2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Virginia

The 2008 congressional elections in Virginia were held on November 4, 2008, to determine who would represent the Commonwealth of Virginia in the United States House of Representatives, coinciding with the presidential and senatorial elections. Representatives were elected for two-year terms in the 111th Congress from January 3, 2009, until January 3, 2011. Primary elections were held on June 10, 2008.

2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Virginia

 2006
November 4, 2008 (2008-11-04)
2010 

All 11 Virginia seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 3 seats, 41.23% 8 seats, 53.23%%
Seats before 3 8
Seats won 6 5
Seat change Increase 3 Decrease 3
Popular vote 1,852,788 1,590,687
Percentage 53.01% 45.51%
Swing Increase 11.78% Decrease 7.72%

Virginia had eleven seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States census. Democrats flipped the 2nd, 5th, and 11th districts, flipping their 3–8 deficit into a 6–5 majority, their first since 1998. As of 2024, this is the last time that Democrats were elected to the 5th or 9th congressional districts. This was also the last time until 2018 that Democrats won the majority of House seats in Virginia.

Overview

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Statewide

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Party Candidates Votes[1] Seats
No. % No. +/– %
Democratic 11 1,852,788 53.01 5 Increase 3 54.55
Republican 9 1,590,687 45.51 4 Decrease 3 45.45
Independent Greens 2 14,100 0.40 0 Steady 0.0
Independents 2 13,870 0.40 0 Steady 0.0
Libertarian 1 5,265 0.15 0 Steady 0.0
Write-in 11 18,645 0.53 0 Steady 0.0
Total 3,495,355 100.0 11 Steady 100.0
Popular vote
Democratic
53.01%
Republican
45.51%
Independent Greens
0.40%
Other
1.08%
House seats
Democratic
54.55%
Republican
45.45%

By district

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Results of the 2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Virginia by district:

District Democratic Republican Others Total Result
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1150,43241.75%203,83956.58%6,0211.67%360,292100.0%Republican hold
District 2141,85752.40%128,48647.46%3680.14%270,711100.0%Democratic gain
District 3239,91197.02%00.00%7,3772.98%247,288100.0%Democratic hold
District 4135,04140.37%199,07559.51%4050.12%334,521100.0%Republican hold
District 5158,81050.09%158,08349.86%1830.06%317,076100.0%Democratic gain
District 6114,36736.61%192,35061.57%5,6751.82%312,392100.0%Republican hold
District 7138,12337.10%233,53162.72%6830.18%372,337100.0%Republican hold
District 8222,98667.94%97,42529.68%7,7862.37%328,197100.0%Democratic hold
District 9207,30697.07%00.00%6,2642.93%213,570100.0%Democratic hold
District 10147,35738.83%223,14058.80%8,9832.37%379,480100.0%Republican hold
District 11196,59854.69%154,75843.05%8,1352.26%359,491100.0%Democratic gain
Total1,852,78853.01%1,590,68745.51%51,8801.48%3,495,355100.0%

District 1

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2008 Virginia's 1st congressional district election

 
Nominee Rob Wittman Bill Day
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 203,839 150,452
Percentage 56.6% 41.8%

County and independent city results
Wittman:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Day:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Rob Wittman
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Rob Wittman
Republican

Incumbent Republican Rob Wittman, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was elected with 60.8% of the vote in 2007 and the district had a PVI of R+9.[2]

Republican primary

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A Westmoreland County resident, former State Board of Health field director for the Division of Shellfish Sanitation and past member of the Virginia House of Delegates,[3] Wittman had only held the seat since January 2008, having won the special election to succeed deceased Congresswoman Jo Ann Davis. He had taken up many of her causes, including the FairTax, veterans' interests and getting rid of the remainder of the ghost fleet stationed at the James River.[4][5][6] Like Davis, he is also introducing legislation to allow Virginia to regulate the importation of trash from other states.[7]

Candidates

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Nominee
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Democratic primary

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The Democratic Party of Virginia held its convention on May 17 in Williamsburg, Virginia and selected Keith Hummel, the only person running for the Democratic nomination at the time. Only four votes were cast to not nominate anyone.[9] A Westmoreland County physician and self-described "populist Democrat", Hummel also operates a farm and winery. The issues he was running on included enacting trade and tax policies to protect American jobs and American interests (rather than those of a few multinational corporations); using the military for defense rather than offensively; providing better health care and other benefits to veterans; and universal health care.[10]

Candidates

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Nominee
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Libertarian primary

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Anarcho-capitalist Catlett resident Nathan Larson, filed a declaration of candidacy on May 7, and was certified for the ballot on June 6. He was nominated by the Libertarian Party 1st Congressional District Convention on June 3[12][13] and endorsed by the Independent Greens of Virginia on June 12.[14]

The main issues he was running on are free market roads and transit privatization,[15] which he proposed as the solution to DC Metropolitan area traffic congestion, recently ranked the second-worst in the country.[16] He supported auctioning off the Interstate Highway System and rail systems such as Amtrak to private investors.[17] Larson also sought to dissolve the U.S. military and establish a competitive market for defense services.[18]

Candidates

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Nominee
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General election

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Campaign

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The candidates appeared on Cathy Lewis's TV program, What Matters, on October 15.[21] The candidates held a spirited and well-attended[22] debate on October 22 in which differing opinions on health care and the economy played a central role. Wittman defended his vote against the bailout package, while Day said he would have voted for it, and Larson said that it would have been better for the economy if the banks had been allowed to fail. On Medicare, Wittman advocated restructuring the system, while Day argued for expanding it and Larson shocked the audience by calling for its abolition.[23][24]

Endorsements

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Bill Day (D)

Labor unions

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Safe R November 6, 2008
Rothenberg[27] Safe R November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Safe R November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[29] Safe R November 7, 2008
CQ Politics[30] Safe R November 6, 2008

Results

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Wittman won the election, 56.6 to 41.8.[31]

Virginia's 1st congressional district election, 2008[32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Rob Wittman 203,839 56.6
Democratic Bill Day 150,432 41.8
Libertarian Nathan Larson 5,265 1.5
Write-in 756 0.2
Majority 53,407 14.8
Total votes 360,292 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

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2008 Virginia's 2nd congressional district election

 2006
2010 
 
Candidate Glenn Nye Thelma Drake
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 141,857 128,486
Percentage 52.4% 47.5%

County and independent city results
Nye:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Thelma Drake
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Glenn Nye
Democratic

The District includes Virginia's two largest cities--Norfolk and Virginia Beach, and the Virginia portion of the Eastern Shore. Incumbent Republican Thelma Drake, who had represented the district since 2005, ran for re-election.[33] She was elected with 51.3% of the vote in 2006 and the district had a PVI of R+6.[2]

In 2006, Drake survived a bid from Democrat Phil Kellam by only 51.27% to 48.45%. In 2004, Drake received 55% of the vote in this Virginia Beach-based district, which was won by George W. Bush with 57% to 42% for John Kerry in 2004. But in 2005 Democratic Governor Tim Kaine won the district by 50% to 47%.[34] In 2006, Drake may have been hurt by the downfall of Republican U.S. Senator George Allen, who narrowly lost to Democrat Jim Webb, an ex-Republican and former Navy Secretary under Ronald Reagan. (Allen carried the district 51%–48%.[35])

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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  • Glenn Nye, businessman and former foreign service officer

General election

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Endorsements

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Glenn Nye (D)
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers and publications

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin of
error
Thelma
Drake (R)
Glenn
Nye (D)
Undecided
Bennett, Petts & Normington (D–Nye)[40] October 14–15, 2008 400 (LV) ±4.9% 47% 42% 11%
Research 2000 (Daily Kos)[41] October 6–8, 2008 400 (LV) ±5.0% 51% 37% 12%
Bennett, Petts & Normington (D–Nye)[42] September 21–22, 2008 400 (LV) ±4.9% 45% 40% 15%
Bennett, Petts & Normington (D–Nye)[43] May 5–6, 2008 400 (LV) ±5.0% 48% 32% 20%

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Tossup November 6, 2008
Rothenberg[27] Tossup November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Lean R November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[29] Lean R November 7, 2008
CQ Politics[30] Lean R November 6, 2008

Results

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Virginia's 2nd congressional district election, 2008
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Glenn Nye 141,857 52.4
Republican Thelma Drake (incumbent) 128,486 47.5
Write-in 368 0.1
Majority 13,371 4.9
Total votes 270,711 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 3

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The District runs from Hampton Roads to Richmond. Incumbent Democrat Bobby Scott, who had represented the district since 1993, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 96.1% of the vote in 2006 and the district had a PVI of D+18.[2] That year Democrat Webb carried 68% of the district in his Senate race.[35] In 2005 Democrat Tim Kaine won the district by 71% to 27% in his gubernatorial race.[34]

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Republican primary

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No Republicans filed to run.[44]

General election

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Endorsements

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Safe D November 6, 2008
Rothenberg[27] Safe D November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Safe D November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[29] Safe D November 7, 2008
CQ Politics[30] Safe D November 6, 2008

Results

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Virginia's 3rd congressional district election, 2008
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Bobby Scott (incumbent) 239,911 97.0
Write-in 7,377 3.0
Majority 232,534 94.0
Total votes 247,288 100.0
Democratic hold

District 4

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The District lies in southeastern Virginia. Incumbent Republican Randy Forbes, who had represented the district since 2001, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 76.1% of the vote in 2006 and the district had a PVI of R+5.[2] In 2006 Democrat Webb lost the district 45%–54% in his Senate race.[35] In 2005 Democrat Tim Kaine lost the district by 48.3% to 49.6% in his gubernatorial race.[34]

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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General election

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Endorsements

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Andrea Miller (D)

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Safe R November 6, 2008
Rothenberg[27] Safe R November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Safe R November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[29] Safe R November 7, 2008
CQ Politics[30] Safe R November 6, 2008

Results

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Virginia's 4th congressional district election, 2008
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Randy Forbes (incumbent) 199,075 59.5
Democratic Andrea Miller 135,041 40.4
Write-in 405 0.1
Majority 64,034 19.1
Total votes 334,521 100.0
Republican hold

District 5

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2008 Virginia's 5th congressional district election

 2006
2010 
 
Candidate Tom Perriello Virgil Goode
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 158,810 158,083
Percentage 50.09% 49.86%

County and independent city results
Perriello:      50–60%      60–70%      80–90%
Goode:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Virgil Goode
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Tom Perriello
Democratic

The District lies in southern and central Virginia. Incumbent Republican Virgil Goode, who had represented the district since 1997, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 59.1% of the vote in 2006 and the district had a PVI of R+6.[2] Democrat Webb lost the district 45%–54% in his Senate race.[35] In 2005 Democrat Tim Kaine won the district by 49.6% to 48.4% in his gubernatorial race.[34] Goode originally won his seat as a Democrat in 1996, voted for President Clinton's impeachment in 1998, became an Independent in 2000, and then joined the Republican Party in 2002. He became the first Republican to represent the district since 1889.

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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General election

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Campaign

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The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee considered Goode a "targeted Republican", based partly on Perriello's early fundraising.[47] On August 1, the DCCC named Perriello as one of its Red to Blue candidates.[48]

Endorsements

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Virgil Goode (R)

Organizations

Tom Perriello (D)

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin of
error
Virgil
Goode (R)
Tom
Perriello (D)
Sherman
Wichter (IG)
Undecided
SurveyUSA (WDBJ-TV)[50] October 30–November 2, 2006 640 (LV) ±4.0% 50% 47% 3%
Benenson Strategy Group (D–Perriello)[51] October 7–9, 2006 400 (LV) ±4.9% 48% 40% 12%
SurveyUSA (WDBJ-TV)[52] October 6–7, 2006 680 (LV) ±3.8% 55% 42% 3%
SurveyUSA (WDBJ-TV/WJLA-TV)[53] August 10–12, 2006 615 (LV) ±3.9% 64% 30% 1% 5%
Benenson Strategy Group (D–Perriello)[54] July 7, 2006 ? (LV) ±4.9% 56% 31% 13%

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Lean R November 6, 2008
Rothenberg[27] Lean R November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Lean R November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[29] Lean R November 7, 2008
CQ Politics[30] Lean R November 6, 2008

Results

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Democrat Perriello defeated Republican incumbent Goode 50.1% to 49.9%.[55] A recount was conducted and Perriello was finally certified [56] as the winner by 727 of 316,893 votes on December 17. This was the closest House race in 2008.

Virginia's 5th congressional district election, 2008
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tom Perriello 158,810 50.1
Republican Virgil Goode (incumbent) 158,083 49.9
Write-in 183 0.1
Majority 727 0.2
Total votes 317,076 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 6

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2008 Virginia's 6th congressional district election

 2006
2010 
 
Candidate Bob Goodlatte Sam Rasoul
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 192,350 114,367
Percentage 61.6% 36.6%

County and independent city results
Goodlatte:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Rasoul:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Bob Goodlatte
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Bob Goodlatte
Republican

The District lies in western Virginia. Incumbent Republican Bob Goodlatte, who had represented the district since 1993, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 75.1% of the vote in 2006 and the district had a PVI of R+11.[2] Democrat Webb lost the district 40%–58% in his Senate race.[35] In 2005 Democrat Tim Kaine lost the district by 44% to 53% in his gubernatorial race.[34]

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Withdrawn
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General election

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Endorsements

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Sam Rasoul (D)
Labor unions

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin of
error
Bob
Goodlatte (R)
Sam
Rasoul (D)
Janice Lee
Allen (I)
Undecided
SurveyUSA (WDBJ-TV/WJLA-TV)[58] August 11–13, 2006 592 (LV) ±4.0% 59% 30% 3% 7%

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Safe R November 6, 2008
Rothenberg[27] Safe R November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Safe R November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[29] Lean R November 7, 2008
CQ Politics[30] Safe R November 6, 2008

Results

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Virginia's 6th congressional district election, 2008
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bob Goodlatte (incumbent) 192,350 61.6
Democratic Sam Rasoul 114,367 36.6
Independent Janice Lee Allen 5,413 1.7
Write-in 262 0.1
Majority 77,983 25.0
Total votes 312,392 100.0
Republican hold

District 7

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2008 Virginia's 7th congressional district election

 2006
2010 
 
Nominee Eric Cantor Anita Hartke
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 233,531 138,123
Percentage 62.7% 37.1%

County and independent city results
Cantor:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Hartke:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Eric Cantor
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Eric Cantor
Republican

The 7th District included western parts of Richmond, as well as its nearby suburbs in Henrico County, but otherwise is largely rural. Incumbent Republican Eric Cantor, who had represented the district since 2002, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 63.8% of the vote in 2006 and the district had a PVI of R+11.[2]

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Democratic primary

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Hartke, 48, a resident of Amissville, Virginia.[59] Her stated positions included improvements on the National Energy Policy by investing in alternative energy in order to reduce the use of foreign oil and fossil fuels. She also supported universal health care as well as gradual withdrawal of troops from Iraq. She also supported reform of the controversial No Child Left Behind Act and increasing funding to the public school system as well as hoping to end student college loan rates in excess of 20%.[60]

Candidates

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Nominee
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General election

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Endorsements

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Eric Cantor (R)

Organizations

Anita Hartke (D)
Labor unions

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Safe R November 6, 2008
Rothenberg[27] Safe R November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Safe R November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[29] Safe R November 7, 2008
CQ Politics[30] Safe R November 6, 2008

Results

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Virginia's 7th congressional district election, 2008
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Eric Cantor (incumbent) 233,531 62.7
Democratic Anita Hartke 138,123 37.1
Write-in 683 0.2
Majority 95,408 25.6
Total votes 372,337 100.0
Republican hold

District 8

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The District lies in heavily suburban Northern Virginia. Incumbent Democrat Jim Moran, who had represented the district since 1985, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 66.4% of the vote in 2006 and the district had a PVI of D+14.[2] That year Democrat Webb won the district 69%–30% in his Senate race.[35] In 2005 Democrat Tim Kaine won the district by 70% to 28% in his gubernatorial race.[34]

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Eliminated in primary
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  • Matthew Famiglietti

Results

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In the June 10 primary election, Moran defeated Famiglietti, with 87% of the vote.[62]

Results

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Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jim Moran (incumbent) 11,792 87.0
Democratic Matthew Famiglietti 1,764 13.0
Total votes 13,556 100.0

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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  • Mark Ellmore, mortgage lender and candidate for this seat in 2006
Eliminated in primary
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  • Amit Singh, small businessman

Endorsements

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Amit Singh

Results

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Republican primary results[64]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mark Ellmore 3,286 56.0
Republican Amit Singh 2,577 44.0
Total votes 5,863 100.0

General election

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Endorsements

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Safe D November 6, 2008
Rothenberg[27] Safe D November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Safe D November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[29] Safe D November 7, 2008
CQ Politics[30] Safe D November 6, 2008

Results

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Virginia's 8th congressional district election, 2008
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jim Moran (incumbent) 222,986 67.9
Republican Mark Ellmore 97,425 29.7
Independent Greens J. Ron Fisher 6,829 2.1
Write-in 957 0.3
Majority 125,561 38.3
Total votes 328,197 100.0
Democratic hold

District 9

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2008 Virginia's 9th congressional district election

 2006
2010 
 
Candidate Rick Boucher
Party Democratic
Popular vote 207,306
Percentage 97.1%

County and independent city results
Boucher:       >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Rick Boucher
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Rick Boucher
Democratic

The District covers much of Southwest Virginia. Incumbent Democrat Rick Boucher, who had represented the district since 1983, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 67.8% of the vote in 2006 and the district had a PVI of R+7.[2] Democrat Webb lost the district 44%–55% in his Senate race.[35] In 2005 Democrat Tim Kaine lost the district by 43% to 55% in his gubernatorial race.[34]

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Republican primary

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No Republicans filed to run.[44]

General election

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Endorsements

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Rick Boucher (D)

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Safe D November 6, 2008
Rothenberg[27] Safe D November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Safe D November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[29] Safe D November 7, 2008
CQ Politics[30] Safe D November 6, 2008

Results

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Virginia's 9th congressional district election, 2008
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Rick Boucher (incumbent) 207,306 97.1
Write-in 6,264 2.9
Majority 201,042 94.1
Total votes 213,570 100.0
Democratic hold

District 10

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The District lies in Northern and northwestern Virginia. It covers Loudoun, Prince William and parts of Fairfax and Fauquier counties, as well as Manassas. Incumbent Republican Frank Wolf, the Dean of the Virginia congressional delegation, who had represented the district since 1981, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 57.3% of the vote in 2006 and the district had a PVI of R+5.[2]Democrat Webb won the district 50.0%–48.8% in his Senate race.[35] In 2005 Democrat Tim Kaine won the district by 50% to 46% in his gubernatorial race.[34] In 2004 George W. Bush won 55% of this district.

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Eliminated in primary
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Endorsements

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Vern McKinley

Results

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Republican primary results[64]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Frank Wolf (incumbent) 16,726 91.7
Republican Vern McKinley 1,506 8.3
Total votes 18,232 100.0

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Eliminated in primary
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  • Mike Turner, nonprofit worker

Results

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Democratic primary results[62][67]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Judy Feder 5,462 61.8
Democratic Mike Turner 3,377 38.2
Total votes 8,839 100.0

Other Candidates

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  • Neeraj C. Nigam, computer systems analyst and candidate for this seat in 2006 (Independent)

General election

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Endorsements

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Judy Feder (D)
Labor unions
Organizations

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Likely R November 6, 2008
Rothenberg[27] Safe R November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Safe R November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[29] Safe R November 7, 2008
CQ Politics[30] Likely R November 6, 2008

Results

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Virginia's 10th congressional district election, 2008
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Frank Wolf (incumbent) 223,140 58.8
Democratic Judy Feder 147,357 38.8
Independent Neeraj Nigam 8,457 2.2
Write-in 526 0.1
Majority 75,783 20.0
Total votes 379,480 100.0
Republican hold

District 11

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Incumbent Republican Tom Davis, who had represented the Democratic trending district, located in the wealthy Northern Virginia suburbs of Washington, DC which includes part of Fairfax and Prince William counties, since 1995, retired rather than run for re-election. He was re-elected with % of the vote in 2006 and the district had a PVI of R+1.[2] George W. Bush barely won this district with 50% to 49% for John Kerry in 2004. Webb won the district 55%–44% in his Senate race.[35] In 2005 Democrat Tim Kaine won the district by 56% to 42% in his gubernatorial race.[34]

Republican primary

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Fimian had personal wealth to draw upon.[69]

Candidates

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Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Eliminated in primary
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Endorsements

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Leslie Byrne
Organizations

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin of
error
Lori
Alexander
Leslie
Byrne
Gerry
Connolly
Douglas
Denneny
Undecided
Lake Research Partners (D–Connolly)[74] March 24–27, 2008 500 (LV) ±4.4% 1% 25% 45% 1% 28%
Global Strategy Group (D–Byrne)[75] January 9–13, 2008 400 (LV) ±4.9% 39% 29% 8% 24%
Lake Research Partners (D–Connolly)[76] January 7–10, 2008 400 (RV) ±4.9% 22% 45% 1% 32%

Results

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Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gerry Connolly 14,233 57.9
Democratic Leslie Byrne 8,196 33.4
Democratic Doug Denneny 1,508 6.1
Democratic Lori Alexander 638 2.6
Total votes 24,575 100.0

Independent Greens primary

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Oddo favored light rail as an alternative to HOT lanes.

Candidates

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Nominee
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General election

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Endorsements

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Keith Fimian (R)
Organizations

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin of
error
Keith
Fimian (R)
Gerry
Connolly (D)
Joseph
Oddo (IG)
Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R–Fimian)[77] July 15–16, 2008 300 (LV) ±5.7% 25% 29% 47%
Lake Research Partners (D–Connolly)[78] July 10–14, 2008 500 (LV) ±4.4% 21% 52% 2% 25%

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Likely D (flip) November 6, 2008
Rothenberg[27] Likely D (flip) November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Lean D (flip) November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[29] Lean D (flip) November 7, 2008
CQ Politics[30] Likely D (flip) November 6, 2008

Results

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Virginia's 11th congressional district election, 2008
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gerry Connolly 196,598 54.7
Republican Keith Fimian 154,758 43.0
Independent Greens Joseph Oddo 7,271 2.0
Write-in 864 0.2
Majority 41,840 11.6
Total votes 359,491 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

Notes

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  1. 1 2 3 4 5 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

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