2027 Schleswig-Holstein state election

The 2027 Schleswig-Holstein state election is scheduled to be held on 18 April 2027 to elect the 21st Landtag, or state parliament, of Schleswig-Holstein in Germany.[1]

2027 Schleswig-Holstein state election

 2022
On or before 18 April 2027

All 69 seats in the Landtag of Schleswig-Holstein
35 seats needed for a majority
 
Party CDU Greens SPD
Last election 34 seats, 43.4% 14 seats, 18.3% 12 seats, 16.2%

 
Party FDP SSW
Last election 5 seats, 6.4% 4 seats, 5.7%

Incumbent Government

Second Günther cabinet
CDU–Green



Electoral system

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The Landtag is elected via mixed-member proportional representation. 35 members are elected in single-member constituencies via first-past-the-post voting. 34 members are then allocated using compensatory proportional representation. Voters have two votes: the "first vote" for candidates in single-member constituencies, and the "second vote" for party lists, which are used to fill the proportional seats. The minimum size of the Landtag is 69 members, but if overhang seats are present, proportional leveling seats will be added to ensure proportionality. An electoral threshold of 5% of valid votes is applied to the Landtag; parties that fall below this threshold, and fail to win at least one constituency, are ineligible to receive seats. Parties representing the Danish minority of Southern Schleswig and the Frisians, such as the South Schleswig Voters' Association, are exempt from the threshold.[2]

Opinion polls

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Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
CDU Grüne SPD FDP SSW AfD Linke BSW Others Lead
Infratest dimap 8–13 Apr 2026 1,155 33 19 12 4 5 15 6 6 14
Federal Parliament election 23 Feb 2025 27.6 14.9 18.8 4.7 4.0 16.3 7.8 3.4 2.6 8.8
INSA 13–20 Jan 2025 1,000 39 13 16 4 6 14 3 5 23
EP election 9 Jun 2024 30.2 15.4 16.7 6.3 12.2 2.3 4.1 12.8 13.5
INSA 6–13 Nov 2023 1,000 40 15 16 6 6 12 5 24
Wahlkreisprognose 24 Sep–2 Oct 2023 1,000 32.5 18 14 5 9 15 1.5 5 14.5
Infratest dimap 20–25 Apr 2023 1,160 38 17 15 8 7 8 7 21
INSA 17–24 Apr 2023 1,000 39 17 16 8 7 7 2 4 22
2022 state election 8 May 2022 43.4 18.3 16.2 6.4 5.7 4.4 1.7 3.9 25.1

References

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  1. admin. "Landtagswahl am 8. Mai 2022". Landesportal Schleswig-Holstein (in German). Retrieved 5 June 2022.
  2. "Elections". Landtag of Schleswig-Holstein. Retrieved 12 May 2021.