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2026 São Paulo general election

(Redirected from 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election)

The 2026 São Paulo general election will be held on 4 October 2026 in the Brazilian state of São Paulo. Voters will elect a Governor, Vice Governor, two Senators, 70 representatives for the Chamber of Deputies, and 94 Legislative Assembly members. If no candidate for president or governor receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round, a runoff election is held on 25 October.

2026 São Paulo general election
4 October 2026 (2026-10-04) (first round)
25 October 2026 (2026-10-25) (second round)
Opinion polls
 
Candidate Tarcísio de Freitas Fernando Haddad
Party Republicanos PT
Running mate Felicio Ramuth Márcio França
Gubernatorial election
← 2022
2030 →
Incumbent Governor

Tarcísio de Freitas
Republicanos


Parliamentary election
← 2022
2030 →
All 94 seats in the Legislative Assembly
Party Leader Current seats
PL Alex Madureira 22
FE Brasil Jorge do Carmo 18
PSD Rogério Nogueira 10
UNIÃO Milton Leite Filho 9
Republicanos Altair Moraes 8
PSOL-REDE Ediane Maria 6
PODE Clarice Ganem 5
MDB Itamar Borges 4
PSB Andréa Werner 4
PSDB-Cidadania 4
PP Antonio Olim 2
Missão Guto Zacarias 1
NOVO Leonardo Siqueira 1
Senatorial election
← 2018
2 October 2022 (2022-10-02) (one-only round)
2034 →
Opinion polls
Incumbent Senators

Mara Gabrilli and Alexandre Giordano
PSD and PODE


Incumbent governor Tarcísio de Freitas of the Republicans, elected in 2022 with 55.27% of the vote, is currently running for reelection. Incumbent senators Mara Gabrilli of the Social Democratic Party (PSD) and Alexandre Giordano of the Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB) are also eligible to run for reelection.

Background

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Election procedure

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Note: This section only presents the main dates of the 2026 electoral calendar, check the TSE official website (in Portuguese) and other official sources for detailed information.

Electoral calendar
15 May Start of crowdfunding of candidates
20 July to 5 August Party conventions for choosing candidates and coalitions
16 August to 1 October Period of exhibition of free electoral propaganda on radio, television and on the internet related to the first round
4 October First round of 2026 elections
9 October to 23 October Period of exhibition of free electoral propaganda on radio, television and on the internet related to a possible second round
25 October Possible second round of 2026 elections
until 19 December Delivery of electoral diplomas for those who were elected in the 2026 elections by the Brazilian Election Justice

Governor

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Incumbent governor Tarcísio de Freitas of the Republicans was elected in 2022 with 55.27% of the vote, defeating Fernando Haddad of the Workers' Party, a former mayor of São Paulo and presidential candidate in 2018. De Freitas, a former military engineering officer appointed Minister of Infrastructure in 2019 by President Jair Bolsonaro, was supported by a right-wing coalition which platformed his first run for elected office. His close alliance with Gilberto Kassab of the PSD, a former mayor of São Paulo, was confirmed by his selection of vice governor candidate, former São José dos Campos mayor Felicio Ramuth, a member of Kassab's party.

Senator

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Senators in Brazil serve an 8-year term, meaning the incumbents were elected on tickets in 2018.

Mara Gabrilli, a quadrapeligic psychologist and former Federal Deputy elected as a member of the Brazilian Social Democracy Party (PSDB) in a coalition with João Doria in 2018, has since joined Kassab's PSD, after her failed run for the Vice Presidency on Simone Tebet's third way ticket in 2022.[1]

Alexandre Giordano, an entrepreneur and former Green Party (PV) member, was elected as the first alternate of Major Olímpio in 2018. He joined the Social Liberal Party (PSL) to support the ticket, which centered around Olímpio's evangelical faith and alliance with the successful PSL presidential candidate Jair Bolsonaro. After Olímpio's death in 2021 from COVID-19, Giordano assumed his position joining the centrist Brazilian Democratic Movement.[1]

Gubernatorial candidates

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Declared candidates

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Governor Previous office Vice Governor Previous office Coalition Ref.
Party
Federation		 Candidate Party
Federation		 Candidate
REP Tarcísio de Freitas Governor of
São Paulo
(2023–present)		 MDB Felicio Ramuth Vice Governor of
São Paulo
(2023–present)		 (REP, MDB, PL, Fed. UPB (PP and UNIÃO), NOVO, PODE, Fed. Solidarity Renewal (PRD and SD)) [2]
PT
FE Brasil		 Fernando Haddad Minister of Finance
(2023–2026)		 PSB Márcio França Minister of Entrepreneurship
(2023–2026)		 (FE Brasil (PT, PV, and PCdoB), PSB, PDT, and Fed. PSOL REDE (PSOL and REDE)) [3][4]

Possible candidates

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Declined

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If Freitas had run for president

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  • Ricardo Nunes, businessman, current Mayor of São Paulo (since 2021), and former City Councilor of São Paulo (2013–2020).[7]
  • Gilberto Kassab, economist and civil engineer, current Secretary of Government and Institutional Relations of São Paulo (since 2023), and former Mayor of São Paulo (2006–2012) and Minister of Science, Technology and Communications (2016–2019).[7]
  • Felicio Ramuth, administrator and businessman, current Vice Governor of São Paulo (since 2023), and former Mayor of São José dos Campos (2017–2022).[7]
  • André do Prado, systems analyst, current President of the Legislative Assembly of São Paulo (since 2023) and State Deputy (since 2011), and former Mayor of Guararema (2005–2008).[7]
  • Guilherme Derrite, former Military Police captain, Federal Deputy (since 2019), and Secretary of Public Security of São Paulo (2023–2025).[7]

Others

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  • Geraldo Alckmin, anesthesiologist, current Vice President of Brazil and Minister of Development, Industry, Trade and Services (since 2023), and former Governor of São Paulo (2001–2006; 2011–2018).[8]

Senatorial candidates

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Senator Previous office Alternate Coalition Ref.
Party
Federation		 Candidate Party
Federation		 Candidate
PP
Fed. UPB		 Guilherme Derrite Federal Deputy for
São Paulo
(2019–present)		 (REP, MDB, PL, Fed. UPB (PP and UNIÃO), NOVO, PODE, Fed. Solidarity Renewal (PRD and SD))
REDE
Fed. PSOL REDE		 Marina Silva Minister of
the Environment
(2023–2026)		 (FE Brasil (PT, PV, and PCdoB), PSB, PDT, and Fed. PSOL REDE (PSOL and REDE))
PL André do Prado State President of the
Legislative Assembly
(2023–present)		 (REP, MDB, PL, Fed. UPB (PP and UNIÃO), NOVO, PODE, Fed. Solidarity Renewal (PRD and SD))
NOVO Ricardo Salles Federal Deputy for
São Paulo
(2023–2026)		 (REP, MDB, PL, Fed. UPB (PP and UNIÃO), NOVO, PODE, Fed. Solidarity Renewal (PRD and SD))
PSB Simone Tebet Minister of
Planning and Budget
(2023–2026)		 (FE Brasil (PT, PV, and PCdoB), PSB, PDT, and Fed. PSOL REDE (PSOL and REDE))
SD
Fed. Solidarity Renewal		 Paulinho da Força Federal Deputy for São Paulo
(2007–2020, 2023–2026)		 (REP, MDB, PL, Fed. UPB (PP and UNIÃO), NOVO, PODE, Fed. Solidarity Renewal (PRD and SD))

Declared candidates

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  • Guilherme Derrite, former military police captain, Federal Deputy for São Paulo (2019-present), former Secretary of Public Security of São Paulo (2023-2025)[9]
  • Márcio França, lawyer, Minister of Entrepreneurship, Micro and Small Business (since 2023), former Governor of São Paulo (2018–2019), and former Vice Governor of São Paulo (2015–2018).
  • Marina Silva, environmentalist and politician, Minister of the Environment and Climate Change (2023-2026), former Senator for Acre (1995-2011) and former Minister of the Environment (2003-2008)
  • Ricardo Salles, lawyer and politician, Federal Deputy for São Paulo (2023-present), former Minister of the Environment (2019-2021) and former Secretary of the Environment of São Paulo (2016-2017)
  • Simone Tebet, academic and lawyer, current Minister of Planning and Budget (2023-2026), former senator for Mato Grosso do Sul (2015–2023) and former Vice Governor of Mato Grosso do Sul (2011–2014).[10]

Declined

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  • Geraldo Alckmin, anesthesiologist, current Vice President of Brazil and Minister of Development, Industry, Trade and Services (since 2023), and former Governor of São Paulo (2001–2006; 2011–2018).[11]

Opinion polling

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Governor

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First round

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The first round is scheduled to take place on 4 October 2026.

2026

Pollster firm Polling

period

 Tarcísio
Republicanos		 Haddad
PT		 P. Serra
PSDB		 Kataguiri
MISSÃO		 Others Blank
Null
Undec.		 Margin of error Sample
size		 Lead Link
Vox Brasil 26–28 May 45.8 34.8 6.9 2.8 0.8 8.9 ±2.55 pp 1,480 11 [12]
Paraná Pesquisas 18–20 May 47.3 33.5 4.3 3.4 N/a 11.2 ±2.5 pp 1,640 13.8 [13]
Quaest 23–27 Apr 38 26 5 5 N/a 26 ±2 pp 1,650 12 [14]
40 28 N/a 5 N/a 27 12
Vox Brasil 22–25 Apr 48.2 32.3 5.1 3.3 2.2 8.9 ±2.55 pp 1,480 15.9 [15]
Paraná Pesquisas 11–14 Apr 47.8 33.1 4.6 3.5 N/a 11.1 ±2.5 pp 1,600 14.7 [16]
AtlasIntel 24–27 Mar 49.1 42.6 1.2 5 N/a 2,1 ±2 pp 2,254 6.5 [17]
Real Time Big Data 6–7 Mar 47 31 7 8 N/a 7 ±2 pp 2,000 16 [18]
Datafolha 3–5 Mar 44 31 5 5 3 7 ±2 pp 1,608 13 [19]
Paraná Pesquisas 6–10 Feb 51 27.7 4.2 5.2 1.6 10.3 ±2.5 pp 1,580 23.3 [20]

Second round

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The second round (if necessary) is scheduled to take place on 25 October 2026.

2026

Pollster firm Polling

period

 Tarcísio
Republicanos		 Haddad
PT		 Blank
Null
Undec.		 Margin of error Sample
size		 Lead Link
Vox Brasil 26–28 May 48.3 36.5 15.2 ±2.55 pp 1,480 11.8 [12]
Paraná Pesquisas 18–20 May 52.7 37.6 9.7 ±2.5 pp 1,640 15.1 [13]
Quaest 23–27 Apr 49 32 19 ±2 pp 1,650 17 [14]
Vox Brasil 22–25 Apr 54.2 34.6 11.2 ±2.55 pp 1,480 19.6 [15]
Paraná Pesquisas 11–14 Apr 53.4 37.3 9.3 ±2.5 pp 1,600 16.1 [16]
AtlasIntel 24–27 Mar 53.5 43.2 3.3 ±2 pp 2,254 10.3 [17]
Real Time Big Data 6–7 Mar 50 37 13 ±2 pp 2,000 13 [18]
Datafolha 3–5 Mar 52 37 11 ±2 pp 1,608 15 [19]
Paraná Pesquisas 6–10 Feb 58.7 32.4 8.8 ±2.5 pp 1,580 26.3 [20]

Senate

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2026

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Pollster firm Polling period Derrite

PP

 Marina

REDE

 Tebet

PSB

 França

PSB

 Boulos

PSOL

 Salles

NOVO

 Paulinho

SD

 Mello Araújo

PL

 Frias

PL

 Others Blank

Null Undec.

 Margin of error Sample size Lead Link
Genial/Quaest 23–27 Apr 8 N/a 14 12 N/a 6 N/a N/a N/a 9 51 ±2.0 pp 1,650 2 [21]
8 12 14 N/a N/a 6 N/a N/a N/a 10 50 2
N/a N/a 14 12 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 17 57 2
N/a N/a 15 12 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 22 51 3
Vox Brasil 22–25 Apr 27.2 29.7 26.1 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 22.5 — ±2.55 pp 1,480 2.5 [22]
Paraná Pesquisas 11–14 Apr 13.7 18.9 16.5 N/a N/a 9.6 7.6 N/a N/a 4.9 19.4 ±2.5 pp 1,600 2.4 [23]
13.4 18.9 16.2 N/a N/a 9.1 7.4 N/a 6.7 N/a 18.6 2.7
13.4 18.7 16.3 N/a N/a 9.2 6.9 9.0 N/a N/a 17.8 2.4
AtlasIntel 24–27 Mar 22.0 19.6 22.6 N/a N/a 11.1 0.5 14.8 N/a — 9.5 ±2.0 pp 2,254 0.6 [24]
22.1 19.7 N/a N/a N/a 12.8 0.6 N/a 12.3 21.8 10.7 2.4
Gerp 16–20 Mar 21 12 22 6 N/a N/a 3 N/a 4 1 32 ±3.16 pp 1,000 1 [25]
Real Time Big Data 6–7 Mar 15 15 16 N/a N/a 12 6 11 N/a — 25 ±2.0 pp 2,000 1 [26]
16 17 20 N/a N/a N/a 8 N/a N/a 14 25 3
16 15 N/a N/a N/a 13 7 N/a 11 21 17 5
Datafolha 3–5 Mar 14 18 25 20 14 13 10 N/a N/a 40 18 ±2.0 pp 1,608 5 [27]
13 21 25 20 15 13 9 N/a N/a 40 24 4
100% Cidades/Futura 20–23 Jan 19.9 30.0 N/a N/a N/a 14.1 10.4 N/a N/a 45.3 64.8 ±2.8 pp 1,200 3.2 [28]
21.0 30.3 N/a N/a N/a 15.3 N/a N/a N/a 50.8 — 8.9
Pollster firm Polling period Derrite
PP		 Marina
REDE		 Tebet
PSB		 França
PSB		 Boulos
PSOL		 Salles
NOVO		 Paulinho
SD		 Mello Araújo
PL		 Frias
PL		 Others Blank
Null
Undec.		 Margin of error Sample size Lead Link
Paraná Pesquisas 11–14 Apr 13.7 18.9 16.5 N/a N/a 9.6 7.6 N/a N/a 4.9 19.4 ±2.5 pp 1,600 2.4 [29]
13.4 18.9 16.2 N/a N/a 9.1 7.4 N/a 6.7 N/a 18.6 2.7
13.4 18.7 16.3 N/a N/a 9.2 6.9 9.0 N/a N/a 17.8 2.4

References

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  1. 1 2 "Senadores por UF - Senado Federal". www25.senado.leg.br. Retrieved 17 September 2025.
  2. ↑ "Tarcísio inaugura ano eleitoral com vídeo no qual pede 'fora PT'". O Globo (in Brazilian Portuguese). 1 January 2026. Retrieved 4 January 2026.
  3. ↑ "PT terá candidato ao governo de SP em 2026 e não descarta lançar Alckmin ou Haddad". cbn (in Brazilian Portuguese). 2 December 2025. Retrieved 4 January 2026.
  4. ↑ "Haddad anuncia disputa ao governo de SP e parte para sua quinta eleição". CNN Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). 19 March 2026. Retrieved 20 March 2026.
  5. ↑ "2026: PSB dá a largada na candidatura de França em SP | Blogs". CNN Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). 25 April 2025. Retrieved 4 January 2026.
  6. ↑ "Tarcísio lidera disputa pelo governo de SP em 2026 e mantém alta aprovação, aponta Paraná Pesquisas". Exame (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 4 January 2026.
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 Bombig, Beto; Larrubia, Mariana (12 January 2026). "Quem são os possíveis candidatos a governador de São Paulo nas eleições 2026". JOTA Jornalismo (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 22 January 2026.
  8. ↑ Chapola, Ricardo. "A reunião em que Lula sinalizou que repetirá chapa com Alckmin em 2026". VEJA (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 22 January 2026.
  9. ↑ Sadi, Andréia (25 February 2026). "Guilherme Derrite confirma pré-candidatura ao Senado por SP". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 20 March 2026.
  10. ↑ Jordão, Pedro (19 March 2026). "Lula confirma Tebet como candidata ao Senado por SP, mas deixa segunda vaga em aberto". Veja (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 20 March 2026.
  11. ↑ "Lula diz que pediu para Alckmin avaliar candidatura ao Senado em SP". UOL (in Brazilian Portuguese). 19 March 2026. Retrieved 20 March 2026.
  12. 1 2 PODER360 (30 May 2026). "Tarcísio tem 48,3% e Haddad, 36,5% no 2º turno em SP, diz pesquisa". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 1 June 2026.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  13. 1 2 PODER360 (21 May 2026). "Tarcísio lidera disputa ao governo de SP com 47,3%, diz pesquisa". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 23 May 2026.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  14. 1 2 "Quaest: Tarcísio lidera cenários de 1º e 2º turno contra Haddad em SP". CNN Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). 29 April 2026. Retrieved 29 April 2026.
  15. 1 2 "Vox Brasil divulga pesquisa ao Governo de São Paulo". Gazeta do Povo (in Brazilian Portuguese). 26 April 2026. Retrieved 1 June 2026.
  16. 1 2 "Paraná Pesquisas: Tarcísio lidera todos os cenários ao governo de SP". CNN Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). 16 April 2026. Retrieved 16 April 2026.
  17. 1 2 PODER360 (30 March 2026). "Tarcísio lidera em SP com 49,1% contra 42,6% de Haddad". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 31 March 2026.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  18. 1 2 "Real Time Big Data divulga pesquisa a governador de São Paulo". Gazeta do Povo (in Brazilian Portuguese). 9 March 2026. Retrieved 1 April 2026.
  19. 1 2 "Tarcísio de Freitas (Republicanos) lidera todos os cenários de intenção de voto para governador de SP". Datafolha (in Brazilian Portuguese). 12 March 2026. Retrieved 1 April 2026.
  20. 1 2 PODER360 (11 February 2026). "Tarcísio lidera com folga disputa pelo governo de SP, diz pesquisa". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 1 April 2026.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  21. ↑ "Quaest divulga pesquisa para o Senado por São Paulo". Gazeta do Povo (in Brazilian Portuguese). 29 April 2026. Retrieved 29 April 2026.
  22. ↑ "Marina, Derrite, Tebet e Do Prado empatam por vagas ao Senado em SP". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). 26 April 2026. Retrieved 27 April 2026.
  23. ↑ "A disputa entre Tarcísio e Haddad pelo governo de São Paulo, segundo o Paraná Pesquisas". CartaCapital (in Brazilian Portuguese). 16 April 2026. Retrieved 16 April 2026.
  24. ↑ "Atlas/Estadão: Tebet, Derrite e Marina lideram para Senado em SP". CNN Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). 31 March 2026. Retrieved 31 March 2026.
  25. ↑ "Gerp divulga pesquisa para senador por São Paulo". Gazeta do Povo (in Brazilian Portuguese). 23 March 2026. Retrieved 23 March 2026.
  26. ↑ "Real Time Big Data: Tebet, Derrite e Marina lideram para Senado em SP". CNN Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). 9 March 2026. Retrieved 9 March 2026.
  27. ↑ "Nomes ligados a Lula lideram a disputa pelo Senado em SP, mostra Datafolha". CartaCapital (in Brazilian Portuguese). 11 March 2026. Retrieved 11 March 2026.
  28. ↑ "100% Cidades divulga pesquisa para senador por São Paulo". Gazeta do Povo (in Brazilian Portuguese). 28 January 2026. Retrieved 28 January 2026.
  29. ↑ "A disputa entre Tarcísio e Haddad pelo governo de São Paulo, segundo o Paraná Pesquisas". CartaCapital (in Brazilian Portuguese). 16 April 2026. Retrieved 16 April 2026.
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