2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania
The 2008 congressional elections in Pennsylvania was held on November 4, 2008, to determine who will represent the state of Pennsylvania in the United States House of Representatives. Pennsylvania has 19 seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States census. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected will serve in the 111th Congress from January 4, 2009, until January 3, 2011. The election coincides with the 2008 U.S. presidential election.
November 4, 2008
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All 19 Pennsylvania seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Democratic hold Democratic gain Republican hold
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District 3 was the only seat which changed party (from Republican to Democratic), although CQ Politics had forecasted districts 3, 4, 6, 8, 10, 11, 15 and 18 to be at some risk for the incumbent party. This was the last time the Democrats would win a majority of congressional districts in Pennsylvania until 2022.
Match-up summary
edit| District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
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| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 242,799 | 90.76% | 24,714 | 9.24% | 0 | 0.00% | 267,513 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 2 | 276,870 | 88.93% | 34,466 | 11.07% | 0 | 0.00% | 311,336 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 3 | 146,846 | 51.24% | 139,757 | 48.76% | 0 | 0.00% | 286,603 | 100.00% | Democratic gain |
| District 4 | 186,536 | 55.86% | 147,411 | 44.14% | 0 | 0.00% | 333,947 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 5 | 112,509 | 41.04% | 155,513 | 56.72% | 6,155 | 2.24% | 274,177 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 6 | 164,952 | 47.90% | 179,423 | 52.10% | 0 | 0.00% | 344,375 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 7 | 209,955 | 59.59% | 142,362 | 40.41% | 0 | 0.00% | 352,317 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 8 | 197,869 | 56.77% | 145,103 | 41.63% | 5,543 | 1.59% | 348,515 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 9 | 98,735 | 36.08% | 174,951 | 63.92% | 0 | 0.00% | 273,686 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 10 | 160,837 | 56.33% | 124,681 | 43.67% | 0 | 0.00% | 285,518 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 11 | 146,379 | 51.63% | 137,151 | 48.37% | 0 | 0.00% | 283,530 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 12 | 155,268 | 57.85% | 113,120 | 42.15% | 0 | 0.00% | 268,388 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 13 | 196,868 | 62.79% | 108,271 | 34.53% | 8,374 | 2.67% | 313,513 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 14 | 242,326 | 91.26% | 0 | 0.00% | 23,214 | 8.74% | 265,540 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 15 | 128,333 | 41.43% | 181,433 | 58.57% | 0 | 0.00% | 309,766 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 16 | 120,193 | 39.39% | 170,329 | 55.82% | 14,645 | 4.80% | 305,167 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 17 | 192,699 | 63.68% | 109,909 | 36.32% | 0 | 0.00% | 302,608 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 18 | 119,661 | 35.93% | 213,349 | 64.07% | 0 | 0.00% | 333,010 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 19 | 109,533 | 33.35% | 218,862 | 66.65% | 0 | 0.00% | 328,395 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| Total | 3,209,168 | 55.45% | 2,520,805 | 43.55% | 57,931 | 1.00% | 5,787,904 | 100.00% | |
District 1
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Five-term incumbent Bob Brady (D) ran for another term after losing his bid to be mayor of Philadelphia. He was challenged by businessman Mike Muhammad (R). This race was viewed as noncompetitive, as it took place in heavily Democratic Philadelphia. Brady ran unopposed in 2006 and has generally received over 80% of the vote in his campaigns.
Democratic primary
editRepublican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Mike Muhammad, businessman
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Muhammad | 4,637 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 4,637 | 100.0 | ||
Predictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[2] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[3] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[5] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
General election
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Bob Brady (incumbent) | 242,799 | 90.76 | |
| Republican | Mike Muhammad | 24,714 | 9.24 | |
| Total votes | 267,513 | 100.00 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 2
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Seven term incumbent Chaka Fattah (D), who was unsuccessful in his bid to be mayor of Philadelphia, ran without major party opposition. Liberal Republican law professor Michael Livingston won the Republican primary, but dropped out of the race due to lack of funding. He was replaced by Adam Lang. This seat is contained in one of the most Democratic districts in the country, with Democrats often winning 90% of the vote. In 2006, Fattah was elected with 88.6% support and in 2008 he won with 88.9% of the vote.
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Chaka Fattah, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chaka Fattah (incumbent) | 161,022 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 161,022 | 100.00 | ||
Republican primary
editPredictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[2] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[3] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[5] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
General election
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chaka Fattah (incumbent) | 276,870 | 88.93 | |
| Republican | Adam Lang | 34,466 | 11.07 | |
| Total votes | 311,336 | 100.00 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 3
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County results Dahlkemper: 50–60% English: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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Seven-term Republican incumbent Phil English faced Democrat Kathy Dahlkemper (campaign website), director of the Erie Arboretum. Steven Porter, the 2006 Democratic nominee, ran as an independent.
English was tested in 2008. He represented a politically balanced Erie-based district that gave George W. Bush 53% of the vote. Also, in 2006, he received just 54% of the vote against an under-funded candidate with no political experience. He has, however, been able to remain a level of popularity due to a moderate voting record and close ties to organized labor.
The DCCC recruited Erie County Councilman Kyle Foust as its top choice to run against English. Dahlkemper, attorney Tom Meyers, and religious nonprofit program coordinator Mike Waltner also declared for the Democratic primary.[8] Dahlkemper proved better at mobilizing support than Foust, the original front-runner, and won the Democratic nomination with 45% of the vote.
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Kathy Dahlkemper, director of the Erie Arboretum
Eliminated in primary
edit- Kyle Foust, Erie County Councilman
- Tom Myers, attorney
- Mike Waltner, religious nonprofit program coordinator
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kathy Dahlkemper | 43,858 | 44.91 | |
| Democratic | Kyle Foust | 24,672 | 25.27 | |
| Democratic | Tom Myers | 18,584 | 19.03 | |
| Democratic | Mike Waltner | 10,532 | 10.79 | |
| Total votes | 97,646 | 100.00 | ||
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Phil English, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Phil English (incumbent) | 42,636 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 42,636 | 100.00 | ||
Predictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[2] | Tossup | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[3] | Tilt D (flip) | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] | Lean D (flip) | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[5] | Tossup | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[6] | Tossup | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kathy Dahlkemper | 146,846 | 51.24 | |
| Republican | Phil English (incumbent) | 139,757 | 48.76 | |
| Total votes | 286,603 | 100.00 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
- Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
- Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
- English (R-i) vs Dahlkemper (D) graph of collected poll results from Pollster.com
District 4
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Democratic incumbent Jason Altmire again faced Republican Melissa Hart. In 2006, Altmire defeated incumbent Hart in a 52% to 48% upset. Hart had won 63% of the vote in 2004, when George W. Bush carried this suburban Pittsburgh district with 53%. In 2006, Pennsylvania was perhaps the most disastrous state for incumbent GOP House members, who lost four seats here. Hart ran unopposed for the Republican nomination in 2008 and attempted to use her public service credentials to regain her seat. She previously gained a reputation for appealing to moderate voters despite a conservative track record. She again lost to Altmire, this time by a wider margin than two years prior, with a 56–44% vote.
Altmire maintained close ties with organized labor, possessed experience with the health care issues that are important in a region with an older population, and was supported by the NRA.[9]
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Jason Altmire, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jason Altmire (incumbent) | 112,049 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 112,049 | 100.00 | ||
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Melissa Hart, former U.S. Representative
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Melissa Hart | 42,854 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 42,854 | 100.00 | ||
Predictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[2] | Likely D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[3] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] | Lean D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[5] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[6] | Likely D | November 6, 2008 |
General election
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jason Altmire (incumbent) | 186,536 | 55.86 | |
| Republican | Melissa Hart | 147,411 | 44.14 | |
| Total votes | 333,947 | 100.00 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 5
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County results Thompson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% McCracken: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
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Democrat Mark McCracken, Clearfield County commissioner is running against Republican and Centre County GOP chair Glenn "G.T." Thompson in this open seat election. James Fryman represented the Libertarian Party.
Republican John Peterson announced his intention to retire on January 3, 2007, paving the way for a contentious open seat election. Nine Republicans were in the race for the nomination. Four men emerged as top tier candidates: Thompson, hotel developer Matt Shaner, financial consultant Derek Walker, and former Woodland Township supervisor Jeff Strohmann. Also on the Republican ballot were mortgage broker John Kupa, Clarion mayor John Stroup, Elk County coroner Lou Radkowski, former Centre County commissioner Chris Exarchos, and minister Keith Richardson.[10] Thompson won this hard-fought 9-way primary with just 19% of the vote, in large part due to the late endorsement of Peterson who got involved in the primary campaign 10 days prior to election day. Walker and Shaner proved to be superior fundraisers and aired numerous television and radio commercials to counter Peterson's endorsement of Thompson. The Republican primary included many personal attacks, with Shaner targeting Walker as being political incompetent and Walker referring to a DUI incident involving Shaner. Walker and Thompson were very close in the polls on Election Day, but Thompson received a late boost because of his political track record in Centre County, the district's population center.
McCracken, Lock Haven mayor Richard Vilello, and Bill Cahir, a journalist and Marine Corps veteran of the Iraq War, battled for the Democratic nomination.[10] McCracken won 40% in a hard-fought Democratic race that received much less attention. Despite presenting an open seat opportunity, this race was always viewed as safe for the Republicans, who have generally won over 65% in this district. Prior to 2006, Peterson had previously run in three straight elections without Democratic opposition.
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Mark McCracken, Clearfield County commissioner
Eliminated in primary
edit- Bill Cahir, journalist and Iraq War veteran
- Richard Vilello, mayor of Lock Haven
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mark McCracken | 30,358 | 40.92 | |
| Democratic | Bill Cahir | 25,920 | 34.93 | |
| Democratic | Richard Vilello | 17,921 | 24.15 | |
| Total votes | 74,199 | 100.00 | ||
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Glenn Thompson, Centre County Republican Party chair
Eliminated in primary
edit- Chris Exarchos, former Centre County commissioner
- John Krupa, mortgage broker
- Lou Radkowski, coroner of Elk County
- Keith Richardson, minister
- Matt Shaner, hotel developer
- Jeffrey Stroehmann, former Woodland Township supervisor
- John Stroup, mayor of Clarion
- Derek Walker, financial consultant
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Glenn Thompson | 13,988 | 19.18 | |
| Republican | Derek Walker | 13,153 | 18.03 | |
| Republican | Matt Shaner | 12,860 | 17.63 | |
| Republican | Jeffrey Stroehmann | 9,921 | 13.60 | |
| Republican | Keith Richardson | 7,094 | 9.72 | |
| Republican | Lou Radkowski | 5,083 | 6.97 | |
| Republican | John Stroup | 4,550 | 6.24 | |
| Republican | Chris Exarchos | 4,376 | 6.00 | |
| Republican | John Krupa | 1,916 | 2.63 | |
| Total votes | 72,941 | 100.00 | ||
Predictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[2] | Likely R | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[3] | Safe R | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[5] | Safe R | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[6] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
General election
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Glenn Thompson | 155,513 | 56.72 | |
| Democratic | Mark McCracken | 112,509 | 41.04 | |
| Libertarian | James Fryman | 6,155 | 2.24 | |
| Total votes | 274,177 | 100.00 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 6
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Three term Republican Jim Gerlach faced Democrat Bob Roggio (campaign website), a retired businessman from Charlestown who ran unopposed for the Democratic nomination both of his opponents dropped out of the race.[11] Gerlach has become used to winning close elections, having survived threats from governor's assistant (and son of the former US Senator) Dan Wofford and attorney Lois Murphy in 2004 and 2006 with approximately 51% each year. The district is a classic swing district that went to John Kerry with 51% in 2004. However, Roggio did not have the name recognition nor the funding that Murphy had when waging her campaign, which made his candidacy more difficult than past challengers.
However, due to the tough environment in 2008 for Republicans, and the fact that Democrats outnumber Republicans this year for the first time in this district, the race was close.[12] In addition, Gerlach has had some trouble shaking a connection to ousted Republican leader Tom Delay, who provided contributions to Gerlach through his PAC. However, Gerlach has a relatively moderate voting record and is seen as a tough campaigner who is knowledgeable in the suburban issues that are important in his district.
Democratic primary
editNominee
edit- Bob Roggio, retired businessman
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Bob Roggio | 82,540 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 82,540 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
editNominee
edit- Jim Gerlach, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jim Gerlach (incumbent) | 39,232 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 39,232 | 100.00 | ||
Predictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[2] | Likely R | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[3] | Safe R | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] | Lean R | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[5] | Safe R | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[6] | Likely R | November 6, 2008 |
General election
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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| Republican | Jim Gerlach (incumbent) | 179,423 | 52.10 | |
| Democratic | Bob Roggio | 164,952 | 47.90 | |
| Total votes | 344,375 | 100.00 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
- Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
- Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
- Gerlach (R-i) vs Roggio (D) graph of collected poll results from Pollster.com
District 7
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Incumbent Democratic Joe Sestak defeated Republican nominee Wendell Craig Williams, winning 59.6% of the vote.[13] In 2006 Sestak defeated incumbent Curt Weldon, who was being investigated for misuse of campaign funds, by 56% to 44%. Sestak used his military credentials as a retired vice admiral to present himself as a strong leader and as an ethical alternative to a Republican Party that has faced scandal within his district. Because of his moderate voting record, reputation as a tireless worker, and military background, Sestak was expected to have a large advantage over any Republican opponent in 2008. The NRCC initially had trouble finding any top-tier candidates, and eventually settled on Iraq War veteran and attorney Craig Williams.
Democratic primary
editNominee
edit- Joe Sestak, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Joe Sestak | 91,272 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 91,272 | 100.00 | ||
Republican primary
editNominee
edit- Wendell Craig Williams, federal prosecutor and assistant U.S. Attorney
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Wendell Craig Williams | 52,733 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 52,733 | 100.00 | ||
Predictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[2] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[3] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[5] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
General election
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Joe Sestak (incumbent) | 209,955 | 59.59 | |
| Republican | Wendell Craig Williams | 142,362 | 40.41 | |
| Total votes | 352,317 | 100.00 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 8
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Democratic incumbent Patrick Murphy, an Iraq War veteran, won against Republican nominee Tom Manion, a businessman and retired Marine, and Independent Tom Lingenfelter.
Murphy narrowly won in 2006, when he unseated one-term Republican Mike Fitzpatrick by 1,518 votes. Manion, a retired Marine Colonel and executive at Johnson and Johnson, ran unopposed in the Republican primary in April. Significant national attention has been drawn to the race because of the Iraq War connections of both candidates. Murphy is a veteran and a strong critic of the war, while Manion, whose son, 1st Lt. Travis Manion, was killed in Iraq in April 2007, supports the war. This district contains Bucks County and a small part of Northern Philadelphia and Montgomery County. Once considered a safe Republican district, it has recently been trending more Democratic. Registered Democrats narrowly outnumber registered Republicans as of August 2008, due in large part to voter registration drives connected with the Democratic presidential primary in Pennsylvania.
Democratic primary
editNominee
edit- Patrick Murphy, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Patrick Murphy (incumbent) | 100,788 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 100,788 | 100.00 | ||
Republican primary
editNominee
edit- Tom Manion, businessman and retired United States Marine
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom Manion | 35,610 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 35,610 | 100.00 | ||
Predictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[2] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[3] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] | Lean D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[5] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[6] | Likely D | November 6, 2008 |
General election
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Patrick Murphy (incumbent) | 197,869 | 56.77 | |
| Republican | Tom Manion | 145,103 | 41.63 | |
| Independent | Tom Lingenfelter | 5,543 | 1.59 | |
| Total votes | 348,515 | 100.00 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 9
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Three term Bill Shuster (R) won re-election with 64% of the vote. Shuster won 60.3% of the vote in 2006; George W. Bush carried the district with over 67% in 2004. Shuster also held the advantage of name recognition, as he is the son of a powerful congressman. The district is also the most Republican in Pennsylvania, further giving Shuster an advantage. His Democratic opponent was again 2006 candidate educator Tony Barr (campaign website).
Democratic primary
editNominee
edit- Tony Barr, 2006 Democratic nominee
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tony Barr | 58,522 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 58,522 | 100.00 | ||
Republican primary
editNominee
edit- Bill Shuster, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bill Shuster (incumbent) | 57,890 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 57,890 | 100.00 | ||
Predictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[2] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[3] | Safe R | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[5] | Safe R | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[6] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
General election
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bill Shuster (incumbent) | 174,951 | 63.92 | |
| Democratic | Tony Barr | 98,735 | 36.08 | |
| Total votes | 273,686 | 100.00 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 10
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County results Carney: 50–60% 60–70% Hackett: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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Democratic incumbent Chris Carney defeated Republican staffing company executive Chris Hackett by a margin of 56% to 44%. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Leans Democratic' prior to Carney's victory. The win on the part of the Democratic congressman coincided with John McCain winning 54 percent of the vote in the district as opposed to Democrat Barack Obama's 46 percent.
Carney was initially thought to have been facing a difficult reelection bid in this heavily Republican district, which he won after widely publicized allegations of incumbent Republican Don Sherwood's extramarital affair with and alleged abuse of Cynthia Ore. Carney defeated Sherwood 53% to 47%. However, President George W. Bush won the 10th District 60% to 40% in 2004.
Two Republicans fought for the nomination: staffing company executive Chris Hackett, who gained the endorsement of conservative organizations and manufacturing executive Dan Meuser, who has credibility as a disabled rights activist. While battling for the nomination, Meuser accused Hackett of wavering on his pro-life stance, while Hackett painted Meuser as associated with unpopular politicians. Hackett won a tough primary with 52% of the vote, which drained many of his resources for the general election.
Carney, throughout the general election, was the favorite to retain his seat but the vote was expected to be somewhat close. The traditionally Republican leanings of the district were advantageous for Hackett, but Pennsylvania as a whole has been trending Democratic recently, having voted for the Democratic nominee for president in every election since 1992. The state ultimately backed Obama that year by a ten-point margin.[citation needed] Carney also has a strong military background and used his membership in the Blue Dog Coalition, a group of moderate Democrats that promote compromise, as a boost. Carney easily beat Hackett by a twelve-point margin and was aided by a stronger than anticipated vote for the national Democratic presidential ticket in the district. Whereas John Kerry and John Edwards in 2004 received merely 40 percent of the vote in the 10th district, Barack Obama and Joe Biden received 46 percent of the vote.
Democratic primary
editNominee
edit- Chris Carney, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chris Carney (incumbent) | 71,988 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 71,988 | 100.00 | ||
Republican primary
editNominee
edit- Chris Hackett, staffing company executive
Eliminated in primary
edit- Dan Meuser, manufacturing executive
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Chris Hackett | 34,129 | 52.32 | |
| Republican | Dan Meuser | 31,102 | 47.68 | |
| Total votes | 65,231 | 100.00 | ||
Predictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[2] | Lean D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[3] | Likely D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] | Lean D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[5] | Tossup | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[6] | Lean D | November 6, 2008 |
General election
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chris Carney (incumbent) | 160,837 | 56.33 | |
| Republican | Chris Hackett | 124,681 | 43.67 | |
| Total votes | 285,518 | 100.00 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
- Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
- Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
- Hackett (R) vs Carney (D-i) graph of collected poll results from Pollster.com
District 11
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Twelve term Democratic incumbent Paul Kanjorski (D) was challenged by Republican Lou Barletta, the mayor of Hazleton. Kanjorksi generally won reelection easily, considering the Democratic leanings of the district. John Kerry won this district in 2004 with 52% and Kanjorski was reelected with 72.5% of the vote in 2006. However, he faced one of the toughest elections of his career against Barletta, a figure who made the national spotlight for the anti-illegal immigration policies he promoted as mayor. He was unopposed for the Republican nomination and has national name recognition for his stance which may have helped or hurt him with different voting groups in the election. Kanjorksi came under scrutiny for several comments he has made during the recent Congress, including his quote that the Democrats stretched the facts on the Iraq War to provide a bigger advantage during the 2006 election cycle.
Democratic primary
editNominee
edit- Paul Kanjorski, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Paul Kanjorski (incumbent) | 93,120 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 93,120 | 100.00 | ||
Republican primary
editNominee
edit- Lou Barletta, mayor of Hazleton
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Lou Barletta | 27,710 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 27,710 | 100.00 | ||
Predictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[2] | Tossup | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[3] | Tossup | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] | Lean R (flip) | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[5] | Lean R (flip) | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[6] | Tossup | November 6, 2008 |
General election
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Paul Kanjorski (incumbent) | 146,379 | 51.63 | |
| Republican | Lou Barletta | 137,151 | 48.37 | |
| Total votes | 283,530 | 100.00 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
- Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
- Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
- Barletta (R) vs Kanjorski (D-i) graph of collected poll results from Pollster.com
District 12
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Sixteen term incumbent John Murtha (D) ran against Retired Lieutenant Colonel William Russell (R), who won the Republican nomination after staging a successful write-in campaign.[14] CQ Politics forecasts the race as 'Safe Democrat,' but the race tightened after Murtha made well-publicized comments referring to Western Pennsylvania as a "racist" and "redneck" area.[15] Murtha's comments were spoofed in the October 25, 2008 episode of Saturday Night Live in a segment entitled "Sen. Biden and Rep. Murtha Say Crazy Things in Johnstown, Pa."[16] By October, Russell out-raised and outspent Murtha for a whole week.[17] The district had a Cook Partisan Voting Index score of R+1.
Democratic primary
editNominee
edit- John Murtha, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | John Murtha (incumbent) | 112,082 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 112,082 | 100.00 | ||
Predictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[2] | Lean D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[3] | Likely D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] | Lean D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[5] | Lean D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[6] | Lean D | November 6, 2008 |
General election
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | John Murtha (incumbent) | 155,268 | 57.85 | |
| Republican | William Russell | 113,120 | 42.15 | |
| Total votes | 268,388 | 100.00 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 13
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While two term Democrat Allyson Schwartz was a target for Republicans in the 2008 race, her seat was expected to be relatively safe. She did not face a serious challenge in 2006 against Raj Bhakta in this Democratic-leaning district. 2007 Philadelphia mayoral candidate Al Taubenberger and state Senator Stewart Greenleaf pondered running on the Republican ticket, but did not enter the race. Attorney Marina Kats ran unopposed for the Republican nomination.[18] Kats was underfunded and without name recognition, while running against and incumbent with a deep warchest of funds, which presented a crucial advantage in an expensive media market. This seat was considered to be noncompetitive.
Democratic primary
editNominee
edit- Allyson Schwartz, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Allyson Schwartz (incumbent) | 44,402 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 44,402 | 100.00 | ||
Republican primary
editNominee
edit- Marina Kats, attorney
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Marina Kats | 27,169 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 27,169 | 100.00 | ||
Predictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[2] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[3] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[5] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
General election
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Allyson Schwartz (incumbent) | 196,868 | 62.79 | |
| Republican | Marina Kats | 108,271 | 34.53 | |
| Constitution | John McDermott | 8,374 | 2.67 | |
| Total votes | 313,513 | 100.00 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 14
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Seven term incumbent Mike Doyle (D) ran for another term. For the fourth straight election, Doyle did not face a Republican opponent, although Green Party candidate, professor Titus North, was on the ballot for the second straight year. Doyle represented a district that gave John Kerry 69% of the vote in 2004 and his seat was considered to be noncompetitive. The congressman presented a strongly pro-union image, while avoiding hot button social issues, which allowed him to remain popular and noncontroversial.
Democratic primary
editNominee
edit- Mike Doyle, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mike Doyle (incumbent) | 134,298 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 134,298 | 100.00 | ||
Predictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[2] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[3] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[5] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
General election
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mike Doyle (incumbent) | 242,326 | 91.26 | |
| Green | Titus North | 23,214 | 8.74 | |
| Total votes | 265,540 | 100.00 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 15
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Republican incumbent Charlie Dent was challenged by Allentown Democratic Party Chair Sam Bennett. Although Dent was targeted by the Democrats for a tough race in 2006, his seat was ultimately relatively safe in 2008. In 2004, he won only 53% of the vote against a political newcomer with no political experience, but did significantly better in his bid for a second term. His district covers the Lehigh Valley region and is politically marginal, narrowly going to John Kerry with 50% of the vote in 2004.
Lehigh County Executive Don Cunningham, and state Democratic Party Chairman T.J. Rooney declined to run for the Democratic nomination, leaving Sam Bennett as the sole member of her party's ticket. Bennett was not considered to be as strong of a candidate as Democrats would like, which helped this seat fall out of contention. Although Democrats have an advantage in registration in the district and that Pennsylvania as a whole is trending Democratic, Dent projects a moderate image. His relationship with popular liberal then-Republican Arlen Specter also aids Dent.
Democratic primary
editNominee
edit- Sam Bennett, Allentown Democratic Party chair
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Sam Bennett | 73,734 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 73,734 | 100.00 | ||
Republican primary
editNominee
edit- Charlie Dent, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Charlie Dent (incumbent) | 27,875 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 27,875 | 100.00 | ||
Predictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[2] | Likely R | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[3] | Safe R | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] | Lean R | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[5] | Safe R | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[6] | Likely R | November 6, 2008 |
General election
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Charlie Dent (incumbent) | 181,433 | 58.57 | |
| Democratic | Sam Bennett | 128,333 | 41.43 | |
| Total votes | 309,766 | 100.00 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 16
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Six-term Republican incumbent Joe Pitts ran for reelection against Democratic nominee Bruce Slater (campaign website), a U.S. Navy veteran, historic restoration contractor, democratic committee person and community activist who ran unopposed in the primary. Green Party candidate John Murphy, a management consultant and Constitution Party candidate Dan Frank (campaign website) were also on the ballot. Pitts had the worst showing of his congressional career in 2008, winning 55.8% of the vote. However, he represents a historically conservative district which gave 61% of its votes to George W. Bush in 2004, and has not attracted a top-tier Democratic challenger.
Democratic primary
editNominee
edit- Bruce Slater, U.S. Navy veteran and building contractor
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Bruce Slater | 59,246 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 59,246 | 100.00 | ||
Republican primary
editPredictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[2] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[3] | Safe R | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[5] | Safe R | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[6] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
General election
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Joe Pitts (incumbent) | 170,329 | 55.82 | |
| Democratic | Bruce Slater | 120,193 | 39.39 | |
| Green | John Murphy | 11,768 | 3.86 | |
| Constitution | Dan Frank | 2,877 | 0.94 | |
| Total votes | 305,167 | 100.00 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 17
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Eight term incumbent Tim Holden (D) ran against Toni Gilhooley (R), a retired Pennsylvania state trooper. The 17th congressional district gave George W. Bush 58% of its votes and has historically been dominated by Republicans. However, Holden upset the district's 10-term incumbent, George Gekas, in 2002 after being drawn into the district (he'd previously represented a Reading-based district) and hasn't faced substantive opposition since then. He is a member of the moderate Blue Dog Coalition and opposes abortion and gun control. Gilhooley was a conservative candidate. Holden has used his overwhelming support in Schuylkill County, his home county, to make up for past deficits in areas such as Lebanon County and Dauphin County.
Democratic primary
editNominee
edit- Tim Holden, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tim Holden (incumbent) | 79,551 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 79,551 | 100.00 | ||
Republican primary
editNominee
edit- Toni Gilhooley, state trooper
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Toni Gilhooley | 49,123 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 49,123 | 100.00 | ||
Predictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[2] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[3] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[5] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
General election
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tim Holden (incumbent) | 192,699 | 63.68 | |
| Republican | Toni Gilhooley | 109,909 | 36.32 | |
| Total votes | 302,608 | 100.00 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 18
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Three term Republican Tim Murphy was challenged by Democrat Steve O'Donnell, a Monroeville health care executive. Murphy was reelected in 2006 with 58% of the vote against a little-known Democrat. He represents a suburban Pittsburgh district that George W. Bush won with 54% of the vote but that has a strong Democratic history.
The DCCC tried to persuade Allegheny County Executive Dan Onorato to run, but he showed no interest in the race. Business consultant Beth Hafer, whose mother Barbara Hafer is a longtime state official, was then expected to be the front runner for the Democratic nomination. Insurance executive Brien Wall and Monroeville health care executive Steve O'Donnell also ran. O'Donnell won an upset victory with 45% of the vote in a somewhat under the radar election. Although O'Donnell should make the race competitive, Murphy has a significant advantage because of name recognition and a moderate image.
Democratic primary
editNominee
edit- Steve O'Donnell, Monroeville health care firm executive
Eliminated in primary
edit- Beth Hafer, business consultant and daughter of Barbara Hafer
- Brien Wall, insurance executive
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Steve O'Donnell | 52,247 | 44.96 | |
| Democratic | Beth Hafer | 48,224 | 41.50 | |
| Democratic | Brien Wall | 15,733 | 13.54 | |
| Total votes | 116,204 | 100.00 | ||
Republican primary
editNominee
edit- Tim Murphy, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tim Murphy (incumbent) | 39,780 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 39,780 | 100.00 | ||
Predictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[2] | Likely R | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[3] | Safe R | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] | Lean R | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[5] | Safe R | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[6] | Likely R | November 6, 2008 |
General election
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tim Murphy (incumbent) | 213,349 | 64.07 | |
| Democratic | Steve O'Donnell | 119,661 | 35.93 | |
| Total votes | 333,010 | 100.00 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 19
edit
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Four term incumbent Todd Russell Platts (R) ran for another term. His Democratic opponent was 2006 candidate and college professor Phil Avillo (campaign website), who was unopposed in the party primary. Platts represented a highly conservative district, which gave 64% of the vote to George W. Bush in 2004. Avillo, meanwhile, raised little money for his campaign. This race was expected to be noncompetitive.
Democratic primary
editNominee
edit- Philip Avillo, college professor and 2006 Democratic Party nominee
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Philip Avillo | 69,068 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 69,068 | 100.00 | ||
Republican primary
editNominee
edit- Todd Platts, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Todd Platts (incumbent) | 57,198 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 57,198 | 100.00 | ||
Predictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[2] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[3] | Safe R | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[5] | Safe R | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[6] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
General election
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Todd Platts (incumbent) | 218,862 | 66.65 | |
| Democratic | Phil Avillo Jr. | 109,533 | 33.35 | |
| Total votes | 328,395 | 100.00 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
Notes
edit- ↑ Dropped out due to lack of funding. Replaced by Adam Lang.
References
edit- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 "Pennsylvania Elections - 2008 General Primary (Official Returns)". Pennsylvania Department of State. Retrieved August 13, 2025.
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 "2008 Competitive House Race Chart". House: Race Ratings. The Cook Political Report. November 6, 2006. Archived from the original on November 6, 2008. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 "2008 House Ratings". House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. November 2, 2006. Archived from the original on November 6, 2008. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 "2008 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 6, 2008. Archived from the original on November 6, 2008. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 "Battle for the House of Representatives". realclearpolitics.com. Real Clear Politics. November 7, 2008. Archived from the original on December 17, 2008. Retrieved December 9, 2023.
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 "Race Ratings Chart: House". cqpolitics.com. Congressional Quarterly Inc. Archived from the original on November 6, 2008. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 "Federal Elections 2008 – Senate and House" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. Washington, D.C. July 2009.
- ↑ "The Herald, Sharon, Pa. - Crowded field eyes 3rd Congressional District seat". Archived from the original on September 26, 2008. Retrieved January 15, 2008.
- ↑ "NRA endorses Altmire in race against Hart". archive.triblive.com. July 25, 2008. Retrieved January 15, 2022.
- 1 2 "Lehigh Valley News, Easton News, Nazareth News, Bethlehem News, Phillipsburg News, Allentown News plus Lehigh Valley Sports, Weather, Entertainment & Events - lehighvalleylive..."
- ↑ "Pennsylvania: Democratic Businessman Has Gerlach to Himself". Roll Call. February 26, 2008. Archived from the original on April 20, 2021. Retrieved January 15, 2022.
- ↑ Infield, Tom (June 23, 2008). "U.S. Rep. Gerlach in unusual position". The Inquirer. Archived from the original on January 15, 2022. Retrieved December 29, 2020.
- ↑ "Sestak V. Williams". Commonwealth of PA - Elections Information. Archived from the original on May 9, 2011.
- ↑ "Murtha's GOP challenger denied primary ballot spot". Associated Press. February 27, 2008. Archived from the original on October 26, 2008.
- ↑ "Elections". Fox News. Archived from the original on October 26, 2008. Retrieved October 26, 2008.
- ↑ "Top of the Ticket". Los Angeles Times. October 26, 2008. Archived from the original on October 29, 2008. Retrieved October 26, 2008.
- ↑ "Russell raising, spending more money than Murtha » Local News » The Tribune Democrat, Johnstown, PA". Archived from the original on October 29, 2008. Retrieved October 26, 2008.
- ↑ "Kats Will Take On Schwartz In Montco Congressional Race". The Bulletin. February 27, 2008. Archived from the original on October 7, 2008. Retrieved June 27, 2008.
External links
edit- Bureau of Commissions, Elections and Legislation from the Pennsylvania Department of State
- U.S. Congress candidates for Pennsylvania at Project Vote Smart
- Pennsylvania U.S. House Races from 2008 Race Tracker
- Campaign contributions for Pennsylvania congressional races from OpenSecrets
- Candidates for Elections in Pennsylvania