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2016 United States Senate election in South Dakota

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The 2016 United States Senate election in South Dakota was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of South Dakota, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held June 7.

2016 United States Senate election in South Dakota
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November 8, 2016
2022 →
 
Nominee John Thune Jay Williams
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 265,516 104,140
Percentage 71.83% 28.17%
Thune:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Williams:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
U.S. senator before election

John Thune
Republican

 Elected U.S. Senator

John Thune
Republican

Incumbent Republican Senator John Thune was considered a potential 2016 presidential candidate, but decided instead to run for a third term in office.[1]

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Declared

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Declined

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Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Declared

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  • Jay Williams, Chair of the Yankton County Democratic Party, former Yankton School Board member and candidate for the State House in 2010 and 2014[3][4]

Declined

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Constitution Party

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The Constitution Party nominated Kurt Evans for Senate depending on the resolution of a ballot-access legal action, however, the party's request to place a candidate on the ballot was not granted.[18][19][20]

General election

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Debates

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Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 John
Thune (R)		 Jay
Williams (D)		 Undecided
SurveyMonkey[21] November 1–7, 2016 459 ± 4.6% 65% 31% 4%
SurveyMonkey[22] October 31–November 6, 2016 435 ± 4.6% 64% 31% 5%
SurveyMonkey[23] October 28–November 3, 2016 393 ± 4.6% 66% 29% 5%
SurveyMonkey[24] October 27–November 2, 2016 345 ± 4.6% 67% 30% 3%
SurveyMonkey[25] October 26–November 1, 2016 281 ± 4.6% 65% 32% 3%
SurveyMonkey[26] October 25–31, 2016 298 ± 4.6% 67% 31% 2%
Nielson Brothers Polling[27] October 24–26, 2016 600 ± 4.0% 54% 35% 11%
Remington Research Group[28] October 19–21, 2016 1,115 ± 3.0% 57% 36% 7%
Mason-Dixon[29] October 18–20, 2016 400 ± 5.0% 65% 27% 8%

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[30] Safe R November 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Safe R November 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[32] Safe R November 3, 2016
Daily Kos[33] Safe R November 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics[34] Safe R November 7, 2016

Results

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County Flips:
2016 United States Senate election in South Dakota[35]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Thune (incumbent) 265,516 71.83%
Democratic Jay Williams 104,140 28.17%
Total votes 369,656 100.00%
Republican hold

By county

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County[35] John Thune
Republican		 Jay Williams
Democratic		 Margin Total
# % # % # %
Aurora 1,073 75.78% 343 24.22% 730 51.55% 1,416
Beadle 5,049 73.62% 1,809 26.38% 3,240 47.24% 6,858
Bennett 758 66.49% 382 33.51% 376 32.98% 1,140
Bon Homme 2,253 74.53% 770 25.47% 1,483 49.06% 3,023
Brookings 8,817 69.08% 3,947 30.92% 4,870 38.15% 12,764
Brown 11,371 70.35% 4,793 29.65% 6,578 40.70% 16,164
Brule 1,746 75.91% 554 24.09% 1,192 51.83% 2,300
Buffalo 232 47.44% 257 52.56% -25 -5.11% 489
Butte 3,546 82.39% 758 17.61% 2,788 64.78% 4,304
Campbell 740 89.48% 87 10.52% 653 78.96% 827
Charles Mix 2,484 72.53% 941 27.47% 1,543 45.05% 3,425
Clark 1,269 75.67% 408 24.33% 861 51.34% 1,677
Clay 2,923 57.49% 2,161 42.51% 762 14.99% 5,084
Codington 8,740 74.43% 3,003 25.57% 5,737 48.85% 11,743
Corson 680 58.93% 474 41.07% 206 17.85% 1,154
Custer 3,530 74.99% 1,177 25.01% 2,353 49.99% 4,707
Davison 6,017 75.15% 1,990 24.85% 4,027 50.29% 8,007
Day 1,815 65.36% 962 34.64% 853 30.72% 2,777
Deuel 1,563 74.54% 534 25.46% 1,029 49.07% 2,097
Dewey 862 50.86% 833 49.14% 29 1.71% 1,695
Douglas 1,377 85.79% 228 14.21% 1,149 71.59% 1,605
Edmunds 1,517 79.30% 396 20.70% 1,121 58.60% 1,913
Fall River 2,671 75.47% 868 24.53% 1,803 50.95% 3,539
Faulk 925 81.79% 206 18.21% 719 63.57% 1,131
Grant 2,705 75.24% 890 24.76% 1,815 50.49% 3,595
Gregory 1,671 79.69% 426 20.31% 1,245 59.37% 2,097
Haakon 956 91.92% 84 8.08% 872 83.85% 1,040
Hamlin 2,253 80.78% 536 19.22% 1,717 61.56% 2,789
Hand 1,517 81.91% 335 18.09% 1,182 63.82% 1,852
Hanson 1,512 77.02% 451 22.98% 1,061 54.05% 1,963
Harding 684 90.24% 74 9.76% 610 80.47% 758
Hughes 6,339 77.02% 1,891 22.98% 4,448 54.05% 8,230
Hutchinson 2,779 82.02% 609 17.98% 2,170 64.05% 3,388
Hyde 567 82.05% 124 17.95% 443 64.11% 691
Jackson 771 71.39% 309 28.61% 462 42.78% 1,080
Jerauld 720 73.39% 261 26.61% 459 46.79% 981
Jones 494 88.06% 67 11.94% 427 76.11% 561
Kingsbury 1,899 73.80% 674 26.20% 1,225 47.61% 2,573
Lake 4,677 69.72% 2,031 30.28% 2,646 39.45% 6,708
Lawrence 8,566 72.39% 3,267 27.61% 5,299 44.78% 11,833
Lincoln 19,264 76.12% 6,043 23.88% 13,221 52.24% 25,307
Lyman 1,051 73.55% 378 26.45% 673 47.10% 1,429
Marshall 1,341 68.07% 629 31.93% 712 36.14% 1,970
McCook 2,021 77.14% 599 22.86% 1,422 54.27% 2,620
McPherson 1,009 85.95% 165 14.05% 844 71.89% 1,174
Meade 9,198 79.66% 2,348 20.34% 6,850 59.33% 11,546
Mellette 464 67.44% 224 32.56% 240 34.88% 688
Miner 807 73.97% 284 26.03% 523 47.94% 1,091
Minnehaha 52,494 67.43% 25,359 32.57% 27,135 34.85% 77,853
Moody 1,983 67.15% 970 32.85% 1,013 34.30% 2,953
Oglala Lakota 655 22.81% 2,217 77.19% -1,562 -54.39% 2,872
Pennington 33,967 72.00% 13,207 28.00% 20,760 44.01% 47,174
Perkins 1,374 85.61% 231 14.39% 1,143 71.21% 1,605
Potter 1,087 81.12% 253 18.88% 834 62.24% 1,340
Roberts 2,550 64.95% 1,376 35.05% 1,174 29.90% 3,926
Sanborn 889 78.46% 244 21.54% 645 56.93% 1,133
Spink 2,177 72.74% 816 27.26% 1,361 45.47% 2,993
Stanley 1,254 80.54% 303 19.46% 951 61.08% 1,557
Sully 718 84.07% 136 15.93% 582 68.15% 854
Todd 724 34.48% 1,376 65.52% -652 -31.05% 2,100
Tripp 2,134 81.26% 492 18.74% 1,642 62.53% 2,626
Turner 3,289 79.06% 871 20.94% 2,418 58.13% 4,160
Union 6,060 77.17% 1,793 22.83% 4,267 54.34% 7,853
Walworth 1,975 80.38% 482 19.62% 1,493 60.77% 2,457
Yankton 6,542 67.93% 3,089 32.07% 3,453 35.85% 9,631
Ziebach 421 54.96% 345 45.04% 76 9.92% 766
Totals265,51671.83%104,14028.17%161,37643.66%369,656

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

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References

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  1. ↑ Everett, Burgess (January 14, 2015). "Thune: No 'opening' for a White House run". Politico. Retrieved January 14, 2015.
  2. 1 2 Russo, Mark (October 26, 2015). "Thune primary challenge? Not likely!". KELO-TV. Archived from the original on October 27, 2015. Retrieved February 15, 2016.
  3. ↑ Sneve, Joe (February 19, 2016). "Yankton Democrat expected to challenge Thune". Argus Leader. Retrieved February 19, 2016.
  4. ↑ Siebold, Jack (February 19, 2016). "Yankton businessman to challenge Thune". KOTA-TV. Archived from the original on February 20, 2016. Retrieved February 19, 2016.
  5. ↑ Mercer, Bob (March 21, 2015). "Are Democrats just a Daschle away from a revival?". Black Hills Pioneer. Retrieved August 27, 2015.
  6. ↑ Lawrence, Tom (January 26, 2016). "Daschle, Lott: Congress must work together". Black Hills Pioneer. Retrieved February 6, 2016.
  7. 1 2 3 Lawrence, Tom (July 1, 2015). "Will anyone take on Thune in 2016?". Prairie Perspective. Retrieved August 27, 2015.
  8. ↑ Heidelberger, Cory (February 8, 2016). "Defend Voters, Support Education, Fight Corruption: Heidelberger Declares for District 3 Senate". Dakota Free Press. Retrieved February 16, 2016.
  9. 1 2 Levinson, Alexis (February 18, 2015). "Brendan Johnson Discusses His Future in South Dakota (Updated)". Roll Call. Archived from the original on September 14, 2015. Retrieved August 27, 2015.
  10. 1 2 Tupper, Seth (December 14, 2015). "Thune frolicking through another opponent-less election season". Rapid City Journal. Retrieved December 27, 2015.
  11. 1 2 Woster, Kevin (August 24, 2015). "Hurst for U.S. Senate in 2016? Well …". KELO-TV. Archived from the original on August 8, 2016. Retrieved August 27, 2015.
  12. ↑ Levinson, Alexis (March 18, 2015). "Potential Thune Challenger Bows Out". Roll Call. Archived from the original on August 16, 2015. Retrieved August 27, 2015.
  13. ↑ Woster, Kevin (August 17, 2015). "Thune vs. Kloucek & Kolaches in 2016? Why not?". KELO-TV. Archived from the original on October 6, 2016. Retrieved August 27, 2015.
  14. ↑ "Dem Chances for a US Senate candidate looking even more dismal…". South Dakota War College. August 23, 2015. Retrieved August 27, 2015.
  15. ↑ Heidelberger, Cory (August 31, 2015). "Epp Suggests Drafting Schreck to Challenge Thune". Dakota Free Press. Retrieved October 1, 2015.
  16. ↑ Hendershot, Evan (February 15, 2016). "State Sen. Sutton hasn't counted out run for governor". Mitchell Daily Republic. Archived from the original on February 20, 2016. Retrieved February 19, 2016.
  17. ↑ "Rick Weiland returns with new nonpartisan political group". Rapid City Journal. March 18, 2015. Retrieved May 20, 2015.
  18. ↑ Winger, Richard (August 15, 2016). "U.S. District Court Won't Put Constitution Party Nominees for U.S. Senate and Legislature on South Dakota Ballot, Due to a Legal Technicality". Ballot Access News. Retrieved March 3, 2017.
  19. ↑ Heidelberger, Cory (August 18, 2016). "Constitution Party Still Fighting to Place Evans and Schmidt on Ballot". Dakota Free Press. Retrieved March 3, 2017.
  20. ↑ Heidelberger, Cory (September 8, 2016). "Constitution Party Definitely Not Getting Evans and Schmidt on Ballot". Dakota Free Press. Retrieved March 3, 2017.
  21. ↑ SurveyMonkey
  22. ↑ SurveyMonkey
  23. ↑ SurveyMonkey
  24. ↑ SurveyMonkey
  25. ↑ SurveyMonkey
  26. ↑ SurveyMonkey
  27. ↑ Nielson Brothers Polling Archived November 2, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  28. ↑ Remington Research Group
  29. ↑ Mason-Dixon Archived October 26, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  30. ↑ "2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 26, 2021.
  31. ↑ "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
  32. ↑ "2016 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
  33. ↑ "Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version". Daily Kos. Retrieved March 27, 2021.
  34. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 28, 2016.
  35. 1 2 Krebs, Shantel (November 15, 2016). "2016 General Election Official Results State Canvass" (PDF). Secretary of State of South Dakota. Archived (PDF) from the original on June 3, 2025. Retrieved April 5, 2026.
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