2004 West Virginia gubernatorial election

(Redirected from Monty Warner)

The 2004 West Virginia gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2004 for the post of Governor of West Virginia. Democratic Secretary of State of West Virginia Joe Manchin defeated Republican Monty Warner. Manchin won all but 3 counties. Despite Democratic presidential nominee John Kerry losing the state to George W. Bush by double digits in the concurrent presidential election, Manchin won by nearly 30 points.

2004 West Virginia gubernatorial election

 2000
November 2, 2004
2008 
 
Nominee Joe Manchin Monty Warner
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 472,758 253,131
Percentage 63.51% 34.00%

County results
Manchin:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Warner:      40–50%      50–60%

Governor before election

Bob Wise
Democratic

Elected Governor

Joe Manchin
Democratic

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Campaign

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Democratic governor Bob Wise became the first governor of West Virginia not to stand for re-election since the Constitution of West Virginia was amended in 1970 to permit two consecutive terms.[1] In August 2003 he announced that he would not stand again after admitting to an affair with a West Virginia Development Office employee Angela Mascia, who was also married.[2][3] The announcement took place three months after this became public knowledge and over 500 emails exchanged between the two were released to the public through a Freedom of Information Act request.[4] Angela Mascia's then husband, Phillip Frye, divorced Mascia and ran for governor. Frye told The Daily Show in August 2003 that he was running “to be a sheer nuisance to Bob Wise” and "I'm not qualified to run our great state, or have any hopes whatsoever of winning an election."[5]

West Virginia Secretary of State Joe Manchin challenged Wise for the Democratic nomination, and after Wise withdrew from the race he became the favorite for the primary.[6] Manchin lined up support from various sources including labor leaders in order to reverse his defeat in the gubernatorial primary in 1996. His main opponent in the primary was former State Senator Lloyd Jackson, who launched his campaign with a plan to reduce insurance costs.[7] In the run up to the primary the two candidates traded negative advertising, but Manchin won an easy victory in the primary on May 11.[8]

Results

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Democratic primary results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Joe Manchin 149,362 52.73
Democratic Lloyd G. Jackson II 77,052 27.20
Democratic Jim Lees 40,161 14.18
Democratic Lacy Wright, Jr. 4,963 1.75
Democratic Jerry Baker 3,009 1.06
Democratic James A. Baughman 2,999 1.06
Democratic Phillip Frye 2,892 1.02
Democratic Lou Davis 2,824 1.00
Total votes 283,262 100.00

Republican primary

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Candidates

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  • Carroll B. Bowden, Sr.
  • Rob Capehart, former West Virginia Secretary of Tax and Revenue
  • Larry Faircloth, State Delegate
  • Douglas McKinney, physician
  • Dan Moore, banker and car dealership owner
  • Joseph Oliverio, construction executive
  • James D. Radcliffe, Jr.
  • Charles D. Railey
  • Richard Robb, Mayor of South Charleston
  • Monty Warner, businessman

Campaign

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The Republican primary saw 10 candidates competing for the nomination. Six of them met in a debate in March 2004, in which they agreed on the need to reduce the size of the West Virginia state government.[10] It saw a close race between three main candidates: Monty Warner, a retired army colonel and developer; Rob Capehart, a former state tax secretary; and Dan Moore, a former banker and car dealer.[8] A poll conducted during the lead-up to the primary showed the three candidates virtually even.[11] Warner won a narrow victory in the primary over Moore and Capehart.[12]

Results

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Republican primary results[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Monty Warner 26,041 22.87
Republican Dan R. Moore 22,748 19.98
Republican Rob Capehart 19,694 17.29
Republican Richard Robb 11,824 10.38
Republican Douglas E. McKinney 10,476 9.20
Republican Larry V. Faircloth 9,123 8.01
Republican Joseph Oliverio 7,687 6.75
Republican James D. Radcliffe, Jr. 3,013 2.65
Republican Charles G. Railey 2,345 2.06
Republican Carroll B. Bowden, Sr. 925 0.81
Total votes 113,876 100

General election

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Campaign

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Early in the campaign, Warner called for Manchin, as a centrist Democrat, to endorse President George W. Bush for re-election over his Democratic rival John Kerry.[14] Manchin's campaign spokesperson responded that Manchin backed "the Democratic nominee".[14]

The two main candidates faced each other in three debates and one town hall meeting. Jesse Johnson, the Mountain Party candidate, unsuccessfully attempted to get the West Virginia Supreme Court to cancel the first debate, as he was not asked to take part.[15]

Manchin had an edge in the election with better name recognition and a strong financial advantage over Warner. In the closing weeks of the election campaign, Manchin spent $3.3 million against $880,000 by Warner.[16]

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] Safe D November 1, 2004

Results

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West Virginia gubernatorial election, 2004[18]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Joe Manchin 472,758 63.51% +13.39%
Republican Monty Warner 253,131 34.00% −13.21%
Mountain Jesse Johnson 18,430 2.48% +0.87%
Write-in 114 0.02% +0.01%
Margin of victory 219,627 29.50% +26.58%
Total votes 744,433
Democratic hold Swing

By county

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County Joe Manchin
Democratic
Monty Warner
Republican
Jesse Johnson
Mountain
Simon McClure
Write-in
Margin Total
# % # % # % # % # %
Barbour 4,516 68.41% 2,002 30.33% 83 1.26% 0 0.00% 2,514 38.09% 6,601
Berkeley 16,044 48.17% 16,630 49.93% 631 1.89% 3 0.01% −586 −1.76% 33,308
Boone 8,070 79.12% 1,934 18.96% 196 1.92% 0 0.00% 6,136 60.16% 10,200
Braxton 4,404 75.03% 1,376 23.44% 90 1.53% 0 0.00% 3,028 51.58% 5,870
Brooke 7,591 70.60% 2,961 27.54% 200 1.86% 0 0.00% 4,630 43.06% 10,752
Cabell 22,589 60.24% 13,829 36.88% 1,078 2.87% 1 0.00% 8,760 23.36% 37,497
Calhoun 1,957 67.81% 799 27.69% 130 4.50% 0 0.00% 1,158 40.12% 2,886
Clay 2,932 72.23% 1,008 24.83% 119 2.93% 0 0.00% 1,924 47.40% 4,059
Doddridge 1,492 46.96% 1,603 50.46% 82 2.58% 0 0.00% −111 −3.49% 3,177
Fayette 11,448 67.76% 4,979 29.47% 468 2.77% 0 0.00% 6,469 38.29% 16,895
Gilmer 1,975 69.89% 739 26.15% 112 3.96% 0 0.00% 1,236 43.74% 2,826
Grant 2,127 46.19% 2,421 52.57% 57 1.24% 0 0.00% −294 −6.38% 4,605
Greenbrier 8,461 58.77% 5,439 37.78% 496 3.45% 0 0.00% 3,022 20.99% 14,396
Hampshire 4,241 54.62% 3,323 42.80% 200 2.58% 0 0.00% 918 11.82% 7,764
Hancock 8,586 66.58% 4,115 31.91% 194 1.50% 0 0.00% 4,471 34.67% 12,895
Hardy 2,907 59.17% 1,895 38.57% 111 2.26% 0 0.00% 1,012 20.60% 4,913
Harrison 20,365 66.91% 9,373 30.79% 687 2.26% 12 0.04% 10,992 36.11% 30,437
Jackson 8,374 63.89% 4,426 33.77% 303 2.31% 3 0.02% 3,948 30.12% 13,106
Jefferson 10,561 54.07% 8,295 42.47% 676 3.46% 1 0.01% 2,266 11.60% 19,533
Kanawha 54,620 63.08% 28,817 33.28% 3,147 3.63% 6 0.01% 25,803 29.80% 86,590
Lewis 4,806 68.46% 2,041 29.07% 164 2.34% 9 0.13% 2,765 39.39% 7,020
Lincoln 5,590 68.05% 2,364 28.78% 260 3.17% 0 0.00% 3,226 39.27% 8,214
Logan 10,505 73.12% 3,592 25.00% 268 1.87% 2 0.01% 6,913 48.12% 14,367
Marion 17,911 71.86% 6,496 26.06% 506 2.03% 11 0.04% 11,415 45.80% 24,924
Marshall 10,256 68.13% 4,535 30.13% 262 1.74% 0 0.00% 5,721 38.01% 15,053
Mason 8,504 71.28% 3,159 26.48% 267 2.24% 0 0.00% 5,345 44.80% 11,930
McDowell 5,731 79.29% 1,320 18.26% 177 2.45% 0 0.00% 4,411 61.03% 7,228
Mercer 13,997 62.65% 7,980 35.72% 365 1.63% 1 0.00% 6,017 26.93% 22,343
Mineral 6,206 55.14% 4,840 43.00% 208 1.85% 1 0.01% 1,366 12.14% 11,255
Mingo 8,730 82.33% 1,734 16.35% 140 1.32% 0 0.00% 6,996 65.98% 10,604
Monongalia 20,512 61.12% 11,220 33.43% 1,819 5.42% 10 0.03% 9,292 27.69% 33,561
Monroe 3,425 58.04% 2,357 39.94% 119 2.02% 0 0.00% 1,068 18.10% 5,901
Morgan 3,209 49.55% 3,117 48.13% 150 2.32% 0 0.00% 92 1.42% 6,476
Nicholas 7,153 69.43% 2,909 28.23% 241 2.34% 0 0.00% 4,244 41.19% 10,303
Ohio 13,470 67.13% 6,263 31.21% 295 1.47% 39 0.19% 7,207 35.91% 20,067
Pendleton 2,081 62.14% 1,246 37.21% 22 0.66% 0 0.00% 835 24.93% 3,349
Pleasants 2,416 71.69% 927 27.51% 27 0.80% 0 0.00% 1,489 44.18% 3,370
Pocahontas 2,344 60.80% 1,329 34.47% 181 4.70% 1 0.03% 1,015 26.33% 3,855
Preston 5,889 49.62% 5,610 47.27% 368 3.10% 2 0.02% 279 2.35% 11,869
Putnam 14,373 57.67% 9,998 40.12% 549 2.20% 1 0.00% 4,375 17.56% 24,921
Raleigh 17,363 57.25% 12,359 40.75% 607 2.00% 0 0.00% 5,004 16.50% 30,329
Randolph 7,952 69.47% 3,160 27.61% 330 2.88% 4 0.03% 4,792 41.87% 11,446
Ritchie 2,322 56.05% 1,724 41.61% 97 2.34% 0 0.00% 598 14.43% 4,143
Roane 3,874 63.43% 2,039 33.38% 195 3.19% 0 0.00% 1,835 30.04% 6,108
Summers 3,385 61.80% 1,925 35.15% 167 3.05% 0 0.00% 1,460 26.66% 5,477
Taylor 4,451 68.50% 1,975 30.39% 68 1.05% 4 0.06% 2,476 38.10% 6,498
Tucker 2,361 66.23% 1,083 30.38% 121 3.39% 0 0.00% 1,278 35.85% 3,565
Tyler 2,447 57.82% 1,705 40.29% 80 1.89% 0 0.00% 742 17.53% 4,232
Upshur 5,992 64.51% 3,130 33.70% 165 1.78% 1 0.01% 2,862 30.81% 9,288
Wayne 11,479 65.15% 5,903 33.51% 236 1.34% 0 0.00% 5,576 31.65% 17,618
Webster 2,848 76.44% 779 20.91% 99 2.66% 0 0.00% 2,069 55.53% 3,726
Wetzel 5,228 74.05% 1,752 24.82% 80 1.13% 0 0.00% 3,476 49.24% 7,060
Wirt 1,765 68.28% 787 30.44% 33 1.28% 0 0.00% 978 37.83% 2,585
Wood 24,904 64.01% 13,383 34.40% 620 1.59% 2 0.01% 11,521 29.61% 38,909
Wyoming 6,019 70.57% 2,426 28.44% 84 0.98% 0 0.00% 3,593 42.13% 8,529
Totals472,75863.51%253,13134.00%18,4302.48%1140.02%219,62729.50%744,433

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

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References

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  1. "West Virginia election results 2004". The Washington Post. November 24, 2004. Retrieved May 16, 2008.
  2. "More governors join exodus from statehouses". USA Today. August 13, 2003. Retrieved May 16, 2008.
  3. Messina, Lawrence. "W. Va. Governor Won't Seek Re-Election". apnews.com. Associated Press. Retrieved August 29, 2021.
  4. Messina, Lawrence. "Gov. Exchanged 500 Emails With Worker". apnews.com. Associated Press. Retrieved August 29, 2021.
  5. Linkins, Jason (June 26, 2008). "Phillip Frye, "Prominent" Democratic McCain Supporter, Mocked by Daily Show". Huffpost.com. Huffpost. Retrieved August 29, 2021.
  6. "Not So Wise". The Washington Post. June 24, 2003. Retrieved May 16, 2008.
  7. "Jackson files for governor in West Virginia". Herald Mail. January 13, 2004. Retrieved May 17, 2008.
  8. 1 2 "Manchin wins W. Va. gubernatorial nod". USA Today. May 12, 2004. Retrieved May 17, 2008.
  9. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on November 16, 2011. Retrieved June 7, 2011.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  10. "Governor hopefuls take part in debate". Herald Mail. March 26, 2004. Retrieved May 17, 2008.
  11. "Candidates Face Off in W.Va Primary". Fox News Channel. May 11, 2004. Retrieved May 17, 2008.
  12. "Manchin, Warner win West Virginia primaries". USA Today. May 12, 2004. Retrieved May 17, 2008.
  13. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on September 15, 2011. Retrieved June 7, 2011.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  14. 1 2 "Purple People Watch". The American Prospect. May 26, 2004. Archived from the original on August 10, 2011. Retrieved May 17, 2008.
  15. "Candidates Face Off in WV Gubernatorial Debate". WTAP-TV. October 6, 2004. Archived from the original on May 24, 2011. Retrieved May 17, 2008.
  16. "West Virginia". The New York Times. November 4, 2004. Retrieved May 16, 2008.
  17. "The Final Predictions". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 2004. Retrieved May 2, 2021.
  18. "Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections".
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See also

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