The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2018, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the U.S. state of Arkansas, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. Primaries were held on May 22, 2018. The elections and primaries coincided with the elections and primaries of other federal and state offices. Polls were open from 7:30 AM to 7:30 PM CST.[1] This election marked the first time in eight years where the Democrats contested every seat.
November 6, 2018
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All 4 Arkansas seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Overview
editDistrict
edit| District[2] | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 138,757 | 68.95% | 57,907 | 28.77% | 4,581 | 2.28% | 201,245 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 2 | 132,125 | 52.13% | 116,135 | 45.82% | 5,193 | 2.05% | 253,453 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 3 | 148,717 | 64.74% | 74,952 | 32.63% | 6,039 | 2.63% | 229,708 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 4 | 136,740 | 66.74% | 63,984 | 31.23% | 4,168 | 2.03% | 204,892 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| Total | 556,339 | 62.56% | 312,978 | 35.19% | 19,981 | 2.25% | 889,298 | 100.00% | |
County
edit| County[2] | Republican | Democratic | Others | Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Arkansas | 3,428 | 69.67% | 1,406 | 28.58% | 86 | 1.75% | 2,022 | 41.10% | 4,920 |
| Ashley | 4,143 | 67.63% | 1,888 | 30.82% | 95 | 1.55% | 2,255 | 36.81% | 6,126 |
| Baxter | 10,712 | 75.15% | 3,189 | 22.37% | 354 | 2.48% | 7,523 | 52.77% | 14,255 |
| Benton | 51,473 | 66.42% | 23,805 | 30.72% | 2,214 | 2.86% | 27,668 | 35.70% | 77,492 |
| Boone | 9,132 | 78.68% | 2,239 | 19.29% | 236 | 2.03% | 6,893 | 59.39% | 11,607 |
| Bradley | 1,832 | 64.53% | 937 | 33.00% | 70 | 2.47% | 895 | 31.53% | 2,839 |
| Calhoun | 1,268 | 71.28% | 483 | 27.15% | 28 | 1.57% | 785 | 44.13% | 1,779 |
| Carroll | 5,663 | 63.25% | 3,094 | 34.56% | 196 | 2.19% | 2,569 | 28.69% | 8,953 |
| Chicot | 1,537 | 43.58% | 1,929 | 54.69% | 61 | 1.73% | -392 | -11.11% | 3,527 |
| Clark | 3,767 | 55.98% | 2,848 | 42.32% | 114 | 1.69% | 919 | 13.66% | 6,729 |
| Clay | 3,182 | 77.35% | 842 | 20.47% | 90 | 2.19% | 2,340 | 56.88% | 4,114 |
| Cleburne | 7,928 | 82.45% | 1,503 | 15.63% | 185 | 1.92% | 6,425 | 66.82% | 9,616 |
| Cleveland | 2,015 | 77.80% | 535 | 20.66% | 40 | 1.54% | 1,480 | 57.14% | 2,590 |
| Columbia | 4,091 | 64.60% | 2,172 | 34.30% | 70 | 1.11% | 1,919 | 30.30% | 6,333 |
| Conway | 3,910 | 60.49% | 2,443 | 37.79% | 111 | 1.72% | 1,467 | 22.69% | 6,464 |
| Craighead | 17,389 | 66.77% | 8,087 | 31.05% | 566 | 2.17% | 9,302 | 35.72% | 26,042 |
| Crawford | 13,089 | 77.80% | 3,300 | 19.62% | 434 | 2.58% | 9,789 | 58.19% | 16,823 |
| Crittenden | 5,601 | 47.22% | 6,085 | 51.30% | 176 | 1.48% | -484 | -4.08% | 11,862 |
| Cross | 4,235 | 73.27% | 1,441 | 24.93% | 104 | 1.80% | 2,794 | 48.34% | 5,780 |
| Dallas | 1,279 | 60.56% | 807 | 38.21% | 26 | 1.23% | 472 | 22.35% | 2,112 |
| Desha | 1,658 | 48.85% | 1,653 | 48.70% | 83 | 2.45% | 5 | 0.15% | 3,394 |
| Drew | 3,432 | 64.13% | 1,819 | 33.99% | 101 | 1.89% | 1,613 | 30.14% | 5,352 |
| Faulkner | 23,702 | 61.50% | 13,737 | 35.65% | 1,099 | 2.85% | 9,965 | 25.86% | 38,538 |
| Franklin | 4,023 | 76.47% | 1,119 | 21.27% | 119 | 2.26% | 2,904 | 55.20% | 5,261 |
| Fulton | 2,790 | 73.46% | 933 | 24.57% | 75 | 1.97% | 1,857 | 48.89% | 3,798 |
| Garland | 21,187 | 66.69% | 9,988 | 31.44% | 594 | 1.87% | 11,199 | 35.25% | 31,769 |
| Grant | 4,463 | 80.44% | 988 | 17.81% | 97 | 1.75% | 3,475 | 62.64% | 5,548 |
| Greene | 8,470 | 77.61% | 2,176 | 19.94% | 268 | 2.46% | 6,294 | 57.67% | 10,914 |
| Hempstead | 3,194 | 64.62% | 1,690 | 34.19% | 59 | 1.19% | 1,504 | 30.43% | 4,943 |
| Hot Spring | 6,261 | 71.84% | 2,274 | 26.09% | 180 | 2.07% | 3,987 | 45.75% | 8,715 |
| Howard | 2,453 | 69.81% | 1,008 | 28.69% | 53 | 1.51% | 1,445 | 41.12% | 3,514 |
| Independence | 7,879 | 78.01% | 1,980 | 19.60% | 241 | 2.39% | 5,899 | 58.41% | 10,100 |
| Izard | 3,524 | 79.24% | 838 | 18.84% | 85 | 1.91% | 2,686 | 60.40% | 4,447 |
| Jackson | 3,014 | 72.30% | 1,082 | 25.95% | 73 | 1.75% | 1,932 | 46.34% | 4,169 |
| Jefferson | 7,837 | 40.06% | 11,336 | 57.94% | 392 | 2.00% | -3,499 | -17.88% | 19,565 |
| Johnson | 5,200 | 69.96% | 1,996 | 26.85% | 237 | 3.19% | 3,204 | 43.11% | 7,433 |
| Lafayette | 1,362 | 64.31% | 716 | 33.81% | 40 | 1.89% | 646 | 30.50% | 2,118 |
| Lawrence | 3,616 | 77.53% | 922 | 19.77% | 126 | 2.70% | 2,694 | 57.76% | 4,664 |
| Lee | 924 | 43.98% | 1,154 | 54.93% | 23 | 1.09% | -230 | -10.95% | 2,101 |
| Lincoln | 1,971 | 65.22% | 875 | 28.95% | 176 | 5.82% | 1,096 | 36.27% | 3,022 |
| Little River | 2,751 | 70.21% | 1,097 | 28.00% | 70 | 1.79% | 1,654 | 42.22% | 3,918 |
| Logan | 4,112 | 74.59% | 1,156 | 20.97% | 245 | 4.44% | 2,956 | 53.62% | 5,513 |
| Lonoke | 15,728 | 76.74% | 4,259 | 20.78% | 507 | 2.47% | 11,469 | 55.96% | 20,494 |
| Madison | 3,948 | 71.63% | 1,426 | 25.87% | 138 | 2.50% | 2,522 | 45.75% | 5,512 |
| Marion | 3,954 | 76.64% | 1,085 | 21.03% | 120 | 2.33% | 2,869 | 55.61% | 5,159 |
| Miller | 8,189 | 71.75% | 3,087 | 27.05% | 137 | 1.20% | 5,102 | 44.70% | 11,413 |
| Mississippi | 6,460 | 62.27% | 3,659 | 35.27% | 256 | 2.47% | 2,801 | 27.00% | 10,375 |
| Monroe | 1,408 | 54.40% | 1,131 | 43.70% | 49 | 1.89% | 277 | 10.70% | 2,588 |
| Montgomery | 2,162 | 76.40% | 615 | 21.73% | 53 | 1.87% | 1,547 | 54.66% | 2,830 |
| Nevada | 1,562 | 62.08% | 906 | 36.01% | 48 | 1.91% | 656 | 26.07% | 2,516 |
| Newton | 2,316 | 73.64% | 675 | 21.46% | 154 | 4.90% | 1,641 | 52.18% | 3,145 |
| Ouachita | 3,934 | 53.55% | 3,249 | 44.23% | 163 | 2.22% | 685 | 9.32% | 7,346 |
| Perry | 2,568 | 69.35% | 1,047 | 28.27% | 88 | 2.38% | 1,521 | 41.07% | 3,703 |
| Phillips | 2,182 | 40.57% | 3,125 | 58.10% | 72 | 1.34% | -943 | -17.53% | 5,379 |
| Pike | 2,664 | 79.90% | 599 | 17.97% | 71 | 2.13% | 2,065 | 61.94% | 3,334 |
| Poinsett | 4,651 | 76.40% | 1,273 | 20.91% | 164 | 2.69% | 3,378 | 55.49% | 6,088 |
| Polk | 4,958 | 81.96% | 972 | 16.07% | 119 | 1.97% | 3,986 | 65.90% | 6,049 |
| Pope | 13,690 | 76.23% | 3,876 | 21.58% | 393 | 2.19% | 9,814 | 54.65% | 17,959 |
| Prairie | 2,144 | 75.84% | 628 | 22.21% | 55 | 1.95% | 1,516 | 53.63% | 2,827 |
| Pulaski | 52,467 | 38.89% | 80,138 | 59.41% | 2,289 | 1.70% | -27,671 | -20.51% | 134,894 |
| Randolph | 4,268 | 76.17% | 1,149 | 20.51% | 186 | 3.32% | 3,119 | 55.67% | 5,603 |
| Saline | 28,284 | 68.06% | 12,321 | 29.65% | 953 | 2.29% | 15,963 | 38.41% | 41,558 |
| Scott | 2,332 | 81.85% | 442 | 15.51% | 75 | 2.63% | 1,890 | 66.34% | 2,849 |
| Searcy | 2,546 | 81.32% | 478 | 15.27% | 107 | 3.42% | 2,068 | 66.05% | 3,131 |
| Sebastian | 23,112 | 69.76% | 9,044 | 27.30% | 973 | 2.94% | 14,068 | 42.46% | 33,129 |
| Sevier | 2,372 | 74.31% | 734 | 22.99% | 86 | 2.69% | 1,638 | 51.32% | 3,192 |
| Sharp | 4,407 | 78.14% | 1,102 | 19.54% | 131 | 2.32% | 3,305 | 58.60% | 5,640 |
| St. Francis | 2,587 | 44.96% | 3,038 | 52.80% | 129 | 2.24% | -451 | -7.84% | 5,754 |
| Stone | 3,346 | 75.92% | 954 | 21.65% | 107 | 2.43% | 2,392 | 54.28% | 4,407 |
| Union | 7,867 | 64.40% | 4,164 | 34.09% | 184 | 1.51% | 3,703 | 30.32% | 12,215 |
| Van Buren | 4,525 | 72.03% | 1,603 | 25.52% | 154 | 2.45% | 2,922 | 46.51% | 6,282 |
| Washington | 34,346 | 52.22% | 29,775 | 45.27% | 1,651 | 2.51% | 4,571 | 6.95% | 65,772 |
| White | 16,669 | 75.72% | 4,846 | 22.01% | 499 | 2.27% | 11,823 | 53.71% | 22,014 |
| Woodruff | 1,208 | 58.16% | 829 | 39.91% | 40 | 1.93% | 379 | 18.25% | 2,077 |
| Yell | 3,988 | 75.17% | 1,179 | 22.22% | 138 | 2.60% | 2,809 | 52.95% | 5,305 |
| Totals | 556,339 | 62.56% | 312,978 | 35.19% | 19,981 | 2.25% | 243,361 | 27.37% | 889,298 |
District 1
edit
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County results Crawford: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Desai: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 76% of the vote in 206. The district had a PVI of R+16.
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Rick Crawford, incumbent U.S. representative[3]
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Chintan Desai, project manager for KIPP: Delta Public Schools and former Teach for America member[4]
Withdrawn
edit- Robert Butler
Libertarian primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Elvis D. Presley, Elvis impersonator, auto-mechanic, nominee for Arkansas Commissioner of State Lands in 2014 and for State Senate in 2016
General election
editPredictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[5] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[6] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[10] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[11] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[12] | Safe R | November 2, 2018 |
Polling
edit| Poll source | Dates administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Crawford (R) |
Chintan Desai (D) |
Elvis Presley (L) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hendrix College[13] | September 5–7, 2018 | 422 | ± 4.7% | 57% | 22% | 3% | 18% |
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Rick Crawford (incumbent) | 138,757 | 68.9 | |
| Democratic | Chintan Desai | 57,907 | 28.8 | |
| Libertarian | Elvis Presley | 4,581 | 2.3 | |
| Total votes | 201,245 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
By county
edit| County[14] | Rick Crawford Republican |
Chintan Desai Democratic |
Elvis Presley Libertarian |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Arkansas | 3,428 | 69.67% | 1,406 | 28.58% | 86 | 1.75% | 2,022 | 41.10% | 4,920 |
| Baxter | 10,712 | 75.15% | 3,189 | 22.37% | 354 | 2.48% | 7,523 | 52.77% | 14,255 |
| Chicot | 1,537 | 43.58% | 1,929 | 54.69% | 61 | 1.73% | -392 | -11.11% | 3,527 |
| Clay | 3,182 | 77.35% | 842 | 20.47% | 90 | 2.19% | 2,340 | 56.88% | 4,114 |
| Cleburne | 7,928 | 82.45% | 1,503 | 15.63% | 185 | 1.92% | 6,425 | 66.82% | 9,616 |
| Craighead | 17,389 | 66.77% | 8,087 | 31.05% | 566 | 2.17% | 9,302 | 35.72% | 26,042 |
| Crittenden | 5,601 | 47.22% | 6,085 | 51.30% | 176 | 1.48% | -484 | -4.08% | 11,862 |
| Cross | 4,235 | 73.27% | 1,441 | 24.93% | 104 | 1.80% | 2,794 | 48.34% | 5,780 |
| Desha | 1,658 | 48.85% | 1,653 | 48.70% | 83 | 2.45% | 5 | 0.15% | 3,394 |
| Fulton | 2,790 | 73.46% | 933 | 24.57% | 75 | 1.97% | 1,857 | 48.89% | 3,798 |
| Greene | 8,470 | 77.61% | 2,176 | 19.94% | 268 | 2.46% | 6,294 | 57.67% | 10,914 |
| Independence | 7,879 | 78.01% | 1,980 | 19.60% | 241 | 2.39% | 5,899 | 58.41% | 10,100 |
| Izard | 3,524 | 79.24% | 838 | 18.84% | 85 | 1.91% | 2,686 | 60.40% | 4,447 |
| Jackson | 3,014 | 72.30% | 1,082 | 25.95% | 73 | 1.75% | 1,932 | 46.34% | 4,169 |
| Jefferson (part) | 113 | 34.24% | 207 | 62.73% | 10 | 3.03% | -94 | -28.48% | 330 |
| Lawrence | 3,616 | 77.53% | 922 | 19.77% | 126 | 2.70% | 2,694 | 57.76% | 4,664 |
| Lee | 924 | 43.98% | 1,154 | 54.93% | 23 | 1.09% | -230 | -10.95% | 2,101 |
| Lincoln | 1,971 | 65.22% | 875 | 28.95% | 176 | 5.82% | 1,096 | 36.27% | 3,022 |
| Lonoke | 15,728 | 76.74% | 4,259 | 20.78% | 507 | 2.47% | 11,469 | 55.96% | 20,494 |
| Mississippi | 6,460 | 62.27% | 3,659 | 35.27% | 256 | 2.47% | 2,801 | 27.00% | 10,375 |
| Monroe | 1,408 | 54.40% | 1,131 | 43.70% | 49 | 1.89% | 277 | 10.70% | 2,588 |
| Phillips | 2,182 | 40.57% | 3,125 | 58.10% | 72 | 1.34% | -943 | -17.53% | 5,379 |
| Poinsett | 4,651 | 76.40% | 1,273 | 20.91% | 164 | 2.69% | 3,378 | 55.49% | 6,088 |
| Prairie | 2,144 | 75.84% | 628 | 22.21% | 55 | 1.95% | 1,516 | 53.63% | 2,827 |
| Randolph | 4,268 | 76.17% | 1,149 | 20.51% | 186 | 3.32% | 3,119 | 55.67% | 5,603 |
| Searcy (part) | 2,397 | 81.03% | 458 | 15.48% | 103 | 3.48% | 1,939 | 65.55% | 2,958 |
| Sharp | 4,407 | 78.14% | 1,102 | 19.54% | 131 | 2.32% | 3,305 | 58.60% | 5,640 |
| St. Francis | 2,587 | 44.96% | 3,038 | 52.80% | 129 | 2.24% | -451 | -7.84% | 5,754 |
| Stone | 3,346 | 75.92% | 954 | 21.65% | 107 | 2.43% | 2,392 | 54.28% | 4,407 |
| Woodruff | 1,208 | 58.16% | 829 | 39.91% | 40 | 1.93% | 379 | 18.25% | 2,077 |
| Totals | 138,757 | 68.95% | 57,907 | 28.77% | 4,581 | 2.28% | 80,850 | 40.17% | 201,245 |
District 2
edit
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County results Hill: 60–70% 70–80% Tucker: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican French Hill, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+7.
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- French Hill, incumbent U.S. representative[15]
Democratic primary
editThe 2nd district was included on the initial list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[16]
Candidates
editNominee
editEliminated in primary
editDeclined
edit- Win Thompson, former University of Central Arkansas president[21]
Primary results
edit
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Clarke Tucker | 23,325 | 57.8 | |
| Democratic | Gwen Combs | 8,188 | 20.3 | |
| Democratic | Paul Spencer | 5,063 | 12.6 | |
| Democratic | Johnathan Dunkley | 3,768 | 9.3 | |
| Total votes | 40,344 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian primary
editGeneral election
editEndorsements
edit- Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[23]
Debates
edit- Complete video of debate, October 8, 2018
Polling
edit| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
French Hill (R) |
Clarke Tucker (D) |
Joe Swafford (L) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hendrix College[24] | October 17–18, 2018 | 590 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 40% | 2% | 7% |
| Hendrix College[13] | September 5–7, 2018 | 428 | ± 4.7% | 50% | 40% | 2% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[25] | April 16–17, 2018 | 610 | ± 4.0% | 47% | 42% | — | 11% |
Predictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[5] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[6] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[8] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[9] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[10] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[11] | Lean R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[12] | Lean R | November 2, 2018 |
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | French Hill (incumbent) | 132,125 | 52.1 | |
| Democratic | Clarke Tucker | 116,135 | 45.8 | |
| Libertarian | Joe Swafford | 5,193 | 2.0 | |
| Total votes | 253,453 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
By county
edit| County[26] | French Hill Republican |
Clarke Tucker Democratic |
Joe Swafford Libertarian |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Conway | 3,910 | 60.49% | 2,443 | 37.79% | 111 | 1.72% | 1,467 | 22.69% | 6,464 |
| Faulkner | 23,702 | 61.50% | 13,737 | 35.65% | 1,099 | 2.85% | 9,965 | 25.86% | 38,538 |
| Perry | 2,568 | 69.35% | 1,047 | 28.27% | 88 | 2.38% | 1,521 | 41.07% | 3,703 |
| Pulaski | 52,467 | 38.89% | 80,138 | 59.41% | 2,289 | 1.70% | -27,671 | -20.51% | 134,894 |
| Saline | 28,284 | 68.06% | 12,321 | 29.65% | 953 | 2.29% | 15,963 | 38.41% | 41,558 |
| Van Buren | 4,525 | 72.03% | 1,603 | 25.52% | 154 | 2.45% | 2,922 | 46.51% | 6,282 |
| White | 16,669 | 75.72% | 4,846 | 22.01% | 499 | 2.27% | 11,823 | 53.71% | 22,014 |
| Totals | 132,125 | 52.13% | 116,135 | 45.82% | 5,193 | 2.05% | 15,990 | 6.31% | 253,453 |
District 3
edit
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County results Womack: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Steve Womack, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 77% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+19.
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Steve Womack, incumbent U.S. representative[27]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Robb Ryerse, pastor[28]
Primary results
edit
- 80–90%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Steve Womack (incumbent) | 47,757 | 84.2 | |
| Republican | Robb Ryerse | 8,988 | 15.8 | |
| Total votes | 56,745 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
editLibertarian primary
editGeneral election
editPredictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[5] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[6] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[10] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[11] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[12] | Safe R | November 2, 2018 |
Campaign
editThis was the first time since he was first elected in 2010 that Womack had faced a Democrat in the general election, having only had opposition from minor parties since.
Polling
edit| Poll source | Dates administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Steve Womack (R) |
Josh Mahony (D) |
Michael Kalagias (L) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hendrix College[13] | September 5–7, 2018 | 428 | ± 4.7% | 53% | 31% | 5% | 11% |
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Steve Womack (incumbent) | 148,717 | 64.7 | |
| Democratic | Joshua Mahony | 74,952 | 32.6 | |
| Libertarian | Michael Kalagias | 5,899 | 2.6 | |
| Write-in | 140 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 229,708 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
By county
edit| County[30] | Steve Womack Republican |
Joshua Mahony Democratic |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Benton | 51,473 | 66.42% | 23,805 | 30.72% | 2,214 | 2.86% | 27,668 | 35.70% | 77,492 |
| Boone | 9,132 | 78.68% | 2,239 | 19.29% | 236 | 2.03% | 6,893 | 59.39% | 11,607 |
| Carroll | 5,663 | 63.25% | 3,094 | 34.56% | 196 | 2.19% | 2,569 | 28.69% | 8,953 |
| Crawford (part) | 9,371 | 77.80% | 2,361 | 19.60% | 313 | 2.60% | 7,010 | 58.20% | 12,045 |
| Marion | 3,954 | 76.64% | 1,085 | 21.03% | 120 | 2.33% | 2,869 | 55.61% | 5,159 |
| Newton (part) | 1,135 | 82.43% | 222 | 16.12% | 20 | 1.45% | 913 | 66.30% | 1,377 |
| Pope | 13,690 | 76.23% | 3,876 | 21.58% | 393 | 2.19% | 9,814 | 54.65% | 17,959 |
| Searcy (part) | 149 | 86.13% | 20 | 11.56% | 4 | 2.31% | 129 | 74.57% | 173 |
| Sebastian (part) | 19,804 | 67.89% | 8,475 | 29.05% | 892 | 3.06% | 11,329 | 38.84% | 29,171 |
| Washington | 34,346 | 52.22% | 29,775 | 45.27% | 1,651 | 2.51% | 4,571 | 6.95% | 65,772 |
| Totals | 148,717 | 64.74% | 74,952 | 32.63% | 6,039 | 2.63% | 73,765 | 32.11% | 229,708 |
District 4
edit
| |||||||||||||||||
County results Westerman: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Shamel: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Incumbent Republican Bruce Westerman, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 75% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+17.
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Bruce Westerman, incumbent U.S. representative[31]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Randy Caldwell, preacher[32]
Primary results
edit
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bruce Westerman (incumbent) | 40,201 | 79.8 | |
| Republican | Randy Caldwell | 10,151 | 20.2 | |
| Total votes | 50,352 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
editLibertarian primary
editGeneral election
editPredictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[5] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[6] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[10] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[11] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[12] | Safe R | November 2, 2018 |
Debate
edit| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic | Libertarian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
|||||||
| Bruce Westerman | Hayden Shamel | Tom Canada | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 8, 2018 | AETN | Steve Barnes | [34] | P | P | A |
Polling
edit| Poll source | Dates administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bruce Westerman (R) |
Hayden Shamel (D) |
Tom Canada (L) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hendrix College[13] | September 5–7, 2018 | 423 | ± 4.7% | 54% | 24% | 5% | 17% |
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bruce Westerman (incumbent) | 136,740 | 66.7 | |
| Democratic | Hayden Shamel | 63,984 | 31.2 | |
| Libertarian | Tom Canada | 3,952 | 1.9 | |
| Write-in | 216 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 204,892 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
By county
edit| County[35] | Bruce Westerman Republican |
Hayden Shamel Democratic |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Ashley | 4,143 | 67.63% | 1,888 | 30.82% | 95 | 1.55% | 2,255 | 36.81% | 6,126 |
| Bradley | 1,832 | 64.53% | 937 | 33.00% | 70 | 2.47% | 895 | 31.53% | 2,839 |
| Calhoun | 1,268 | 71.28% | 483 | 27.15% | 28 | 1.57% | 785 | 44.13% | 1,779 |
| Clark | 3,767 | 55.98% | 2,848 | 42.32% | 114 | 1.69% | 919 | 13.66% | 6,729 |
| Cleveland | 2,015 | 77.80% | 535 | 20.66% | 40 | 1.54% | 1,480 | 57.14% | 2,590 |
| Columbia | 4,091 | 64.60% | 2,172 | 34.30% | 70 | 1.11% | 1,919 | 30.30% | 6,333 |
| Crawford (part) | 3,718 | 77.81% | 939 | 19.65% | 121 | 2.53% | 2,779 | 58.16% | 4,778 |
| Dallas | 1,279 | 60.56% | 807 | 38.21% | 26 | 1.23% | 472 | 22.35% | 2,112 |
| Drew | 3,432 | 64.13% | 1,819 | 33.99% | 101 | 1.89% | 1,613 | 30.14% | 5,352 |
| Franklin | 4,023 | 76.47% | 1,119 | 21.27% | 119 | 2.26% | 2,904 | 55.20% | 5,261 |
| Garland | 21,187 | 66.69% | 9,988 | 31.44% | 594 | 1.87% | 11,199 | 35.25% | 31,769 |
| Grant | 4,463 | 80.44% | 988 | 17.81% | 97 | 1.75% | 3,475 | 62.64% | 5,548 |
| Hempstead | 3,194 | 64.62% | 1,690 | 34.19% | 59 | 1.19% | 1,504 | 30.43% | 4,943 |
| Hot Spring | 6,261 | 71.84% | 2,274 | 26.09% | 180 | 2.07% | 3,987 | 45.75% | 8,715 |
| Howard | 2,453 | 69.81% | 1,008 | 28.69% | 53 | 1.51% | 1,445 | 41.12% | 3,514 |
| Jefferson (part) | 7,724 | 40.16% | 11,129 | 57.86% | 382 | 1.99% | -3,405 | -17.70% | 19,235 |
| Johnson | 5,200 | 69.96% | 1,996 | 26.85% | 237 | 3.19% | 3,204 | 43.11% | 7,433 |
| Lafayette | 1,362 | 64.31% | 716 | 33.81% | 40 | 1.89% | 646 | 30.50% | 2,118 |
| Little River | 2,751 | 70.21% | 1,097 | 28.00% | 70 | 1.79% | 1,654 | 42.22% | 3,918 |
| Logan | 4,112 | 74.59% | 1,156 | 20.97% | 245 | 4.44% | 2,956 | 53.62% | 5,513 |
| Madison | 3,948 | 71.63% | 1,426 | 25.87% | 138 | 2.50% | 2,522 | 45.75% | 5,512 |
| Miller | 8,189 | 71.75% | 3,087 | 27.05% | 137 | 1.20% | 5,102 | 44.70% | 11,413 |
| Montgomery | 2,162 | 76.40% | 615 | 21.73% | 53 | 1.87% | 1,547 | 54.66% | 2,830 |
| Nevada | 1,562 | 62.08% | 906 | 36.01% | 48 | 1.91% | 656 | 26.07% | 2,516 |
| Newton (part) | 1,181 | 66.80% | 453 | 25.62% | 134 | 7.58% | 728 | 41.18% | 1,768 |
| Ouachita | 3,934 | 53.55% | 3,249 | 44.23% | 163 | 2.22% | 685 | 9.32% | 7,346 |
| Pike | 2,664 | 79.90% | 599 | 17.97% | 71 | 2.13% | 2,065 | 61.94% | 3,334 |
| Polk | 4,958 | 81.96% | 972 | 16.07% | 119 | 1.97% | 3,986 | 65.90% | 6,049 |
| Scott | 2,332 | 81.85% | 442 | 15.51% | 75 | 2.63% | 1,890 | 66.34% | 2,849 |
| Sebastian (part) | 3,308 | 83.58% | 569 | 14.38% | 81 | 2.05% | 2,739 | 69.20% | 3,958 |
| Sevier | 2,372 | 74.31% | 734 | 22.99% | 86 | 2.69% | 1,638 | 51.32% | 3,192 |
| Union | 7,867 | 64.40% | 4,164 | 34.09% | 184 | 1.51% | 3,703 | 30.32% | 12,215 |
| Yell | 3,988 | 75.17% | 1,179 | 22.22% | 138 | 2.60% | 2,809 | 52.95% | 5,305 |
| Totals | 136,740 | 66.74% | 63,984 | 31.23% | 4,168 | 2.03% | 72,756 | 35.51% | 204,892 |
References
edit- ↑ "2016 Arkansas Code: Title 7, Chapter 5, Subchapter 3; § 7-5-304 - Opening and closing polls -- Time". Justia; US law. Archived from the original on March 9, 2018. Retrieved March 9, 2018.
- 1 2 Martin, Mark (November 6, 2018). "2018 General". Secretary of State of Arkansas. Retrieved April 24, 2026.
- ↑ "FEC Form 2 Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved July 1, 2019.
- ↑ "Chintan Desai Announces Race for AR 1st District Congress Seat". ARKANSASMATTERS. November 17, 2017. Retrieved May 12, 2018.
- 1 2 3 4 "2018 House Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 30, 2018.
- 1 2 3 4 "2018 House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- 1 2 3 4 "2018 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- 1 2 3 4 "Battle for the House 2018". RCP. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- 1 2 3 4 "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved November 5, 2018.[permanent dead link]
- 1 2 3 4 Silver, Nate (August 16, 2018). "2018 House Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Archived from the original on August 16, 2018. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
- 1 2 3 4 "CNN's 2018 Race Ratings". cnn.com. Turner Broadcasting System. Archived from the original on October 31, 2018. Retrieved July 30, 2023.
- 1 2 3 4 "Who wins 2018? Predictions for Every House & Senate Election". POLITICO. Retrieved September 7, 2018.
- 1 2 3 4 Hendrix College
- 1 2 Martin, Mark (November 6, 2018). "U.S. Congress District 1". Secretary of State of Arkansas. Retrieved February 25, 2026.
- ↑ "FEC Form 2 Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved July 1, 2019.
- ↑ Cheney, Kyle (January 30, 2017). "Amid Democratic doldrums, DCCC identifies 2018 targets". Politico. Retrieved March 23, 2017.
- ↑ Brantley, Max. "Rep. Clarke Tucker announces race for French Hill's 2nd District congressional seat". Arkansas Times. Retrieved May 12, 2018.
- ↑ "FEC Form 2 Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved July 1, 2019.
- ↑ Brantley, Max. "A 4th Democratic candidate for 2nd District Congress". Arkansas Times. Retrieved April 15, 2018.
- ↑ THV11 Digital Team (July 13, 2017). "Paul Spencer officially announces campaign to challenge Rep. French Hill". Retrieved July 13, 2017.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link) - ↑ Max Brantley (April 28, 2017). "Political speculation: A Democrat to run for 2nd District Congress". arktimes.com. Arkansas Times. Archived from the original on August 10, 2019. Retrieved August 3, 2023.
- 1 2 3 "2018 Arkansas primary election results". Retrieved June 9, 2019.
- ↑ "Red to Blue". dccc.org/. DCCC. Archived from the original on October 31, 2018. Retrieved July 20, 2023.
- ↑ Hendrix College
- ↑ Public Policy Polling (D)
- 1 2 Martin, Mark (November 6, 2018). "U.S. Congress District 2". Secretary of State of Arkansas. Retrieved February 25, 2026.
- ↑ "FEC Form 2 Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved July 1, 2019.
- ↑ Jilani, Zaid (May 19, 2017). "MEET THE PASTOR RUNNING AS A PROGRESSIVE REPUBLICAN TO GET BIG MONEY OUT OF POLITICS". The Intercept. Retrieved September 2, 2017.
- ↑ DeMillo, Andrew (May 8, 2017). "Arkansas Scholarship Fund Head Says He'll Run for Congress". U.S. News & World Report. Retrieved May 8, 2017.
- 1 2 Martin, Mark (November 6, 2018). "U.S. Congress District 3". Secretary of State of Arkansas. Retrieved February 25, 2026.
- ↑ "FEC Form 2 Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved July 1, 2019.
- ↑ "Forms lacking for 2 Arkansas congressional candidates, FEC says". NWADG.com. Retrieved April 15, 2018.
- ↑ "FEC Form 2 Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved July 1, 2019.
- ↑ YouTube
- 1 2 Martin, Mark (November 6, 2018). "U.S. Congress District 4". Secretary of State of Arkansas. Retrieved February 25, 2026.
External links
edit- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at OpenSecrets
Official campaign websites for first district candidates
Official campaign websites for second district candidates
Official campaign websites for third district candidates
Official campaign websites for fourth district candidates