | 30% | 17% | 6% | 4%[c] | 3% | 1% | 9 |
| 23–25 Jan | Ipsos MORI | 1,027 | 40% | 31% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 9 |
| 22–24 Jan | ComRes/Daily Mail | 1,006 | 37% | 32% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5 |
| 15–17 Jan | ICM/The Guardian | 1,001 | 40% | 35% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 5 |
| 15–16 Jan | Survation/Mail on Sunday | 1,017 | 37% | 30% | 16% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 7 |
| 13–15 Jan | ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday | 2,004 | 40% | 29% | 16% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 11 |
| 8–14 Jan | Panelbase/Sunday Times Archived 19 May 2016 at the Wayback Machine | 2,087 | 39% | 31% | 14% | 6% | 5% | 5% | – | 8 |
2015
edit| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size |
Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | SNP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18–20 Dec | ICM/The Guardian | 1,003 | 39% | 34% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 5 |
| 17–18 Dec | YouGov/The Times | 1,598 | 39% | 29% | 17% | 6% | 5%[c] | 3% | 1% | 10 |
| 15–18 Dec | Opinium/Observer | 1,936 | 38% | 30% | 16% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 8 |
| 12–14 Dec | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 1,040 | 38% | 31% | 9% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 7 |
| 11–13 Dec | ComRes/Daily Mail | 1,001 | 37% | 33% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 4 |
| 9–11 Dec | ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror | 2,049 | 40% | 29% | 16% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 11 |
| 3 Dec | Oldham West and Royton by-election (Lab hold) | |||||||||
| 30 Nov – 1 Dec | YouGov/The Times | 1,657 | 41% | 30% | 16% | 6% | 4%[c] | 3% | 1% | 11 |
| 20–24 Nov | YouGov | 4,317 | 38% | 29% | 17% | 6% | 5%[c] | 3% | 1% | 9 |
| 20–22 Nov | ComRes/Daily Mail | 1,000 | 40% | 29% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 11 |
| 18–20 Nov | ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror | 2,067 | 42% | 27% | 15% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 15 |
| 16–17 Nov | Survation/Leave.EU[e] | 1,546 | 37% | 30% | 16% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 7 |
| 14–17 Nov | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 1,021 | 41% | 34% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | - | 7 |
| 11–17 Nov | BMG Research | 1,334 | 37% | 30% | 15% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 7 |
| 13–15 Nov | ICM/The Guardian | 1,006 | 39% | 33% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 6 |
| 9–11 Nov | Survation/Leave.EU[e] | 2,007 | 36% | 30% | 15% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 6 |
| 22–27 Oct | BMG Research | 1,467 | 37% | 31% | 15% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 6 |
| 23–25 Oct | ComRes/Daily Mail | 1,002 | 38% | 33% | 10% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5 |
| 17–19 Oct | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 1,021 | 36% | 32% | 12% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4 |
| 13–16 Oct | Opinium | 1,934 | 37% | 32% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 5 |
| 14–15 Oct | ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror | 2,051 | 42% | 29% | 13% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 13 |
| 9–11 Oct | ICM/The Guardian | 1,002 | 38% | 34% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 4 |
| 29–30 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 2,064 | 37% | 31% | 17% | 7% | 5%[c] | 2% | 1% | 6 |
| 26–28 Sep | ComRes/Daily Mail | 1,009 | 39% | 30% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 9 |
| 21–22 Sep | Survation/Huffington Post | 1,008 | 37% | 32% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 5 |
| 19–22 Sep | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 1,255 | 39% | 34% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 5 |
| 17–18 Sep | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,601 | 39% | 31% | 16% | 6% | 5%[c] | 3% | 1% | 8 |
| 15–18 Sep | Opinium | 1,942 | 37% | 32% | 14% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 5 |
| 16–17 Sep | ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror | 2,015 | 42% | 30% | 13% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 12 |
| 11–13 Sep | ICM/The Guardian | 1,006 | 38% | 32% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 6 |
| 12 Sep | Jeremy Corbyn is elected leader of the Labour Party and appointed Leader of the Opposition | |||||||||
| 3–4 Sep | Survation/Mail on Sunday | 1,004 | 38% | 32% | 13% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 6 |
| 21–23 Aug | ComRes/Daily Mail | 1,001 | 42% | 28% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 14 |
| 12–13 Aug | ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror | 2,035 | 40% | 29% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 11 |
| 12–13 Aug | Survation/TSSA | 1,007 | 38% | 33% | 15% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 5 |
| 7–9 Aug | ICM/The Guardian | 1,000 | 40% | 31% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 9 |
| 24–26 Jul | ComRes/Daily Mail | 1,001 | 40% | 28% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 12 |
| 18–20 Jul | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 1,026 | 37% | 31% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 8% | 1% | 6 |
| 16 Jul | Tim Farron is elected leader of the Liberal Democrats | |||||||||
| 10–12 Jul | ICM/The Guardian | 1,005 | 38% | 34% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 4 |
| 26–28 Jun | ComRes/Daily Mail | 1,002 | 39% | 27% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12 |
| 14–16 Jun | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 1,005 | 39% | 30% | 8% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 9 |
| 12–14 Jun | ICM/The Guardian | 1,004 | 37% | 31% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 1% | 6 |
| 29–31 May | ComRes/Daily Mail | 1,000 | 41% | 29% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 12 |
| 25–26 May | YouGov/The Sun | 1,709 | 41% | 30% | 13% | 7% | 4%[c] | 4% | 1% | 11 |
| 8–9 May | Survation/Mail on Sunday | 1,027 | 40% | 31% | 12% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 9 |
| 7 May 2015 | 2015 general election[f] | – | 37.8% | 31.2% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 6.6 |
YouGov model
editDuring the election campaign, YouGov created a Multilevel Regression and Post-stratification (MRP) model based on poll data. As set out by YouGov, the model "works by modelling every constituency and key voter types in Britain based on analysis of key demographics as well as past voting behaviour", with new interviews to registered voters conducted every day.[4]
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size |
Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | SNP | Grn | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Jun 2017 | 2017 general election[g] | – | 43.5% | 41.0% | 1.9% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.5 |
| 31 May – 6 Jun | YouGov Archived 14 November 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 55,707 | 42% | 38% | 3% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 4 |
| 30 May – 5 Jun | YouGov Archived 14 November 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 53,241 | 42% | 38% | 4% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 4 |
| 29 May – 4 Jun | YouGov Archived 14 November 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 53,609 | 42% | 38% | 3% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 4 |
| 27 May – 2 Jun | YouGov Archived 14 November 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 51,945 | 42% | 38% | 3% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 4 |
| 26 May – 1 Jun | YouGov Archived 14 November 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 53,000 | 42% | 38% | 3% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 4 |
| 25–31 May | YouGov Archived 14 November 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 53,611 | 42% | 38% | 3% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 4 |
| 24–30 May | YouGov Archived 14 November 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 53,464 | 41% | 38% | 4% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 3 |
| 23–29 May | YouGov | ~50,000 | 42% | 38% | 4% | 9% | 7% | 4 | ||
Seat projections
editThe general election was contested under the first-past the post electoral system in 650 constituencies. 326 seats were needed for a parliamentary majority.
Most polls were reported in terms of the overall popular vote share, and the pollsters did not typically project how these shares would equate to numbers of seats in the House of Commons.
Final projections from aggregators
editVarious models existed which continually projected election outcomes for the seats in the UK based on the aggregate of polling data. Final predictions of some notable models are tabulated below. 'GB' projections forecast seats in Great Britain only, whilst 'UK' projections also include Northern Irish seats.
| Organisation | Area | Con | Lab | SNP | LD | PC | Grn | UKIP | Others | Majority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Election Forecast[5] | GB | 371 | 199 | 50 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Con 92 |
| Election Calculus[6] | UK | 361[h] | 215 | 45 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | Con 72 |
| Lord Ashcroft[7] | UK | 357 | 222 | 45 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | Con 64 |
| Elections Etc.[8] | GB | 360 | 210 | 48 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | – | Con 70 |
| New Statesman[9] | GB | 339 | 224 | 57 | 8 | – | – | – | – | Con 28 |
| YouGov[10] | UK | 302 | 269 | 44 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | Hung (Con –24) |
| Britain Elects[11] | UK | 353 | 219 | 46 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | Con 56 |
| Scenari Politici.com[12] | UK | 365 | 208 | 49 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | Con 84 |
| Forecast UK[13] | UK | 344–351 | 221–230 | 44–52 | 5–7 | 2–4 | 0–2 | 0 | 19 | Con 46 |
| Spreadex[14] | GB | 365–371 | 198–204 | 45.5–47.5 | 10.5–12.5 | – | 0.8–1.4 | 0.1–0.5 | – | Con 82 |
Exit poll
editAn exit poll, conducted by GfK and Ipsos MORI on behalf of the BBC, ITV and Sky News, was published at the end of voting at 22:00, predicting the number of seats for each party.[15]
| Parties | Seats | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 314 |  17 | |
| Labour Party | 266 |  34 | |
| Scottish National Party | 34 | 22 | |
| Liberal Democrats | 13 | 13 | |
| Plaid Cymru | 3 |  | |
| Green Party | 1 | | |
| UKIP | 0 | 1 | |
| Others[i] | 18 | | |
| Hung Parliament (Conservatives 12 seats short of majority) | |||
The exit poll results were regarded as a surprise, as it showed a much closer result than most opinion polls had anticipated.
Sub-national poll results
editScotland
edit
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size |
SNP | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Grn | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Jun 2017 | 2017 general election | – | 36.9% | 27.1% | 28.6% | 6.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 8.3 |
| 7 Jun 2017 | Survation/The Daily Record | 1,001 | 39% | 29% | 26% | 6% | * | 10 | ||
| 2–7 Jun 2017 | Panelbase Archived 13 June 2017 at the Wayback Machine | 1,106 | 41% | 22% | 30% | 5% | <1% | 2% | <1% | 11 |
| 1–5 Jun 2017 | YouGov/The Times | 1,093 | 41% | 25% | 26% | 6% | * | 1% | 2% | 15 |
| 31 May – 2 Jun 2017 | Survation/The Sunday Post | 1,024 | 40% | 25% | 27% | 6% | 2% | 13 | ||
| 26–31 May 2017 | Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 1,021 | 42% | 20% | 30% | 5% | 2% | 1% | – | 12 |
| 22–27 May 2017 | Ipsos-Mori/STV | 1,016 | 43% | 25% | 25% | 5% | 2% | 18 | ||
| 15–18 May 2017 | YouGov/The Times | 1,032 | 42% | 19% | 29% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 13 |
| 12–18 May 2017 | BMG/The Herald | over 1,000 | 43% | 18% | 30% | 5% | 4% | 13 | ||
| 4 May 2017 | Scottish local elections | |||||||||
| 24–27 Apr 2017 | YouGov/The Times | 1,017 | 41% | 18% | 28% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 13 |
| 18–21 Apr 2017 | Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 1,029 | 44% | 13% | 33% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 11 |
| 18–21 Apr 2017 | Survation/Sunday Post | 1,018 | 43% | 18% | 28% | 9% | 3% | 15 | ||
| 18 Apr 2017 | Prime Minister Theresa May announces her intention to seek a general election to be held on 8 June 2017 | |||||||||
| 17 Mar 2017 | Panelbase/The Sunday Times Archived 20 March 2017 at the Wayback Machine | 1,008 | 47% | 14% | 28% | 4% | 3% | 3% | <1% | 19 |
| 20–26 Jan 2017 | Panelbase/The Sunday Times Archived 31 January 2017 at the Wayback Machine | 1,020 | 47% | 15% | 27% | 4% | 3% | 3% | <1% | 20 |
| 28 Sep – 4 Oct 2016 | BMG | 1,010 | 49% | 17% | 20% | 8% | 2% | 3% | - | 29 |
| 9–15 Sep 2016 | Panelbase/The Sunday Times Archived 2 October 2016 at the Wayback Machine | 1,024 | 47% | 16% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | - | 23 |
| 13 Jul 2016 | Theresa May becomes the prime minister of the United Kingdom | |||||||||
| 23 Jun 2016 | UK European Union membership referendum | |||||||||
| 5 May 2016 | Scottish Parliament election | |||||||||
| 7–10 Sep 2015 | Survation/Scottish Daily Mail | 1,010 | 52% | 21% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 3% | - | 31 |
| 15 Aug 2015 | Kezia Dugdale is elected leader of Scottish Labour | |||||||||
| 3–7 Jul 2015 | Survation/Scottish Daily Mail | 1,084 | 51% | 21% | 17% | 7% | 2% | 2% | - | 30 |
| 7 May 2015 | 2015 general election | – | 50.0% | 24.3% | 14.9% | 7.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 25.7 |
Wales
edit
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size |
Lab | Con | UKIP | PC | LD | Grn | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Jun 2017 | 2017 general election | – | 48.9% | 33.6% | 2.0% | 10.4% | 4.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 15.3 |
| 5–7 Jun 2017 | YouGov/ITV | 1,074 | 46% | 34% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 1% | 12 | |
| 29–31 May 2017 | YouGov/ITV | 1,014 | 46% | 35% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 11 |
| 18–21 May 2017 | YouGov/ITV | 1,025 | 44% | 34% | 5% | 9% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 10 |
| 5–7 May 2017 | YouGov/ITV | 1,018 | 35% | 41% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 6 |
| 4 May 2017 | Welsh local elections | |||||||||
| 19–21 Apr 2017 | YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer | 1,029 | 30% | 40% | 6% | 13% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 10 |
| 18 Apr 2017 | Prime Minister Theresa May announces her intention to seek a general election to be held on 8 June 2017 | |||||||||
| 3–6 Jan 2017 | YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer | 1,034 | 33% | 28% | 13% | 13% | 9% | 2% | 0 | 5 |
| 18–21 Sep 2016 | YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer | 1,001 | 35% | 29% | 14% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 0 | 6 |
| 13 Jul 2016 | Theresa May becomes the prime minister of the United Kingdom | |||||||||
| 30 Jun – 4 Jul 2016 | YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer | 1,010 | 34% | 23% | 16% | 16% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 11 |
| 5 May 2016 | Welsh Assembly election and Ogmore by-election | |||||||||
| 19–22 Apr 2016 | YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer | 1,001 | 37% | 23% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 14 |
| 7–11 Apr 2016 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 1,011 | 38% | 22% | 18% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 16 |
| 7–18 Mar 2016 | Welsh Election Study Archived 25 March 2016 at the Wayback Machine | 3,272 | 36% | 25% | 16% | 14% | 6% | N/a | 3%[16] | 11 |
| 9–11 Feb 2016 | YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer | 1,024 | 37% | 27% | 18% | 13% | 4% | 1% | - | 10 |
| 30 Nov – 4 Dec 2015 | YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer | 1,005 | 37% | 27% | 17% | 12% | 4% | 2% | - | 10 |
| 21–24 Sep 2015 | YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer | 1,151 | 42% | 26% | 16% | 10% | 5% | 2% | - | 16 |
| 24–26 Jun 2015 | YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer | 1,151 | 37% | 28% | 15% | 12% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 9 |
| 7 May 2015 | 2015 general election | – | 36.9% | 27.2% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 9.7 |
Northern Ireland
edit| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size |
DUP | SF | UUP | SDLP | All | TUV | GPNI | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Jun 2017 | 2017 general election | – | 36.0% | 29.4% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 3.3% | 6.6 |
| 1–3 Jun 2017 | Lucid Talk[permanent dead link] | 3,419 | 28.9% | 28.1% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 3.2% | 0.8 |
| 17–18 May 2017 | Lucid Talk | 3,341 | 28.8% | 27.9% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 3.3% | 0.9 |
| 27–29 Apr 2017 | Lucid Talk Archived 29 June 2017 at the Wayback Machine | 3,187 | 29.4% | 27.7% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 1.7 |
| 2 Mar 2017 | Northern Ireland Assembly election | ||||||||||
| 5 May 2016 | Northern Ireland Assembly election | ||||||||||
| 7 May 2015 | 2015 general election | – | 25.7% | 24.5% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 8.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 8.2% | 1.2 |
English regions
editNorth East England
editNorth West England
edit| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size |
Lab | Con | UKIP | LD | Grn | Others | Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Jun 2017 | 2017 general election | – | 54.9% | 36.2% | 1.9% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 18.7 | |
| 24 Apr – 5 May 2017 | YouGov | 1,537 | 42% | 42% | 6% | 8% | 2% | 0% | Tie | |
| 23 Feb 2017 | Copeland by-election | |||||||||
| 3 Dec 2015 | Oldham West and Royton by-election | |||||||||
| 7 May 2015 | 2015 general election | – | 44.6% | 31.2% | 13.6% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 13.4 | |
Yorkshire and the Humber
edit| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size |
Lab | Con | UKIP | LD | Grn | Others | Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Jun 2017 | 2017 general election | – | 49.0% | 40.5% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 8.5 | |
| 24 Apr – 5 May 2017 | YouGov | 1,293 | 38% | 43% | 7% | 9% | 2% | 0% | 5 | |
| 20 Oct 2016 | Batley and Spen by-election | |||||||||
| 5 May 2016 | Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough by-election | |||||||||
| 7 May 2015 | 2015 general election | – | 39.1% | 32.6% | 16.0% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 6.5 | |
East Midlands
edit| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size |
Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | Grn | Others | Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Jun 2017 | 2017 general election | – | 50.7% | 40.5% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 10.2 | |
| 24 Apr – 5 May 2017 | YouGov | 1,164 | 54% | 28% | 7% | 8% | 2% | 0% | 26 | |
| 8 Dec 2016 | Sleaford and North Hykeham by-election | |||||||||
| 7 May 2015 | 2015 general election | – | 43.5% | 31.6% | 15.8% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 11.9 | |
West Midlands
edit| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size |
Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | Grn | Others | Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Jun 2017 | 2017 general election | – | 49.0% | 42.5% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 6.5 | |
| 24 Apr – 5 May 2017 | YouGov | 1,211 | 51% | 28% | 9% | 9% | 2% | 0% | 23 | |
| 23 Feb 2017 | Stoke-on-Trent Central by-election | |||||||||
| 7 May 2015 | 2015 general election | – | 41.8% | 32.9% | 15.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 8.9 | |
East of England
editLondon
edit| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size |
Lab | Con | UKIP | LD | Grn | Others | Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Jun 2017 | 2017 general election | – | 54.5% | 33.2% | 1.3% | 8.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 21.3 | |
| 26–31 May 2017 | YouGov | 1,000 | 50% | 33% | 3% | 11% | 2% | 1% | 17 | |
| 19–23 May 2017 | YouGov | 1,006 | 50% | 34% | 2% | 11% | 2% | 1% | 16 | |
| 22 Apr – 3 May 2017 | YouGov | 1,040 | 41% | 36% | 6% | 14% | 3% | 1% | 5 | |
| 24–28 Mar 2017 | YouGov | 1,042 | 37% | 34% | 9% | 14% | 5% | 1% | 3 | |
| 1 Dec 2016 | Richmond Park by-election | |||||||||
| 16 Jun 2016 | Tooting by-election | |||||||||
| 15–19 Apr 2016 | YouGov/LBC | 1,017 | 46% | 30% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 16 | |
| 4–6 Jan 2016 | YouGov/LBC | 1,156 | 44% | 37% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 7 | |
| 8 Jun – 12 Aug 2015 | YouGov/LBC | 3,436 | 42% | 38% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 4 | |
| 7 May 2015 | 2015 general election | – | 43.7% | 34.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 0.8% | 8.8 | |
South East England
edit| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size |
Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | Grn | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Jun 2017 | 2017 general election | 4,635,741 | 54.6% | 28.6% | 2.3% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 26.0 |
| 24 Apr – 5 May 2017 | YouGov | 2,062 | 56% | 19% | 6% | 15% | 3% | 1% | 37 |
| 20 Oct 2016 | Witney by-election | ||||||||
| 7 May 2015 | 2015 general election | 4,394,360 | 50.8% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 32.5 |
South West England
editIndividual constituency poll results
edit| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size |
Con | Lab | LD | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Jun 2017 | 2017 general election | N/A | 41.5% | 45.9% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 4.4 |
| 9–10 May 2017 | Survation/Chris Coghlan | 503 | 46% | 38% | 13% | 5% | 8 |
| 7 May 2015 | 2015 general election | N/A | 52.4% | 36.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 15.6 |
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size |
Grn | Lab | Con | UKIP | LD | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Jun 2017 | 2017 general election | N/A | 52.3% | 26.8% | 19.2% | 1.1% | – | 0.7% | 25.5 |
| 27 Apr – 1 May 2017 | ICM Unlimited | 1,001 | 47% | 23% | 25% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 22 |
| 7 May 2015 | 2015 general election | – | 41.8% | 27.3% | 22.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 14.6 |
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size |
Lab | SNP | Con | Grn | LD | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Jun 2017 | 2017 general election | – | 54.9% | 22.5% | 19.7% | – | 2.9% | – | 32.4 |
| 3–4 Apr 2017 | Survation/Stop Brexit Alliance | 530 | 40% | 30% | 20% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 10 |
| 7 May 2015 | 2015 general election | – | 39.1% | 33.8% | 17.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 5.3 |
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size |
Con | Lab | LD | Grn | UKIP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Jun 2017 | 2017 general election | – | 42.2% | 42.2% | 12.2% | 2.0% | – | 1.4% | 0.05 |
| 25–27 Apr 2017 | Survation/Stop Brexit Alliance | 522 | 46% | 29% | 17% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 17 |
| 7 May 2015 | 2015 general election | – | 52.3% | 31.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 21.2 |
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size |
Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Jun 2017 | 2017 general election | – | 58.6% | 28.5% | – | 9.0% | 4.0% | 30.1 |
| 22 Mar 2017 | Survation/38 Degrees | 507 | 58% | 17% | 9% | 12% | 4% | 41 |
| 7 May 2015 | 2015 general election | – | 58.6% | 18.3% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 40.3 |
Preferred prime minister polling
editSome opinion pollsters have asked voters which party leader they would prefer as Prime Minister – Theresa May (Conservative Party) or Jeremy Corbyn (Labour Party). The questions differ slightly from pollster to pollster:
- Opinium, Lord Ashcroft and YouGov: "Which of the following do you think would make the best Prime Minister?"
- Kantar Public: "If you had to choose between Theresa May and Jeremy Corbyn, who do you think would make the best leader for Britain?"
- Ipsos MORI: "Who do you think would make the most capable Prime Minister, the Conservative’s [sic] Theresa May, or Labour’s Jeremy Corbyn?"
- Survation: "Which of the following party leaders do you think would make the best Prime Minister?"
- ComRes: "For each of these pairs of statements, which one comes closest to your view? - Jeremy Corbyn would make a better Prime Minister than Theresa May/Theresa May would make a better Prime Minister than Jeremy Corbyn"
- ICM: "Putting aside which party you support, and only thinking about your impression of them as leaders, which one of the following do you think would make the best Prime Minister for Britain?"
May vs Corbyn
edit2017
edit| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size |
Theresa May | Jeremy Corbyn | None of these | Not sure | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-7 Jun | ComRes | 2,051 | 48% | 39% | N/a | 14% | 9 | |||
| 4–6 Jun | Opinium | 3,002 | 42% | 29% | 19% | 10% | 13 | |||
| 2–3 Jun | Survation | 1,103 | 50% | 36% | N/a | 15% | 14 | |||
| 31 May–2 Jun | ComRes | 2,038 | 49% | 34% | N/a | 17% | 15 | |||
| 30 May–1 Jun | Ipsos MORI | 1,046 | 50% | 35% | 6% | 8% | 15 | |||
| 30–31 May | Opinium | 2,006 | 42% | 26% | 21% | 12% | 16 | |||
| 30–31 May | YouGov/The Times | 1,875 | 43% | 30% | N/a | 27% | 13 | |||
| 25–30 May | Kantar Public Archived 14 August 2017 at the Wayback Machine | 1,199 | 38% | 23% | 23% | 15% | 15 | |||
| 26–27 May | Survation/Good Morning Britain | 1,009 | 53% | 30% | N/a | 17% | 23% | |||
| 24–26 May | ICM/The Sun on Sunday | 2,044 | 48% | 27% | N/a | 25% | 21% | |||
| 24–26 May | ComRes Archived 29 May 2017 at the Wayback Machine | 2,024 | 51% | 30% | N/a | 19% | 21% | |||
| 24–25 May | YouGov/The Times | 2,052 | 45% | 28% | N/a | 27% | 17 | |||
| 23–24 May | Opinium | 2,002 | 43% | 26% | 21% | 11% | 17 | |||
| 18–22 May | Kantar Public Archived 6 June 2017 at the Wayback Machine | 1,200 | 38% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 14 | |||
| 16–17 May | YouGov/The Times | 1,861 | 46% | 23% | N/a | 31% | 23% | |||
| 16–17 May | Opinium | 2,003 | 45% | 22% | 21% | 12% | 23% | |||
| 15–17 May | Ipsos MORI | 1,053 | 56% | 29% | 8% | 6% | 27% | |||
| 11–15 May | Kantar Public Archived 22 June 2017 at the Wayback Machine | 1,201 | 41% | 18% | 22% | 19% | 23% | |||
| 12–13 May | Survation | 1,016 | 58% | 24% | N/a | 19% | 34% | |||
| 9–12 May | Opinium | 2,003 | 45% | 19% | 24% | 12% | 26% | |||
| 9-10 May | YouGov/The Times | 1,651 | 49% | 21% | N/a | 30% | 28% | |||
| 4–8 May | Kantar Public Archived 14 August 2017 at the Wayback Machine | 1,201 | 40% | 17% | 24% | 19% | 23% | |||
| 5–6 May | Survation | 1,005 | 60% | 21% | N/a | 19% | 39% | |||
| 2-3 May | Opinium | 2,005 | 46% | 18% | 25% | 11% | 28% | |||
| 2-3 May | YouGov/The Times | 2,066 | 49% | 21% | N/a | 29% | 28% | |||
| 20–24 Apr | Kantar Public Archived 8 July 2017 at the Wayback Machine | 2,003 | 43% | 17% | 20% | 20% | 26% | |||
| 25–28 Apr | Opinium/The Observer | 2,007 | 44% | 19% | 25% | 12% | 25% | |||
| 25–26 Apr | YouGov/The Times | 1,590 | 48% | 18% | N/a | 33% | 30% | |||
| 21–25 Apr | Ipsos MORI[permanent dead link][17] | 1,004 | 61% | 23% | 6% | 7%[18] | 38% | |||
| 20–24 Apr | Kantar Public Archived 26 April 2017 at the Wayback Machine[19] | 2,003 | 44% | 18% | 23% | 16% | 26% | |||
| 19–20 Apr | Opinium/Observer | 2,003 | 49% | 14% | 26% | 11% | 35% | |||
| 18–19 Apr | YouGov/The Times | 1,727 | 54% | 15% | N/a | 31% | 39% | |||
| 18 Apr | Prime Minister Theresa May announces her intention to seek a general election | |||||||||
| 12–13 Apr | YouGov/The Times | 2,069 | 50% | 14% | N/a | 36% | 36% | |||
| 11–13 Apr | Opinium/Observer | 1,651 | 47% | 14% | 28% | 11% | 33% | |||
| 5–6 Apr | YouGov/The Times | 1,651 | 49% | 16% | N/a | 35% | 33% | |||
| 21–28 Mar | Lord Ashcroft Polls | 10,153 | 55% | 18% | N/a | 27% | 37% | |||
| 26–27 Mar | YouGov/The Times | 1,957 | 51% | 13% | N/a | 36% | 38% | |||
| 20–21 Mar | YouGov/The Times | 1,627 | 47% | 14% | N/a | 39% | 33% | |||
| 14–17 Mar | Opinium/Observer | 2,007 | 45% | 14% | 29% | 12% | 31% | |||
| 13–14 Mar | YouGov/The Times | 1,631 | 48% | 14% | N/a | 38% | 34% | |||
| 27–28 Feb | YouGov/The Times | 1,666 | 49% | 15% | N/a | 36% | 34% | |||
| 21–22 Feb | YouGov/The Times | 2,060 | 49% | 15% | N/a | 36% | 34% | |||
| 14–16 Feb | Opinium/Observer | 2,004 | 46% | 13% | 29% | 12% | 33% | |||
| 12–13 Feb | YouGov/The Times | 2,052 | 49% | 15% | N/a | 36% | 34% | |||
| 31 Jan–1 Feb | Opinium/Observer | 2,005 | 43% | 14% | 29% | 14% | 29% | |||
| 30–31 Jan | YouGov/The Times | 1,705 | 48% | 16% | N/a | 36% | 32% | |||
| 23–24 Jan | YouGov/The Times | 1,643 | 47% | 15% | N/a | 38% | 32% | |||
| 10–12 Jan | Opinium/Observer | 2,007 | 40% | 16% | 28% | 15% | 24% | |||
| 9–10 Jan | YouGov/The Times | 1,660 | 45% | 17% | N/a | 38% | 28% | |||
| 3–4 Jan | YouGov/The Times | 1,740 | 47% | 14% | N/a | 39% | 33% | |||
2016
edit| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size |
Theresa May | Jeremy Corbyn | None of these | Not sure | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18–19 Dec | YouGov/The Times | 1,595 | 44% | 16% | N/a | 41% | 28% | |||
| 13–16 Dec | Opinium/The Observer | 2,000 | 42% | 16% | 28% | 13% | 26% | |||
| 4–5 Dec | YouGov/The Times | 1,667 | 49% | 16% | N/a | 35% | 33% | |||
| 28–29 Nov | YouGov/The Times | 1,624 | 45% | 18% | N/a | 37% | 27% | |||
| 15–18 Nov | Opinium/The Observer | 2,005 | 45% | 17% | 25% | 13% | 28% | |||
| 14–15 Nov | YouGov/The Times | 1,717 | 48% | 18% | N/a | 34% | 30% | |||
| 1–4 Nov | Opinium/The Observer | 2,001 | 45% | 16% | 25% | 13% | 29% | |||
| 31 Oct-1 Nov | YouGov/The Times | 1,655 | 47% | 17% | N/a | 36% | 30% | |||
| 24–25 Oct | YouGov/The Times | 1,655 | 48% | 16% | N/a | 36% | 32% | |||
| 11–12 Oct | YouGov/The Times | 1,669 | 51% | 18% | N/a | 31% | 33% | |||
| 13–14 Sep | YouGov/The Times | 1,732 | 50% | 18% | N/a | 33% | 32% | |||
| 30–31 Aug | YouGov/The Times | 1,687 | 52% | 21% | N/a | 27% | 31% | |||
| 22–23 Aug | YouGov/The Times | 1,660 | 50% | 19% | N/a | 30% | 31% | |||
| 16–17 Aug | YouGov/The Times | 1,677 | 51% | 19% | N/a | 30% | 32% | |||
| 8–9 Aug | YouGov/The Times | 1,692 | 52% | 18% | N/a | 29% | 34% | |||
| 1–2 Aug | YouGov/The Times | 1,722 | 52% | 18% | N/a | 30% | 34% | |||
| 25–26 Jul | YouGov/The Times | 1,680 | 52% | 18% | N/a | 30% | 34% | |||
| 13 Jul | Theresa May becomes the prime minister of the United Kingdom | |||||||||
| 23 Jun | The UK votes to leave the EU; David Cameron announces he will resign as prime minister | |||||||||
| 5 May | UK elections, 2016 including the Ogmore and Sheffield Brightside & Hillsborough by-elections | |||||||||
| 11–12 Apr | YouGov/The Times | 1,693 | 23% | 30% | N/a | 46% | 7 | |||
Cameron vs Corbyn
edit2016
edit| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size |
David Cameron | Jeremy Corbyn | None of these | Not sure | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11–12 Apr | YouGov/The Times | 1,693 | 32% | 25% | N/a | 42% | 7 |
2015
edit| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size |
David Cameron | Jeremy Corbyn | None of these | Not sure | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18–19 Dec | YouGov/The Times | 1,595 | 49% | 23% | N/a | 29% | 28% |
| 13–16 Dec | Opinium/The Observer | 2,000 | 42% | 16% | 28% | 13% | 26% |
| 25–28 Sep | ComRes | 2,024 | 54% | 30% | N/a | 16% | 24% |
Multiple party leaders
editSome polls ask voters to choose between multiple party leaders. The questions vary by pollster:
- Lord Ashcroft: "Which of the following do you think would make the best Prime Minister?"
- ComRes: "Who of the following would make the best Prime Minister after the upcoming General Election?"
- YouGov: "Which of the following do you think would make the best Prime Minister?"
2017
edit| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size |
Theresa May | Jeremy Corbyn | Tim Farron | Paul Nuttall | Don't Know | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 April–1 May | Lord Ashcroft Polls | 40,329 | 64% | 25% | 11% | N/a | N/a | 39% |
| 27–28 Apr | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,612 | 45% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 32% | 29% |
| 20–21 Apr | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,590 | 46% | 12% | 6% | 1% | 35% | 34% |
| 19–20 Apr | ComRes/Sunday Mirror Archived 22 April 2017 at the Wayback Machine | 2,074 | 62% | 25% | 10% | 4% | N/a | 37% |
2016
edit| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size |
Theresa May | Jeremy Corbyn | Tim Farron | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11–22 Aug | Lord Ashcroft Polls | 8,001 | 67% | 25% | 8% | 42% |
Hypothetical polling
editHypothetical polling
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size |
Boris Johnson | Jeremy Corbyn | Don't Know |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11–12 Apr 2016 | YouGov/The Times | 1,693 | 34% | 29% | 36% | 5 |
| 17–18 Dec 2015 | YouGov/The Times | 1,598 | 43% | 29% | 28% | 14 |
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size |
George Osborne | Jeremy Corbyn | Don't Know |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11–12 Apr 2016 | YouGov/The Times | 1,693 | 21% | 34% | 45% | 13 |
| 17–18 Dec 2015 | YouGov/The Times | 1,598 | 39% | 27% | 34% | 12 |
See also
editNotes
edit- ↑ GB results only.
- 1 2 3 4 YouGov was worried they would get this final poll wrong as in 2015, and the poll suggested a hung parliament which they doubted. YouGov made last minute small methodology changes which transferred 2% from Labour to Conservative, increasing predicted Conservative lead from 3% to 7%. Peter Kellner wrote in 2022 this "turned an excellent poll into a mediocre one".[1][2]
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 Includes those expressing a voting intention for Plaid Cymru.
- 1 2 3 4 Telephone.
- 1 2 This survey included respondents from Northern Ireland.
- ↑ GB results only.
- ↑ GB results only.
- ↑ Speaker John Bercow is included in the Conservative total.
- ↑ This includes the 18 seats in Northern Ireland.
References
edit- ↑ Kellner, Peter (8 June 2022). "Why do polling firms like YouGov tweak polls? Because they are scared of being wrong". The Guardian. Retrieved 9 June 2022.
- ↑ Stone, Jon (8 June 2022). "YouGov 'banned' release of 2017 leader debate poll because it was 'too good for Labour'". The Independent. Retrieved 9 June 2022.
- ↑ "Election campaigning suspended after London Bridge attack". Independent.co.uk. 4 June 2017. Archived from the original on 24 May 2022.
- ↑ Revell, Timothy (9 June 2017). "How YouGov's experimental poll correctly called the UK election". New Scientist. Retrieved 9 June 2017.
- ↑ Hanretty, Chris. "2017 UK Parliamentary Election Forecast". electionforecast.co.uk. Retrieved 31 May 2017.
- ↑ "General Election Prediction". electoralcalculus.co.uk. Retrieved 31 May 2017.
- ↑ "Ashcroft Model update: absent UKIP, and Labour's enthusiasm question". lordashcroftpolls.com. 19 May 2017.
- ↑ "COMBINED FORECAST FOR GE2017: SECOND UPDATE". 2 June 2017.
- ↑ "CONSTITUENCY FORECASTS, June 2017, New Statesman". 31 May 2017. Archived from the original on 13 August 2018. Retrieved 1 June 2017.
- ↑ "Voting intention and seat estimates". Archived from the original on 14 November 2019. Retrieved 6 June 2017.
- ↑ "The Britain Elects Nowcast". June 2017. Archived from the original on 5 June 2017. Retrieved 7 June 2017.
- ↑ "#GE17 UK General Election 2017 – 6 June projection". Scenaripolitici.com (in Italian). 6 June 2017. Retrieved 7 June 2017.
- ↑ "Forecast #GE2017 – 8th June 2017". Forecast UK. 8 June 2017.
- ↑ "Spreadex UK General Election Update, 7th June 2017 | Spreadex | Financial Spread Betting". www.spreadex.com. 7 June 2017. Retrieved 20 July 2020.
- ↑ "Election results: Theresa May 'no intention of resigning' after losses". BBC News. 8 June 2017. Retrieved 1 February 2026.
- ↑ including Green
- ↑ Ipsos MORI's figures for 'don't know' are significantly lower than other pollsters on this question as they only prompt for May and Corbyn, with don't know/other/none included if respondents offer it unprompted
- ↑ 1% of respondents chose 'Other' and a further 1% said 'no difference'.
- ↑ The question used by Kantar Public differs slightly in its wording from other pollsters. They ask: "If you had to choose between Theresa May and Jeremy Corbyn, who do you think would make the best leader for Britain?"
External links
edit- Britain Elects – summary of new polls
- Elections in Wales: analysis of Wales-only polling. Archived 18 September 2017 at the Wayback Machine