User:Selbstporträt/Notes/Iran war

LLM patrol

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Leads

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2025-2026 Iran-US peace talks

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cite news|last1=Seligman |first1=Lara |last2=Gordon |first2=Michael R. |last3=Ward |first3=Alexander |last4=Holliday |first4=Shelby |url=https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/u-s-gathers-the-most-air-power-in-the-mideast-since-the-2003-iraq-invasion-98ced89f |title=U.S. Gathers the Most Air Power in the Mideast Since the 2003 Iraq Invasion |date=February 18, 2026 |newspaper=The Wall Street Journal |access-date=February 19, 2026

cite news | last=Hafezi | first=Parisa | title=Iran says 'extremely cautious' on success of nuclear talks with US | work=Reuters | date=April 26, 2025 | url=https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-us-resume-talks-oman-narrow-gaps-over-new-nuclear-deal-2025-04-26/ | access-date=April 28, 2025

cite web |last=Wintour |first=Patrick |date=April 12, 2025 |title=Iran and US agree to continue nuclear talks after first indirect round |url=https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/apr/12/iran-foreign-minister-oman-us-nuclear-programme-talks |website=The Guardian |author-link=Patrick Wintour

cite web | last=Motamedi | first=Maziar | title=Iran, US conclude 'constructive' nuclear talks in Oman, agree to meet again | publisher=Al Jazeera | date=April 12, 2025 | url=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/4/12/iranian-us-delegations-set-to-begin-high-stakes-nuclear-talks-in-oman | access-date=April 21, 2025

Cite news |last=Tharoor |first=Ishaan |date=April 11, 2025 |title=Trump tries to fix the Iran nuclear deal he broke |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/04/11/trump-iran-nuclear-talks-oman-witkoff/ |access-date=April 11, 2025 |newspaper=The Washington Post |issn=0190-8286

Cite news|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/09/us/politics/trump-iran-nuclear-deal.html|title=Trump Wants an Iran Nuclear Deal, but It Must Be Better Than Obama's|work=The New York Times |date=April 9, 2025 |last1=Broadwater |first1=Luke |author-link1=Luke Broadwater|last2=Sanger |first2=David E. |author-link2=David E. Sanger|name-list-style=and}}

Cite web|url=https://www.axios.com/2025/04/10/iran-nuclear-deal-us-interim-agreement|title=Scoop: Iran wants to explore interim nuclear deal in talks with U.S., sources say|first=Barak|last=Ravid|date=April 10, 2025|website=Axios|author-link=Barak Ravid}}

Cite magazine|url=https://time.com/7276006/timeline-tensions-between-iran-us-nuclear-negotiations-loom/|title=A Timeline of the Tensions Between Iran and the U.S.|agency=Associated Press|date=April 9, 2025|magazine=Time|access-date=April 11, 2025|archive-date=April 30, 2025|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20250430205138/https://time.com/7276006/timeline-tensions-between-iran-us-nuclear-negotiations-loom/|url-status=dead

Cite news |last1=Quinn |first1=Melissa |last2=Watson |first2=Kathryn |date=June 13, 2025 |title=Trump urges Iran to "make a deal, before there is nothing left" after Israeli strikes on nuclear sites |url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-urges-iran-make-a-deal-after-israeli-strikes-nuclear-sites/ |access-date=June 18, 2025 |work=CBS News

cite web | last=Treene | first=Alayna | title=Trump gives Iran two-month deadline to reach new nuclear deal | publisher=CNN | date=March 19, 2025 | url=https://edition.cnn.com/2025/03/19/politics/trump-gives-iran-deadline-nuclear-deal | access-date=June 16, 2025

Cite news |date=June 16, 2025 |title=Iran rejects ceasefire negotiations while under Israeli attack, official says |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-rejects-ceasefire-negotiations-while-under-israeli-attack-official-says-2025-06-15/ |access-date=June 19, 2025 |work=Reuters

2026 Lebanon war lead

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Cite news|title=Iran, US, Lebanon to form committee to end war in Lebanon, says Ghalibaf |url=https://www.khaleejtimes.com/world/mena/us-israel-iran-lebanon-war-peace-deal-day-13-live-updates#blogCard369e8524-8fb9-437b-9977-72f50a506f00|date=30 June 2026|work=Khaleej Times

cite web|url=https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/6/26/israel-lebanon-sign-framework-deal-after-us-mediated-talks|title=Israel, Lebanon sign framework deal after US-mediated talks|website=Al Jazeera|date=26 June 2026

cite web|url=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/26/what-is-the-framework-agreement-signed-by-israel-and-lebanon|title=What is the framework agreement signed by Israel and Lebanon?|website=Al Jazeera|date=26 June 2026

cite web|url=https://aje.news/cllifw?update=4678945|title=Southern Lebanon hit by at least 12 Israeli strikes since ceasefire|website=Al Jazeera English|date=19 June 2026

cite web|url=https://aje.news/o3j66i?update=4682113|title=‘Devastating day’: Ceasefire in Lebanon is one in name only|website=Al Jazeera|date=20 June 2026

cite web|url=https://www.ndtvprofit.com/world/trump-envoy-heads-to-switzerland-for-potential-us-iran-talks-after-lebanon-ceasefire-what-to-expect-11662093|title=Trump Envoy Heads To Switzerland For Potential US-Iran Talks After Lebanon Ceasefire: What To Expect?|website=NDTV Profit|date=20 June 2026

cite web|url=https://www.wionews.com/world/israel-and-hezbollah-agree-to-ceasefire-starting-friday-after-latest-flare-up-says-report-citing-us-official-1781877376072|title=Israel and Hezbollah agree to ceasefire starting Friday after latest flare-up, says report citing US official|website=Wion|date=19 June 2026

Cite web|url=https://www.bbc.com/news/live/cj0grpyg4v1t|title=Iran and US agree deal to end war as Israel says its forces will stay in Lebanon|website=BBC News|date=15 June 2026|access-date=15 June 2026

Cite web|url=https://m.economictimes.com/news/international/world-news/breakthrough-peace-deal-iran-and-us-reach-agreement-ahead-of-historic-signing-in-switzerland-on-june-19/articleshow/131733059.cms|title=Peace deal between Iran, US reached; to be signed officially on Jun 19 in Switzerland: Pakistan's PM Shehbaz Sharif|agency=Press Trust of India|website=The Economic Times|date=15 June 2026|access-date=15 June 2026

Cite|web|url=https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/trump-says-new-israel-iran-strikes-wont-affect-peace-deal-2026-06-08/|title=Israel hits Iran with new strikes despite Trump admonition|date=8 June 2026|website=Reuters

cite|web|url=https://www.springfieldnewssun.com/nation-world/israel-and-iran-trade-strikes-threatening-to-drag-the-region-back-into-full-scale-war/article_88e67032-7cf2-5ce8-803a-218d9bcb78a4.html|title=Israel and Iran trade strikes, threatening to drag the region back into full-scale war|agency=Associated Press|website=Springfield News-Sun|date=8 June 2026

Cite|web|date=7 June 2026 |title=Iran's top negotiator threatens US targets over Lebanon escalation|url=https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/irans-top-negotiator-threatens-us-targets-over-lebanon-escalation-2026-06-07/|website=Reuters

Cite web|date=7 June 2026 |title=Iran Fires Missiles at Israel for First Time Since April Cease-Fire|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2026/06/07/world/middleeast/iran-israel-missiles.html|website=The New York Times

cite web|url=https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israeli-military-says-it-intercepted-two-projectiles-that-crossed-lebanon-2026-06-07/|title=Israeli military says it hit Hezbollah in Beirut suburbs|website=Reuters|date=7 June 2026

Cite web|url=https://english.aawsat.com/node/5280728|title=Berri Backs Hezbollah Withdrawal South of Litani if Israel Pulls Back|website=english.aawsat.com

Cite web|url=https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/lebanese-parliament-speaker-calls-for-unconditional-ceasefire-parallel-withdrawals/3957615|title=Lebanese parliament speaker calls for unconditional ceasefire, parallel withdrawals|date=5 June 2026|website=Anadolu

Cite web|url=https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jun/04/israel-lebanon-renew-ceasefire-hezbollah-trump-iran-deal-middle-east-us|title=Hezbollah rejects Israel-Lebanon truce as Trump scrambles to end Iran war|first=William|last=Christou|date=4 June 2026|website=The Guardian

cite web|url=https://www.firstpost.com/world/israel-lebanon-agree-to-renew-ceasefire-with-us-mediation-plan-to-create-pilot-zones-hezbollah-withdrawal-south-of-litani-14018593.html|title=Israel, Lebanon agree to renew ceasefire with US's mediation, plan to create 'pilot zones|website=Firstpost|date=4 June 2026

Cite web |date=15 May 2026 |title=Israel, Lebanon extend ceasefire by 45 days as Washington talks conclude |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-lebanon-agree-extend-ceasefire-by-45-days-us-state-dept-says-2026-05-15/|access-date=16 May 2026 |website=Reuters

Cite web|date=1 June 2026 |title=Lebanon's U.S. Embassy says Hezbollah accepted U.S. proposal on 'mutual cessation of attacks'|url=https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/lebanons-us-embassy-says-hezbollah-accepted-us-proposal-on-mutual-cessation-of-attacks/article71050096.ece|agency=Agence France Presse |website=The Hindu

Cite news |last=Christou |first=William |date=2 March 2026 |title=Israel strikes Lebanon after Iran ally Hezbollah fires missiles over border |url=https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/mar/02/israel-idf-strikes-hezbollah-beirut-lebanon-iran-war |access-date=16 March 2026 |work=The Guardian |language=en-GB |issn=0261-3077

Cite web |date=16 April 2026 |title=Trump says Israel and Lebanon agree to temporary ceasefire|url=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/16/trump-says-israel-and-lebanon-agree-to-temporary-ceasefire |access-date=16 April 2026 |website=Al Jazeera English

Cite web|date=27 April 2026 |title=Hezbollah and Israel swap threats and strikes across Lebanon’s border|url=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/27/hezbollah-and-israel-swap-threats-and-strikes-across-lebanons-border |access-date=30 May 2026 |website=Al Jazeera English

Cite web |title=Netanyahu says US-Iran ceasefire 'does not include Lebanon' |url=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/8/netanyahu-says-us-iran-ceasefire-does-not-include-lebanon |access-date=8 April 2026 |website=Al Jazeera |language=en

Cite web |title=Netanyahu says US-Iran ceasefire 'does not include Lebanon' |url=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/8/netanyahu-says-us-iran-ceasefire-does-not-include-lebanon |access-date=8 April 2026 |website=Al Jazeera |language=en

Cite news |date=8 April 2026 |title=Hezbollah pauses attacks under US-Iran ceasefire, sources close to group say|url=https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/hezbollah-pauses-attacks-under-us-iran-ceasefire-sources-close-group-say-2026-04-08/ |access-date=8 April 2026 |work=Reuters |language=en

Cite web |last=Sukarieh |first=Mayssoun |date=14 March 2026 |title=Lebanon's existential war with Israel is being fought from within |url=https://mondoweiss.net/2026/03/lebanons-existential-war-against-israel-is-being-fought-from-within/ |access-date=16 March 2026 |website=Mondoweiss |language=en-USCite news |date=2 March 2026 |title=Lebanon bans Hezbollah military actions after attack on Israel |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israeli-military-says-projectiles-were-fired-lebanon-2026-03-01/|work=Reuters

Cite news |last=Nakhoul |first=Samia |last2=Bassam |first2=Laila |last3=Gebeily |first3=Maya |date=25 March 2026 |title=Iran wants Lebanon included in any ceasefire, sources say |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/iran-wants-lebanon-included-any-ceasefire-sources-say-2026-03-25/ |access-date=26 March 2026 |work=Reuters

cite news |title=Lebanon condemns Israel's 'clear intention' to impose new occupation of its territory |url=https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20260331-lebanon-condemns-israel-s-clear-intention-to-impose-new-occupation-of-its-territory |work=France 24 |date=31 March 2026

https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20260331-lebanon-condemns-israel-s-clear-intention-to-impose-new-occupation-of-its-territory

https://www.rte.ie/news/primetime/2026/0410/1567622-town-near-irish-base-is-main-battlefield-in-south-lebanon-idf/

https://english.alarabiya.net/News/middle-east/2026/06/20/iran-says-hormuz-strait-closed-over-israel-attacks-on-lebanon

https://www.internazionale.it/ultime-notizie-reuters/2026/06/20/us-forces-monitoring-strait-of-hormuz-to-ensure-it-stays-open|title=US

Cite web |last=Homes |first=Hilary |date=6 March 2026 |title=Lebanon: Israeli military's overly broad mass evacuation orders sowing panic and fuelling humanitarian suffering |url=https://amnesty.ca/human-rights-news/lebanon-israel-mass-evacuation-orders-sowing-panic-fuelling-suffering/ |access-date=19 March 2026 |website=Amnesty International Canada |language=en-US

Cite news |last=Christou |first=William |last2=Tondo |first2=Lorenzo |date=18 March 2026 |title=Israel faces stiff Hezbollah resistance as it attempts to push deeper into Lebanon |url=https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/mar/18/fighting-intensifies-israel-hezbollah-southern-lebanon |access-date=19 March 2026 |work=The Guardian |language=en-GB |issn=0261-3077

cite news |title=At least 331 killed, 945 injured by Israeli fire since ceasefire: Lebanon |url=https://www.trtworld.com/article/4d1e35fc0ad5 |access-date=21 April 2026 |publisher=TRT World |date=21 Nov 2025 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20260421222325/https://www.trtworld.com/article/4d1e35fc0ad5 |archive-date=21 April 2026 |url-status=live

cite news |title=At least 127 civilians killed in Israeli strikes on Lebanon since ceasefire, UN says |url=https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/nov/25/civilians-killed-israel-strikes-lebanon-ceasefire |access-date=21 April 2026 |publisher=The Guardian |date=25 Nov 2025 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20260421220540/https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/nov/25/civilians-killed-israel-strikes-lebanon-ceasefire |archive-date=21 April 2026 |url-status=live

and entailed the deployment of matériel and tactics that potentially constitute war crimes or crimes against humanity.

Cite web |last=Atayi |first=Cecile Akoeley Attiogbe |date=2026-03-18 |title=UN warns Israel strikes in Lebanon may constitute war crimes as civilian toll rises |url=https://www.jurist.org/news/2026/03/un-warns-israel-strikes-in-lebanon-may-constitute-war-crimes-as-civilian-toll-rises/ |access-date=2026-05-05 |website=jurist.org |language=en-US

Cite web |date=2026-03-23 |title=Israeli Officials Signal Stepped-Up Atrocities in Lebanon |website=Human Rights Watch |url=https://www.hrw.org/news/2026/03/23/israeli-officials-signal-stepped-up-atrocities-in-lebanon |access-date=2026-05-05 |language=en

Cite web |date=2025-08-25 |title=Lebanon: Israeli military’s deliberate destruction of civilian property and land ‘must be investigated as war crimes’ |url=https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2025/08/lebanon-israeli-militarys-deliberate-destruction-of-civilian-property-and-land-must-be-investigated-as-war-crimes/ |access-date=2026-05-05 |website=Amnesty International |language=en

name="Los Angeles Times-20260314" Cite web |last=Chehayeb |first=Kareem |last2=Harb |first2=Malak |date=14 March 2026 |title=War has already displaced nearly a million Lebanese. Aid groups warn of a humanitarian crisis |url=https://www.latimes.com/world-nation/story/2026-03-14/humanitarian-crisis-feared-as-war-displaces-nearly-million-lebanese |access-date=15 March 2026 |website=Los Angeles Times |language=en-US

Cite web |last1=Bassam |first1=Laila |last2=Gebeily |first2=Maya |last3=Lubell |first3=Maayan |date=6 March 2026 |title=Hezbollah saw new war with Israel as inevitable and rearmed for months, sources say |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/hezbollah-saw-new-war-with-israel-inevitable-rearmed-months-sources-say-2026-03-06/ |access-date=7 March 2026 |website=Reuters

ref name="toi08apr" Cite news |last=Fabian |first=Emanuel |others=Agencies |last2=Magid |first2=Jacob |date=8 April 2026 |title=IDF launches largest airstrikes yet on Hezbollah; Trump: Iran truce doesn't cover Lebanon |url=https://www.timesofisrael.com/idf-launches-largest-airstrikes-yet-against-hezbollah-after-truce-with-iran/ |access-date=9 April 2026 |work=The Times of Israel |language=en-US |issn=0040-7909

Cite web |date=6 March 2026 |title=War Intensifies in Lebanon |url=https://www.cfr.org/articles/war-intensifies-in-lebanon |access-date=7 March 2026 |website=Council on Foreign Relations |language=en

Iran war lead

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https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/trump-briefed-on-all-out-war-options-in-iran-but-opts-to-stick-with-talks-98304b5b

Cite magazine |last=Schneid |first=Rebecca |date=28 February 2026 |title=How the World Is Reacting to the Attack on Iran |url=https://time.com/7381811/iran-war-world-leaders-reaction-russia-china-europe/ |access-date=1 March 2026 |magazine=Time |language=en |archive-date=12 April 2026 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20260412130753/https://time.com/7381811/iran-war-world-leaders-reaction-russia-china-europe/ |url-status=live

cite news |last1=Chávez |first1=Steff |last2=Politi |first2=James |last3=Hauslohner |first3=Abigail |date=1 March 2026 |title=Donald Trump tries to defy troubled history of US interventions in Middle East |url=https://www.ft.com/content/da633899-964a-42d7-a7a9-07c034fac388 |access-date=5 March 2026 |work=Financial Times |quote=But the US president has been increasingly willing to take big gambles in foreign affairs, defying traditional diplomacy and the sovereignty of America's foes.

cite news |last=Siddique |first=Haroon |date=2 March 2026 |title=What is the legality of the US and Israeli attacks on Iran? |url=https://www.theguardian.com/law/2026/mar/02/legality-us-israel-attacks-iran-uk |access-date=10 March 2026 |work=The Guardian |language=en-GB |issn=0261-3077

cite news |last1=Elliott |first1=Rebecca F. |last2=Eavis |first2=Peter |title=Oil Shipments in Persian Gulf Already Disrupted by Iran Attack |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2026/02/28/business/energy-environment/oil-gas-iran-attack.html |work=The New York Times |date=28 February 2026

cite web |last=Nevitt |first=Mark |date=15 March 2026 |title=Legal and Operational Issues in the Strait of Hormuz: Transit Passage Under Fire |url=https://www.justsecurity.org/133996/legal-operational-strait-hormuz-transit-passage/ |access-date=18 March 2026 |website=Just Security |language=en-US}}</ref>[1]

cite news |last=Lindner |first=Emmett |date=13 March 2026 |title=Echoes of the '70s in What's Now the Largest Oil Shock Ever |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/13/world/middleeast/oil-supply-shock-1973-embargo.html |access-date=23 March 2026 |work=The New York Times |language=en-US |issn=0362-4331}}</ref>[2]

cite news |date=2 March 2026 |title=Iran Has No Structured Program to Build Nuclear Weapons, IAEA Says |url=https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/iran-israel-us-strikes-2026/card/iaea-chief-says-iran-has-no-structured-program-to-build-nuclear-weapons-currently-1IYdJPyg8uIZqlGS8Gni

cite news |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/pentagon-tells-congress-no-sign-that-iran-was-going-attack-us-first-sources-say-2026-03-02/ |title=Pentagon tells Congress no sign that Iran was going to attack US first, sources say |first1=Phil |last1=Stewart |first2=Humeyra |last2=Pamuk |date=1 March 2026 |work=Reuters |access-date=11 March 2026

cite web |last1=Brown |first1=Paul |last2=Sardarizadeh |first2=Shayan |last3=Murphy |first3=Matt |title=Iranian schools, hospital and landmarks among civilian sites hit during US-Israeli strikes |url=https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cpw004xqxnjo |access-date=6 March 2026 |website=BBC Verify |date=6 March 2026

cite news |date=28 February 2026 |title=Smoke seen in Bahrain, Qatar and Kuwait as Iran retaliates against strikes |type=Video |url=https://apnews.com/video/smoke-seen-over-manama-doha-and-kuwait-city-39297a607e944aa2988a92d34efd6c5a |access-date=15 March 2026 |work=Associated Press

cite news |last1=Piper |first1=Imogen |last2=Kelly |first2=Meg |last3=Ley |first3=Jarrett |last4=Ducroquet |first4=Simon |date=28 February 2026 |title=See where U.S., Israeli strikes have hit Iran and where Iran has retaliated |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/investigations/2026/02/28/where-us-attack-iran-images-video/ |access-date=1 March 2026 |newspaper=The Washington Post |language=en-US |issn=0190-8286 |url-access=subscription}}

cite news |last=Magid |first=Jacob |date=28 February 2026 |title=Trump indicates goal of Iran strikes is to topple regime; tells Iranian people: 'When we're finished, take over your government' |url=https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/trump-indicates-goal-of-iran-strikes-is-to-topple-regime-tells-iranian-people-when-we-are-finished-take-over-your-government/ |access-date=28 February 2026 |work=The Times of Israel |language=en-US |issn=0040-7909

Rationale

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The Trump administration gave many reasons, including forestalling Iranian retaliation after an expected Israeli attack,[3] destroying Iran's missile capabilities, preventing Iran from building a nuclear weapon,[4] seizing Iran's oil and gas resources,[5][6][7] or

Citations to check back

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Prelude

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Cite |web |date=28 February 2026 |title=Iranian officials, Ali Khamenei killed in Israeli strikes |url=https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/article-888248 |access-date=3 March 2026 |website=The Jerusalem Post |language=en

cite|web|date=25 February 2026|title=CAIR Calls Dishonest SOTU Attempts to Justify Iran War 'Iraqi WMDs and African Yellow Cake All Over Again'|work=Council on American–Islamic Relations|url=https://www.cair.com/press_releases/cair-calls-dishonest-sotu-attempts-to-justify-iran-war-iraqi-wmds-and-african-yellow-cake-all-over-again/|access-date=18 May 2026

cite|web|last=Kluth|first=Andreas|date=3 March 2026|title=The Iran strikes feel like 2003 all over again|work=Qatar Tribune|url=https://www.qatar-tribune.com/article/222286/opinion/the-iran-strikes-feel-like-2003-all-over-again|access-date=3 March 2026

cite|web|date=26 February 2026|title=Iran remains a 'very grave threat' to the United States, Rubio says|work=Garowe Online|url=https://www.garoweonline.com/en/news/world/iran-remains-a-very-grave-threat-to-the-united-states-rubio-says|access-date=17 April 2026

cite|web|last=Fields|first=Ashleigh|date=23 February 2026|title=Witkoff says Iran 'a week away' from nuclear bombmaking material|work=The Hill|url=https://thehill.com/policy/international/5751330-witkoff-iran-nuclear-threat/|access-date=17 April 2026

Cite|web|date=30 January 2026|title=Sanctions, drones, and diplomacy: Can a US-Iran war be averted?|url=https://www.theweek.in/news/middle-east/2026/01/30/sanctions-drones-and-diplomacy-can-a-us-iran-war-be-averted.html|website=The Week|access-date=30 January 2026|language=en

Cite|web|date=27 January 2026|title=Iran's president warns of regional instability amid US threats|url=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/27/iran-president-tells-saudi-crown-prince-that-us-threats-cause-instability|publisher=Al Jazeera|access-date=30 January 2026|language=en

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/mar/17/uk-security-adviser-attended-us-iran-talks-and-judged-deal-was-within-reach "UK Security Adviser ‘Attended’ US-Iran Talks And Judged Deal Was within Reach"

Perryer, Sophie. "US assets in Middle East come into play as country launches combat ops against Iran", British Forces Broadcasting Service, February 28, 2026. Accessed May 12, 2026. "The US military buildup, believed to be its largest in the region since the 2003 invasion of Iraq, constitutes two carrier strike groups and a variety of fighter aircraft including F-35s, F-15E Strike Eagles and F-16s."

Protests

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Victory claims

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Trump claimed victory several times,[8][9] incorrectly stating that Iran had "nothing left in a military sense,"[10] and that the US had brought about regime change, despite the fact that the Islamic Republic remains in power.[11]

Codenames

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https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-iran-attack-02-28-26-hnk-intl |

https://www.iranintl.com/en/202602288170

https://www.iranintl.com/en/202602280838

Cite news |last=Sanger |first=David E. |author-link=David E. Sanger |date=February 28, 2026 |title=For Trump, the Iran Attack Is the Ultimate War of Choice |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2026/02/28/us/politics/trump-iran-attack.html |url-access=subscription |access-date=March 3, 2026|archive-url=https://ghostarchive.org/archive/uHhch|url-status=live|archive-date=February 28, 2026

Background

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Victory lap

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Iran Won the Negotiation, Even Though It Lost the War - https://www.csis.org/analysis/iran-won-negotiation-even-though-it-lost-war

Iran Won the War but May Lose the Peace - https://www.foreignaffairs.com/iran/iran-won-war-may-lose-peace

related poll - https://www.ipsos.com/en/global-opinion-polls/the-iran-conflict

Israelis believe Iran won - https://jewishinsider.com/2026/06/israelis-overwhelmingly-believe-iran-won-the-war-survey-finds/

historical precedents for the asymmetry of objectives - https://engelsbergideas.com/notebook/has-iran-won-the-war-by-not-losing/

The Iran people may not be happy with the deal - https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jun/20/what-lessons-will-irans-new-leadership-draw-from-the-110-day-war

Survival as a win - https://gulfif.org/the-islamic-republic-doesnt-need-to-win-just-survive/

Iran already won in April according to Fawaz Gerges - https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2026/apr/23/donald-trump-iran-war-tehran-strait-hormuz

"critics of the agreement" - https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c932yqz8lggo

Narges Bajoghli and Vali Nasr - https://www.vox.com/podcasts/492390/us-iran-war-peace-deal-how-iran-won

The priorities of the new Islamic Republic, and how it pursues them, will be shaped by the specific experiences of its two wars with Israel and the United States: the losses Iran sustained, the confidence its leadership gained, and the new social contract the fighting has made necessary and possible - https://foreignaffairs.com/iran/irans-new-grand-strategy#

Iran did not win the war, it won something more dangerous - https://www.jpost.com/defense-and-tech/article-897084

Because we need more op-ed writers - https://www.nytimes.com/2026/06/15/opinion/iran-deal-experts.html

Richard Haass said US and Iran people lost - https://www.npr.org/2026/06/19/nx-s1-5861743/who-won-and-who-lost-assessing-the-fallout-of-the-iran-war

Interesting Ghalibaf profile - https://responsiblestatecraft.org/mohammad-bagher-ghalibaf/

Simon Jenkins' editorial - https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2026/jun/18/donald-trump-ceasefire-deal-victory-iran-sanctions-tehran-us

Table

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Comparison: Trump's Iran MOU vs. 2015 Iran JCPOA nuclear deal vs. SCO vs. BRICS

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Summary comparison table Source[12]
2026 MOU 2015 JCPOA
Military
  • The U.S., Iran, and their allies in the war will permanently end military operations, including in Lebanon.
  • The U.S. will end its naval blockade of Iran, withdraw forces from near Iran after the final deal, and will not deploy additional forces in the region.
No military provisions.
Strait of Hormuz
  • Iran will reopen the strait with no tolls for 60 days.
Not addressed. The strait remained open under international maritime law; there was no formal provision
Nuclear
  • Iran will not procure or develop nuclear weapons and will “maintain the status quo” of its nuclear program.
Iran cut enrichment capacity by two-thirds for 10 years and shipped out 96% of its enriched uranium stockpile. Enrichment capped at 3.67% purity. IAEA given broad inspection access. Breakout time extended from ~2–3 months to ~1 year.[13]
Sanctions and funds
  • The U.S. and partners will develop a plan with at least $300B for Iran’s reconstruction and development.
  • The U.S. will lift all sanctions on Iran.
  • The U.S. will release frozen Iranian assets.
  • Only nuclear-related sanctions lifted
  • The U.S. would Iran access estimated $30–50B in liquid frozen assets.

Former US president Barack Obama claimed that the new Iran agreement was unlikely to improve on the JCPOA.[14] President Trump claimed the Iran deal perhaps is unconditional surrender of Iran.[15] The new 2026 MOU deal is a 14-point framework that extends the ceasefire in the U.S.-Iran war and sets the stage for talks on a permanent nuclear agreement. Iran commits not to acquire a nuclear weapon (just as it did in the JCPOA), but no enforcement mechanism is yet decided. The MOU calls for an end to military strikes, the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping toll-free for 60 days, the lifting of the U.S. naval blockade of Iranian ports, and a 60-day extension of the ceasefire.[16][17] The framework deal also does not include the Iranian ballistic missile program or its network of non-state allies in the Middle East.[18] Responding to widespread criticism from Israel, US vice president JD Vance called for Israeli support and stated "Trump is your only ally left in world".[19] President Trump said those who oppose Iran deal are either bad people, fools or jealous.[20][21][22] One 18 June, Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei released a written statement, declaring that he endorsed the memorandum of understanding despite reservations.[23] On 19 June, President Trump announced a renewed ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah.[24] On 20 June, Trump announced that there will be no tolls for passage through the Strait of Hormuz during or after the 60-day ceasefire with Iran. However, if peace talks do not succeed, the U.S. may implement a toll for "services rendered as the Guardian Angel to the countries of the Middle East" for reimbursement of costs incurred in the past, present, and future.[25] On 21 June, Trump issued a threat to invade Iran if they closed the Strait of Hormuz, following Iran's claim of its closure due to Israeli strikes in Lebanon. He warned that they "won't even make it back to their f***ing country," suggesting a potential threat against Iranian negotiators in Switzerland.[26]


References

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  1. Script error: No such module "cite web".
  2. Thiébaud, Eva (May 2026). "Global energy shock tests limits of oil reserves". Le Monde diplomatique. Archived from the original on 13 May 2026. Retrieved 11 May 2026.
  3. Stein, Chris (3 March 2026). "US strikes on Iran triggered by Israel's plan to launch attack, Rubio says". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 10 March 2026.
  4. "Read Trump's full statement on Iran attacks". PBS News. Associated Press. 28 February 2026.
  5. Cite error: The named reference theweek11june was invoked but never defined (see the help page).
  6. "Donald Trump says US could 'take the oil in Iran'". Financial Times. 30 March 2026. Retrieved 30 March 2026.
  7. "GOP Sen. Lindsey Graham Brags 'We Are Going to Make a Ton of Money' on Iran War". People. 9 March 2026. Retrieved 10 March 2026. "Venezuela and Iran have 31% of the world's oil reserves. We're going to have a partnership with 31% of the known reserves. This is China's nightmare. This is a good investment," he said.
  8. Sherman, Amy (9 April 2026). "Fact-checking Trump and Hegseth's claims of U.S. 'victory' in the Iran war". PBS News. PolitiFact. Retrieved 17 April 2026.
  9. "Trump declares victory after pilot rescue, but threats to US aircraft and personnel remain in Iran". BBC News. 6 April 2026. Retrieved 17 April 2026.
  10. "Trump says "the war is very complete," and he's considering taking over Strait of Hormuz". CBS News. 9 March 2026. Archived from the original on 8 April 2026. Retrieved 27 March 2026.
  11. "Trump: Iran deal will immediately reopen Hormuz; if Oman doesn't behave, we'll blow it up". The Times of Israel. 27 May 2026.
  12. "The Iran Deal Reopens the Strait. Much Remains to Be Done. | Council on Foreign Relations". www.cfr.org. 2026-06-18. Retrieved 2026-06-20.
  13. "Iran nuclear deal: Enriched uranium limit breached, IAEA confirms". www.bbc.com. 2019-07-02. Retrieved 2026-06-20.
  14. Najib, Shafiq (June 15, 2026). "Obama says 'doubtful' that any Iran deal will be different than past". ABC News. Retrieved June 25, 2026.
  15. "President Trump claims preliminary Iran deal 'probably is unconditional surrender'". June 19, 2026.
  16. Iran War Live Updates: U.S. and Iran Sign Preliminary Deal, but Its Terms Remain Secret, New York Times (June 15, 2026).
  17. Werschkul, Ben (17 June 2026). "Iran deal keeps Strait of Hormuz toll-free only for 60 days. Trump: 'You can't cover everything in a document.'". Yahoo! Finance. Retrieved 20 June 2026.
  18. David M. Halbfinger and Ronen Bergman, Israel Counts the Ways That Netanyahu's Iran Strategy Failed, New York Times (June 15, 2025).
  19. "JD Vance tells Iran deal critics in Israel: Trump is your only ally left in the world". June 18, 2026 via The Guardian.
  20. "Trump says 'fools' who criticize Iran stance 'are either jealous, bad people, or stupid'". June 18, 2026 via www.timesofisrael.com.
  21. Altmann-Devilbiss, Alexx (June 18, 2026). "Trump blasts Iran deal critics as 'jealous, bad people, or stupid'". KOMO.
  22. "Iran's ayatollah says approved US deal despite 'different view'". euronews. June 18, 2026.
  23. "Trump Envoy Heads To Switzerland For Potential US-Iran Talks After Lebanon Ceasefire: What To Expect?". NDTV Profit. 20 June 2026.
  24. "Trump says no toll on Strait of Hormuz unless US imposes one". Reuters. 20 June 2026.
  25. "Trump threatens to invade Iran, torpedoing Swiss peace talks". Asia Times. 21 June 2026. Retrieved 22 June 2026.