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2018 Liberal Democratic Party presidential election

(Redirected from Liberal Democratic Party (Japan) leadership election, 2018)

A presidential election was held on 20 September 2018 to elect the next president of the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan for a new 3-year term. Incumbent president Shinzo Abe was running for his re-election after a rule change in 2017 that allowed him to run for a third term.[1]

2018 Liberal Democratic Party presidential election
← 2015
20 September 2018
2020 →
 
Candidate Shinzo Abe Shigeru Ishiba
Leader's seat Yamaguchi 4th Tottori 1st
LDP MPs 329 (81.84%) 73 (18.16%)
Party members 224 (55.31%) 181 (44.69%)
Total 553 (68.53%) 254 (31.47%)
Election results
President before election

Shinzo Abe

 Elected President

Shinzo Abe

Abe's subsequent victory[2] led to him staying as prime minister for just under two years. In this time, on 22 November 2019, he broke the record for the nation's longest-serving prime ministership previously held by Taro Katsura, who had served three times between 1901 and 1913. He also served the longest uninterrupted term by 24 August 2020, ahead of Eisaku Satō's 2,797 days, before resigning four days later.

Background

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Scandals

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In March 2018, it was revealed that the Finance Ministry (with finance minister Tarō Asō at its head) had falsified documents presented to the parliament in relation to the Moritomo Gakuen scandal, to remove 14 passages implicating Abe.[3] It has been suggested that the scandal could cost Abe his seat as the Liberal Democratic Party's leader.[3] A Kyodo poll showed the Japanese government popularity's has fallen as low as 30% from 44% in February.[4]

Candidates

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Nominated

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Candidate(s) Date of birth Notable positions Party faction(s) District(s) Announced Reference(s)
Shinzo Abe		 21 September 1954
(age 63)		 President of the LDP (2006-2007, since 2012)
Prime Minister (2006–2007, since 2012)
Member of the House of Representatives (since 1993)
Chief Cabinet Secretary (2005–2006)		 Seiwa Seisaku Kenkyūkai
(Hosoda)
Yamaguchi 4th		 26 August [5]
Shigeru Ishiba		 4 February 1957
(age 61)		 Member of the House of Representatives (since 1986)
Defense Minister (2007–2008)
2008, 2012 LDP leadership candidate		 Suigetsukai
(Ishiba)
Tottori 1st		 1 September [6][7]

Expressed intention but did not have enough supporters for nomination

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Speculative

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Declined

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Supporters

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Recommenders

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Party regulations require candidates to have the written support at least 20 Diet members, known as recommenders, to run.

Shinzo Abe[17]
Leader of recommenders
Campaign Manager
Recommenders
Shigeru Ishiba[18]
Leader of recommenders
Campaign Manager
Recommenders
Number of recommenders by factions
Candidates Shinzo Abe Shigeru Ishiba
Heisei Kenkyūkai 2 5
Kinmirai Seiji Kenkyūkai 2 0
Kōchikai 3 0
Seiwa Seisaku Kenkyūkai 4 0
Shikōkai 3 0
Shisuikai 3 0
Suigetsukai 0 11
Yūrinkai [ja] 1 1
No faction 2 3

Results

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Full result[19]
Candidate Diet members Party members Total points
Votes % Popular votes % Allocated votes % Votes %
Shinzo Abe 当 32981.84% 355,48755.42%22455.31% 553
68.53%
Shigeru Ishiba 7318.16% 286,00344.58%18144.69% 254
31.47%
Total 402 100.00% 641,490 100.00% 405 100.00% 807 100.00%
Valid votes 402 99.26% 641,490 99.66% 405 100.00% 807 99.63%
Invalid and blank votes 3 0.74% 2,191 0.34% 0 0.00% 3 0.37%
Turnout 405 100.00% 643,681 61.74% 405 100.00% 810 100.00%
Registered voters 405 100.00% 1,042,647 100.00% 405 100.00% 810 100.00%

Results of Party Members' Votes by Prefectures

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Results of Party Members' Votes by Prefectures[19]
Prefectures Shinzo Abe Shigeru Ishiba
Votes % Votes %
Aichi 14,611 54.7% 12,122 45.3%
Akita 3,229 53.2% 2,843 46.8%
Aomori 3,480 58.0% 2,517 42.0%
Chiba 9,131 52.6% 8,238 47.4%
Ehime 6,945 55.4% 5,581 44.6%
Fukui 4,786 63.2% 2,791 36.8%
Fukuoka 10,442 64.0% 5,883 36.0%
Fukushima 5,209 54.4% 4,368 45.6%
Gifu 10,955 53.2% 9,630 46.8%
Gunma 6,802 46.4% 7,847 53.6%
Hiroshima 15,095 71.0% 6,171 29.0%
Hokkaido 11,711 54.4% 9,819 45.6%
Hyōgo 8,193 53.7% 7,063 46.3%
Ibaraki 9,927 41.6% 13,951 58.4%
Ishikawa 9,161 65.0% 4,936 35.0%
Iwate 2,568 54.2% 2,170 45.8%
Kagawa 6,752 58.5% 4,783 41.5%
Kagoshima 5,938 57.0% 4,478 43.0%
Kanagawa 20,901 61.0% 13,371 39.0%
Kōchi 1,499 28.4% 3,778 71.6%
Kumamoto 6,143 55.1% 5,011 44.9%
Kyoto 5,073 57.1% 3,807 42.9%
Mie 3,437 45.0% 4,194 55.0%
Miyagi 4,299 56.6% 3,301 43.4%
Miyazaki 3,112 41.5% 4,380 58.5%
Nagano 5,406 50.1% 5,391 49.9%
Nagasaki 7,167 60.4% 4,704 39.6%
Nara 3,332 66.6% 1,674 33.4%
Niigata 8,880 54.6% 7,384 45.4%
Ōita 5,768 62.0% 3,542 38.0%
Okayama 7,060 57.5% 5,218 42.5%
Okinawa 1,753 61.7% 1,086 38.3%
Osaka 11,813 60.8% 7,620 39.2%
Saga 3,343 51.5% 3,149 48.5%
Saitama 12,177 54.3% 10,257 45.7%
Shiga 4,056 57.6% 2,991 42.4%
Shimane 2,257 22.6% 7,748 77.4%
Shizuoka 9,410 57.6% 6,916 42.4%
Tochigi 6,257 55.0% 5,124 45.0%
Tokushima 2,925 42.5% 3,963 57.5%
Tokyo 33,351 58.0% 24,110 42.0%
Tottori 421 5.0% 7,933 95.0%
Toyama 9,452 46.9% 10,685 53.1%
Wakayama 8,698 81.3% 2,003 18.7%
Yamagata 3,172 41.9% 4,402 58.1%
Yamaguchi 12,488 87.6% 1,760 12.4%
Yamanashi 6,902 56.5% 5,310 43.5%
Total 355,487 55.4% 286,003 44.6%

References

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  1. ↑ "Abe could become Japan's longest serving premier". Al Jazeera. 6 March 2017. Retrieved 20 December 2017.
  2. ↑ "Japan's Shinzo Abe wins ruling party leadership vote". Al Jazeera. 20 September 2018. Retrieved 10 May 2024.
  3. 1 2 Harding, Robin (12 March 2018). "Japan fake document scandal shakes Abe government". Financial Times.
  4. ↑ "Abe's popularity falls as document-altering scandal continues".
  5. ↑ "Abe throws hat into LDP chief race; duel with Ishiba looms". Asahi Shimbun. 26 August 2018. Archived from the original on 26 August 2018. Retrieved 27 August 2018.
  6. ↑ Ryall, Julian (24 May 2017). "Ambitious Shigeru Ishiba the man to watch as campaign to topple Shinzo Abe begins". South China Morning Post. Retrieved 20 December 2017.
  7. ↑ "Ishiba to run for LDP president despite numbers in Abe's favor". Asahi Shimbun. 10 August 2018. Archived from the original on 11 August 2018. Retrieved 12 August 2018.
  8. ↑ Jiji Press (4 August 2017). "Noda ready to take on Abe in LDP leadership election next year". Japan Times. Retrieved 20 December 2017.
  9. 1 2 "Abe to appoint Foreign Minister Kishida to head LDP Policy Research Council". Mainichi Shimbun. 4 August 2017. Retrieved 20 December 2017.
  10. ↑ "野田聖子氏が総裁選立候補せず、安倍首相を支持意向". Nikkan Sports (in Japanese). 26 August 2018. Archived from the original on 27 August 2018. Retrieved 27 August 2018.
  11. ↑ Rich, Motoko (17 February 2018). "In Japan, a Liberal Maverick Is Seeking to Lead a Conservative Party". The New York Times. Retrieved 18 February 2018.
  12. ↑ Reynolds, Isabel; Watanabe, Chisaki (17 January 2018). "Taro Kono's clean energy critique in UAE speech fuels Abe succession talk". Japan Times. Retrieved 18 January 2018.
  13. ↑ Bossack, Michael MacArthur (5 August 2017). "Abe's Cabinet Reshuffle, Explained". The Diplomat. Retrieved 20 December 2017.
  14. ↑ Fahey, Rob (22 March 2018). "Who Will Lead Japan after September?". Tokyo Review. Retrieved 22 March 2018.
  15. ↑ Jiji Press (29 May 2017). "Kishida eyes prime ministership as LDP's Kochi Kai faction celebrates 60th anniversary". Japan Times. Retrieved 20 December 2017.
  16. ↑ Konno, Shinobu (25 July 2018). "Kishida decides against running in LDP election, will support Abe". Asahi Shimbun. Archived from the original on 12 August 2018. Retrieved 12 August 2018.
  17. ↑ "安倍 晋三 プロフィール｜総裁選2018｜自由民主党". Retrieved 20 September 2018.
  18. ↑ "石破 茂 プロフィール｜総裁選2018｜自由民主党". Retrieved 20 September 2018.
  19. 1 2 令和30年 総裁選挙 党員投票結果 [Party member voting results for the 2018 presidential election] (PDF) (in Japanese). Liberal Democratic Party of Japan. Archived from the original (PDF) on 20 September 2018. Retrieved 10 May 2026.
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